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Toros del Valle vs Cimarrones del Choco Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 75-79
17-25 21-15 18-21 19-18
Position#3
Record24-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#7
Record9-25
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game87.2
ColombiaLBPLBP - Semi-finals· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Cimarrones del Choco
20 Nov 2025
TORO76
CIMA54
19 Nov 2025
TORO75
CIMA79
18 Oct 2025
TORO118
CIMA85
17 Oct 2025
TORO76
CIMA45
31 May 2025
TORO124
CIMA82
30 May 2025
TORO113
CIMA82
10 May 2025
TORO80
CIMA71
09 May 2025
TORO91
CIMA95
20 Nov 2024
TORO90
CIMA94
19 Nov 2024
TORO112
CIMA108
11 Jun 2024
TORO100
CIMA86
10 Jun 2024
TORO90
CIMA80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cimarrones del Choco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
76-45
76
45
+31
72avg 73
H18/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
118-85
118
85
+33
117avg 73
H18/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
58-65
58
65
-7
51avg 73
A22/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
63-59
63
59
+4
60avg 73
A23/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
83-78
83
78
+5
60avg 73
H25/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
92-80
92
80
+12
87avg 73
H26/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 73
H29/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
54avg 73
H29/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 73
A06/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
68-50
68
50
+18
64avg 73
A07/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-6
22-16
19-15
22-8
29-23
33-18
35-13
21-31
15-11
18-18
17-17
8-19
14-19
17-7
18-20
14-13
21-24
24-15
18-20
20-19
22-20
22-28
20-15
28-17
25-22
20-22
19-23
16-16
24-18
15-21
19-19
11-19
18-15
21-21
17-18
20-16
19-14
14-6
13-23
22-7
147.5Avg total
78.3Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.875.3155.2+4.562%
Season at home (21)86.977.5164.4+9.367%
Season away (18)71.772.7144.4-1.156%
Last 10 (10)78.369.2147.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)77.072.0149.0+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.778.7157.3+0.067%
vs Similar (17)77.177.1154.1+0.047%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.071.8159.8+16.290%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
41avg 64
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
57avg 64
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
46-79
46
79
-33
26avg 64
H24/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
66avg 64
H24/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
52-91
52
91
-39
43avg 64
H30/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
44-69
44
69
-25
26avg 64
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
97avg 64
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
118-111
118
111
+7
107avg 64
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
80-43
80
43
+37
81avg 64
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
55-42
55
42
+13
49avg 64
A16/11
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
10-16
6-16
21-15
17-17
12-18
23-13
15-32
11-22
11-18
17-16
7-23
20-19
13-22
21-16
20-15
14-18
23-23
8-29
7-21
10-16
13-21
12-17
9-15
26-24
29-21
21-21
23-20
21-30
30-36
38-21
29-24
20-12
11-10
28-5
21-16
21-10
9-12
10-12
15-8
143.6Avg total
69.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)73.487.2160.5-13.826%
Season at home (17)74.582.9157.4-8.441%
Season away (17)72.291.5163.7-19.212%
Last 10 (10)69.274.4143.6-5.250%
Last 5 (5)79.270.2149.4+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)71.986.4158.3-14.527%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -2.2-2.2
Toros del ValleCimarrones del Choco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H18/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A22/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A23/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H26/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H29/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H29/10
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A06/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
33-20
33
20
+13
A07/11
LBP
75.0Avg total
40.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.977.4+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.140.484.5+3.850%-
Last 30 away (14)36.432.969.3+3.664%-
Last 10 (10)40.634.475.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.343.786.0-1.333%-
vs Similar (17)39.637.677.2+2.153%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.533.675.1+7.970%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H20/10
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H21/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H24/10
LBP
Caimanes del Llano
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H30/10
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H30/10
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H04/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#6
L
51-66
51
66
-15
H05/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H14/11
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
A16/11
LBP
73.0Avg total
34.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.444.280.6-7.827%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.543.179.6-6.624%-
Last 30 away (13)36.245.681.8-9.531%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.973.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.476.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)36.444.280.6-7.827%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.6
53.3%
49.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.58.2
27.8%
30.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws13.79.7
70.8%
67.7%9.7
They take 70.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.7
54.3%
49.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.7
28.3%
30.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.410.7
58.2%
67.7%10.7
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
WWLLWWWLWW
Cimarrones del Choco
WWWWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#7
+12.0
Net rating
-4.6
97.6
Offensive rating
93.8
85.7
Defensive rating
98.4
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
41.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.5%
Turnover %
20.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.8%
3-point %
28.3%
63.1%
Assist %
49.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 93.8Defence85.7 · 98.4Shooting48.4% · 48.9%3-point %27.8% · 28.3%Ball care18.5% · 20.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 24.0%Free throws0.20 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Cimarrones del Choco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands68-50
06/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands76-70
29/10/25HCaimanes del Llano69-77
29/10/25HCaimanes del Llano80-83
26/10/25HPaisas92-80
25/10/25HPaisas83-78
23/10/25AMotilones del Norte63-59
22/10/25AMotilones del Norte58-65
18/10/25HCimarrones del Choco118-85
18/10/25HCimarrones del Choco76-45
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25ACaribbean Storm Islands55-42
14/11/25HCaribbean Storm Islands80-43
05/11/25HMotilones del Norte118-111
04/11/25HMotilones del Norte99-86
30/10/25HPaisas44-69
30/10/25HPaisas52-91
24/10/25HCaimanes del Llano74-72
24/10/25HCaimanes del Llano46-79
21/10/25HSabios de Manizales67-80
20/10/25HSabios de Manizales57-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %62%67%56%
Points / game79.886.971.7
Allowed / game75.377.572.7
Point differential+4.5+9.3-1.1
Avg total155.2164.4144.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)29% (7)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW26%
HomeLLWWW41%
AwayLLLLW12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %26%41%12%
Points / game73.474.572.2
Allowed / game87.282.991.5
Point differential-13.8-8.4-19.2
Avg total160.5157.4163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas3930977%88.176.6+11.6
2 Caimanes del Llano40251562%77.572.9+4.6
3 Toros del Valle39241562%79.875.3+4.5
4 Caribbean Storm Islands41192246%79.378.7+0.7
5 Sabios de Manizales37172046%74.676.1-1.4
6 Motilones del Norte38162242%75.579.9-4.4
7 Cimarrones del Choco3492526%73.487.2-13.8
8 Piratas de Bogota2041620%74.682.1-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle1721181975
Cimarrones del Choco2515211879
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