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Toros de Aragua vs Broncos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 84-96
23-27 22-25 25-21 14-23
Position#20
Record3-17
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Broncos 🏆
Venezuela
Position#5
Record14-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game77.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Rafael Romero Bolívar (El Limón)
Other2023
Meetings · Toros de Aragua v Broncos
08 Jun 2024
TORO87
BRON94
04 May 2023
TORO84
BRON96
08 Apr 2023
TORO78
BRON90
18 Aug 2022
TORO71
BRON87
10 Aug 2022
TORO74
BRON89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros de Aragua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Broncos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros de AraguaVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAragua
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
L
59-79
59
79
-20
29avg 61
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
87-91
87
91
-4
72avg 61
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
80-88
80
88
-8
68avg 61
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
57-68
57
68
-11
35avg 61
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
78-98
78
98
-20
72avg 61
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
85-76
85
76
+9
90avg 61
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
73-97
73
97
-24
61avg 61
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 61
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
85-79
85
79
+6
79avg 61
A02/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
12-26
13-16
17-15
26-28
21-20
20-19
20-24
13-23
21-20
16-25
30-20
12-6
12-19
10-25
23-18
19-32
19-26
26-22
14-18
18-27
21-22
28-18
20-20
29-18
26-21
18-22
12-15
19-26
15-29
24-12
15-30
19-29
18-19
21-13
19-21
20-16
24-22
21-24
20-17
163.3Avg total
77.5Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.583.7158.2-9.215%
Season at home (10)78.286.8165.0-8.620%
Season away (10)70.880.5151.3-9.710%
Last 10 (10)77.585.8163.3-8.320%
Last 5 (5)82.886.8169.6-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.384.3156.5-12.07%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)78.081.3159.3-3.333%
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBroncos
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
89-97 OT
89
97
-8
no box
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-57
93
57
+36
94avg 80
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
101-69
101
69
+32
99avg 80
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
62-77
62
77
-15
49avg 80
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
98-78
98
78
+20
95avg 80
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
69avg 80
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
73-80
73
80
-7
57avg 80
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
82-78
82
78
+4
66avg 80
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
78avg 80
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
92-84
92
84
+8
96avg 80
H02/05
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
15-22
22-19
26-20
23-21
27-14
21-9
22-13
27-14
18-13
36-27
20-15
17-16
14-28
13-15
18-18
32-19
26-19
22-26
18-14
21-13
13-17
22-20
26-15
21-32
17-13
18-21
17-14
14-23
23-21
19-15
26-19
23-30
17-21
22-25
26-25
27-17
30-26
14-17
21-24
164.6Avg total
86.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.377.0165.3+11.270%
Season at home (10)91.476.0167.4+15.480%
Season away (10)85.278.1163.3+7.160%
Last 10 (10)86.078.6164.6+7.460%
Last 5 (5)83.481.6165.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.178.6154.8-2.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.776.6164.3+11.073%
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
Toros de AraguaBroncos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros de AraguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Llaneros
#14
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A11/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A13/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H15/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
24-25
24
25
-1
A17/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A19/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H21/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H25/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H29/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A30/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/05
Superliga
83.2Avg total
38.1Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.743.078.7-7.320%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.043.880.8-6.820%-
Last 30 away (15)34.542.276.7-7.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.145.183.2-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.887.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)35.543.779.2-8.215%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (3)37.736.774.3+1.067%-
This opponent (Broncos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BroncosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trotamundos
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H12/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/04
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H17/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H19/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A23/04
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A27/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H02/05
Superliga
82.4Avg total
42.4Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.279.2+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.138.280.3+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)39.838.177.9+1.643%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.082.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.636.574.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.338.881.0+3.550%-
This opponent (Toros de Aragua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros de Araguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros de Aragua: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.623.7
47.8%
50.8%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.85.4
26.0%
31.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws18.211.3
62.1%
65.6%11.3
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Broncostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Broncos: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.4
50.0%
50.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
31.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.7
74.6%
65.6%16.7
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros de Aragua
WLLWLLLLLL
Broncos
WLWLWWLWWL
#20
League position
#5
-10.4
Net rating
+11.1
90.5
Offensive rating
105.1
100.9
Defensive rating
94.0
45.2%
Effective FG%
49.1%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
22.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.32
26.0%
3-point %
32.0%
48.5%
Assist %
63.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 105.1Defence100.9 · 94.0Shooting45.2% · 49.1%3-point %26.0% · 32.0%Ball care22.4% · 16.4%Off. rebounds32.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Toros de Aragua   ■ Broncos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toros de Aragua wins
6
Broncos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23AHeroes de Falcon85-79
30/04/23ATrotamundos77-82
29/04/23HCentauros73-97
25/04/23HBrillantes85-76
21/04/23HLlaneros94-100 OT
19/04/23ABroncos78-98
17/04/23ATrotamundos57-68
15/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia80-88
13/04/23AFrontinos87-91
11/04/23ALlaneros59-79
Broncoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23HCentauros92-84
28/04/23ATrotamundos88-101
27/04/23ALlaneros82-78
24/04/23AGuaros de Lara73-80
23/04/23ACentauros82-65
19/04/23HToros de Aragua98-78
17/04/23HBrillantes62-77
16/04/23ALlaneros101-69
14/04/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-57
12/04/23HTrotamundos89-97 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros de Aragua
Superliga 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW15%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%20%10%
Points / game74.578.270.8
Allowed / game83.786.880.5
Point differential-9.2-8.6-9.7
Avg total158.2165.0151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Broncos
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game88.391.485.2
Allowed / game77.076.078.1
Point differential+11.2+15.4+7.1
Avg total165.3167.4163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores2018290%84.873.3+11.4
2 Trotamundos2015575%82.278.0+4.2
3 Guaros de Lara1914574%82.577.6+4.9
4 Piratas de La Guaira1712571%82.977.4+5.5
5 Broncos2014670%88.377.0+11.2
6 Cocodrilos1913668%75.669.5+6.1
7 Brillantes1912763%83.676.8+6.8
8 Guaiqueries1810856%83.579.2+4.3
9 Spartans179853%77.276.1+1.1
10 Panteras1910953%76.876.5+0.4
11 Centauros1991047%77.478.7-1.4
12 Gaiteros del Zulia1991047%78.581.9-3.4
13 Heroes de Falcon2091145%82.981.5+1.4
14 Llaneros1871139%80.083.7-3.7
15 Gigantes1761135%77.783.5-5.8
16 Marinos1851328%80.488.1-7.7
17 Frontinos2051525%80.691.5-10.9
18 Diablos1841422%76.785.7-9.0
19 Cangrejeros1731418%77.986.1-8.2
20 Toros de Aragua2031715%74.583.7-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros de Aragua2322251484
Broncos2725212396
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