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Toros de Aragua vs Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 78-90
19-24 12-23 19-27 28-16
Position#20
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game80.0
Toros de Aragua
Venezuela
vs
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
Position#5
Record6-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game72.8
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar (El Limón)
Other2023
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Broncos
08 Jun 2024
TORO87
BRON94
04 May 2023
TORO84
BRON96
08 Apr 2023
TORO78
BRON90
18 Aug 2022
TORO71
BRON87
10 Aug 2022
TORO74
BRON89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
77-98
77
98
-21
no box
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
62-73
62
73
-11
no box
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 56
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
79-93
79
93
-14
69avg 56
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
56-64
56
64
-8
47avg 56
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
72-83
72
83
-11
59avg 56
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
63-82
63
82
-19
46avg 56
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
73-77
73
77
-4
58avg 56
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
64-84
64
84
-20
50avg 56
A04/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-33
12-24
21-19
20-22
14-24
15-21
13-19
20-9
18-12
12-17
23-29
22-12
24-19
20-28
16-26
15-14
16-26
17-21
20-28
26-18
14-15
17-18
9-17
16-14
24-14
12-19
13-21
23-29
13-15
15-29
15-20
20-18
22-21
21-18
15-24
15-14
16-27
10-13
25-20
13-24
150.7Avg total
69.6Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.680.0149.6-10.412%
Season at home (4)73.083.0156.0-10.025%
Season away (4)66.277.0143.2-10.80%
Last 10 (10)69.681.1150.7-11.510%
Last 5 (5)65.678.0143.6-12.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)67.880.7148.5-13.07%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)73.576.5150.0-3.050%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Centauros
#2
L
77-80
77
80
-3
no box
H27/09
Superliga
Centauros
#2
L
92-95
92
95
-3
no box
H28/09
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
100-56
100
56
+44
96avg 82
H19/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 82
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
100-64
100
64
+36
106avg 82
H24/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
88-90
88
90
-2
71avg 82
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
66-67
66
67
-1
48avg 82
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
92-80
92
80
+12
80avg 82
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 82
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
90-73
90
73
+17
86avg 82
A04/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
23-24
22-16
16-24
27-22
25-21
23-25
17-27
22-15
27-14
21-19
30-8
21-27
15-14
39-20
17-27
25-18
18-21
29-9
28-16
22-19
22-28
18-23
26-20
9-15
25-22
14-16
18-14
20-29
24-17
22-20
26-14
19-20
19-14
27-12
20-18
24-17
23-12
24-20
19-24
163.9Avg total
88.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.172.8161.9+16.475%
Season at home (4)94.268.0162.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)84.077.5161.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)88.275.7163.9+12.560%
Last 5 (5)84.274.8159.0+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)75.779.1154.8-3.429%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)84.672.3156.9+12.381%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
Toros de AraguaBroncos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Piratas de La Guaira
#9
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A01/09
Superliga
Broncos
#8
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A02/09
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H19/03
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H22/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H23/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A26/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A30/03
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H01/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A03/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A04/04
Superliga
75.0Avg total
33.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.540.072.5-7.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.441.475.7-7.014%-
Last 30 away (16)30.938.869.6-7.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.641.475.0-7.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.837.870.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)32.540.673.1-8.114%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)33.031.064.0+2.0100%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H27/09
Superliga
Centauros
#2
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H28/09
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H19/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H20/03
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H24/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A26/03
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A29/03
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A04/04
Superliga
81.1Avg total
42.6Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.175.5+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.234.173.3+5.171%-
Last 30 away (16)39.637.977.4+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.638.581.1+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.438.680.0+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)37.935.673.6+2.357%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.736.577.2+4.262%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.119.3
43.7%
50.8%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.16.3
32.8%
31.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws20.611.1
54.2%
65.6%11.1
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.421.0
54.7%
50.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.99.6
32.2%
31.3%28.9
🏀 Free throws24.217.8
73.2%
65.6%17.8
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
LLLLLLLWLL
Broncos
WWWLLWWWLL
#20
League position
#5
-15.8
Net rating
+21.1
88.5
Offensive rating
111.0
104.3
Defensive rating
89.9
45.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
24.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.8%
3-point %
32.2%
39.1%
Assist %
60.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.5 · 111.0Defence104.3 · 89.9Shooting45.4% · 51.9%3-point %32.8% · 32.2%Ball care24.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds34.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Broncos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toros de Aragua wins
4
Broncos wins
DateGameScore
02/09/22Broncos v Toros de Aragua73-62
18/08/22Toros de Aragua v Broncos71-87
10/08/22Toros de Aragua v Broncos74-89
21/07/22Broncos v Toros de Aragua71-56
Toros de Aragualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23ABrillantes64-84
03/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia73-77
01/04/23HTrotamundos63-82
30/03/23AFrontinos72-83
26/03/23ACentauros56-64
23/03/23HHeroes de Falcon79-93
22/03/23HGuaros de Lara75-87
19/03/23HFrontinos75-70
02/09/22ABroncos62-73
01/09/22APiratas de La Guaira77-98
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23AFrontinos90-73
02/04/23HLlaneros85-64
29/03/23AHeroes de Falcon92-80
27/03/23AGaiteros del Zulia66-67
26/03/23ABrillantes88-90
24/03/23HFrontinos100-64
20/03/23HHeroes de Falcon92-88
19/03/23HGuaros de Lara100-56
28/09/22HCentauros92-95
27/09/22HCentauros77-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game69.673.066.2
Allowed / game80.083.077.0
Point differential-10.4-10.0-10.8
Avg total149.6156.0143.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW75%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game89.194.284.0
Allowed / game72.868.077.5
Point differential+16.4+26.2+6.5
Avg total161.9162.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Piratas de La Guaira770100%85.673.3+12.3
2 Gladiadores87188%81.872.1+9.6
3 Broncos86275%89.172.8+16.4
4 Brillantes86275%84.476.2+8.1
5 Cocodrilos86275%75.268.2+7.0
6 Guaros de Lara86275%78.275.4+2.9
7 Trotamundos85362%78.977.0+1.9
8 Gaiteros del Zulia85362%77.179.0-1.9
9 Guaiqueries95456%91.684.6+7.0
10 Heroes de Falcon84450%84.281.2+3.0
11 Panteras94544%73.172.1+1.0
12 Gigantes73443%78.982.4-3.6
13 Marinos73443%83.089.6-6.6
14 Centauros83538%71.874.6-2.9
15 Spartans82625%69.874.9-5.1
16 Llaneros82625%74.981.2-6.4
17 Frontinos82625%75.986.6-10.8
18 Diablos71614%72.185.9-13.7
19 Cangrejeros81712%75.686.0-10.4
20 Toros de Aragua81712%69.680.0-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Aragua1912192878
Broncos2423271690
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