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Toros del Valle vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 61-78
15-26 23-18 16-16 7-18
Position#3
Record5-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game76.4
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toros del Valle v Paisas
16 Oct 2026
TORO78
PAIS74
15 Oct 2026
TORO91
PAIS89
03 Jun 2026
TORO110
PAIS80
02 Jun 2026
TORO102
PAIS101
26 Oct 2025
TORO92
PAIS80
25 Oct 2025
TORO83
PAIS78
27 May 2025
TORO61
PAIS78
26 May 2025
TORO91
PAIS87
01 Feb 2025
TORO87
PAIS99
18 Jan 2025
TORO102
PAIS68
16 Nov 2024
TORO94
PAIS79
15 Nov 2024
TORO106
PAIS75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Paisas
#7
L
87-101
87
101
-14
74avg 77
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
91-95
91
95
-4
85avg 77
H09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
63avg 77
H10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
46avg 77
A14/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 77
A14/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
70-61
70
61
+9
67avg 77
A17/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
57-71
57
71
-14
44avg 77
A18/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
88-62
88
62
+26
94avg 77
H23/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
77-70
77
70
+7
70avg 77
H24/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
91-87
91
87
+4
87avg 77
H27/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
21-31
24-24
19-25
28-20
27-20
19-24
17-31
15-29
21-11
22-14
22-17
13-21
9-22
18-20
24-14
18-29
16-14
18-24
18-12
16-17
28-9
12-24
14-11
13-22
17-16
11-16
16-17
28-13
21-18
21-8
18-23
18-14
19-26
22-9
18-21
22-15
21-17
20-31
28-24
154.9Avg total
77.5Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.474.8151.2+1.756%
Season at home (5)85.477.0162.4+8.480%
Season away (4)65.272.0137.2-6.825%
Last 10 (10)77.577.4154.9+0.150%
Last 5 (5)76.670.2146.8+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.090.0170.0-10.020%
vs Similar (12)83.580.1163.6+3.450%
vs Weaker (13)89.281.3170.5+7.862%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
52avg 70
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
82-51
82
51
+31
79avg 70
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 70
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 70
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
79avg 70
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-88
99
88
+11
92avg 70
H17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
97-77
97
77
+20
95avg 70
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 70
A21/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
90-91
90
91
-1
87avg 70
A22/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
87-91
87
91
-4
57avg 70
A27/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
21-37
17-23
15-13
16-10
17-16
31-17
18-8
14-18
22-23
23-19
13-20
21-13
22-9
20-18
14-24
29-18
14-16
24-18
12-18
19-27
27-28
29-18
24-15
26-21
26-20
14-21
31-15
22-17
24-22
22-21
25-16
21-32
26-20
19-24
24-15
15-22
17-21
31-20
24-28
163.1Avg total
84.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.276.4162.7+9.867%
Season at home (6)84.371.7156.0+12.783%
Season away (3)90.086.0176.0+4.033%
Last 10 (10)84.179.0163.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)93.284.6177.8+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.986.5165.5-7.631%
vs Similar (6)78.885.3164.2-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.276.3164.5+11.973%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.8+2.8
Toros del VallePaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paisas
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A14/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A14/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A17/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A18/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H23/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H27/05
LBP
77.9Avg total
39.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.383.8+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.940.585.4+4.553%-
Last 30 away (13)39.242.581.7-3.238%-
Last 10 (10)39.438.577.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.633.474.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.045.484.4-6.440%-
vs Similar (12)41.140.481.5+0.750%-
vs Weaker (13)45.140.685.7+4.546%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#1
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A21/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A22/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A27/05
LBP
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.642.083.6-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.240.183.2+3.159%-
Last 30 away (13)39.544.584.0-4.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.090.6-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.844.383.1-5.531%-
vs Similar (6)43.841.285.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.739.683.4+4.155%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.621.9
48.0%
49.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
30.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.710.5
66.9%
67.7%10.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.3
54.0%
49.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.0
32.5%
30.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.010.7
62.9%
67.7%10.7
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
WWWLWLLWLL
Paisas
LLWWWWWLWL
#3
League position
#1
+0.1
Net rating
+7.0
100.6
Offensive rating
106.3
100.5
Defensive rating
99.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
17.9%
Turnover %
19.0%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.7%
3-point %
32.5%
54.3%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 106.3Defence100.5 · 99.3Shooting47.3% · 52.2%3-point %30.7% · 32.5%Ball care17.9% · 19.0%Off. rebounds33.5% · 34.0%Free throws0.23 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Toros del Valle wins
4
Paisas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/25HPaisas91-87
24/05/25HSabios de Manizales77-70
23/05/25HSabios de Manizales88-62
18/05/25ASabios de Manizales57-71
17/05/25ASabios de Manizales70-61
14/05/25APaisas70-79
14/05/25APaisas64-77
10/05/25HCimarrones del Choco80-71
09/05/25HCimarrones del Choco91-95
08/02/25APaisas87-101
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/25AToros del Valle87-91
22/05/25ACimarrones del Choco90-91
21/05/25ACimarrones del Choco93-76
18/05/25HCimarrones del Choco97-77
17/05/25HCimarrones del Choco99-88
14/05/25HToros del Valle79-70
14/05/25HToros del Valle77-64
11/05/25HSabios de Manizales72-80
10/05/25HSabios de Manizales82-51
14/03/25AFlamengo65-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game76.485.465.2
Allowed / game74.877.072.0
Point differential+1.7+8.4-6.8
Avg total151.2162.4137.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game86.284.390.0
Allowed / game76.471.786.0
Point differential+9.8+12.7+4.0
Avg total162.7156.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caimanes del Llano65183%79.076.7+2.3
2 Paisas96367%86.276.4+9.8
3 Toros del Valle95456%76.474.8+1.7
4 Piratas de Bogota63350%78.775.0+3.7
5 Cimarrones del Choco104640%86.790.5-3.8
6 Sabios de Manizales104640%75.081.5-6.5
7 Motilones del Norte83538%76.178.2-2.1
8 Caribbean Storm Islands83538%74.176.5-2.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle152316761
Paisas2618161878
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