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Cimarrones del Choco vs Paisas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 May 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 91-90
32-21 20-26 24-19 15-24
Position#7
Record1-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game94.4
vs
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game72.3
ColombiaLBP· Coliseo El Jardin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cimarrones del Choco v Paisas
09 Dec 2025
CIMA69
PAIS81
30 Oct 2025
CIMA44
PAIS69
29 Oct 2025
CIMA52
PAIS91
21 May 2025
CIMA91
PAIS90
20 May 2025
CIMA76
PAIS93
23 Oct 2024
CIMA65
PAIS72
22 Oct 2024
CIMA75
PAIS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cimarrones del Choco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paisas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cimarrones del ChocoColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChoco
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
60avg 71
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 71
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 71
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
95-91
95
91
+4
89avg 71
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
68avg 71
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
82-103
82
103
-21
75avg 71
A13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
80avg 71
A15/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
88-99
88
99
-11
76avg 71
A17/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
56avg 71
A18/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
76-93
76
93
-17
57avg 71
H21/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
12-23
20-21
18-19
27-16
8-24
28-20
4-14
17-28
13-15
15-24
28-14
20-28
20-27
24-19
31-17
29-15
11-21
14-22
17-22
26-21
16-15
20-31
20-36
31-30
26-21
14-23
19-24
27-19
28-27
18-29
15-24
21-26
20-26
21-14
15-31
17-22
22-24
21-22
16-25
168.8Avg total
78.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.794.4177.1-11.714%
Season at home (1)76.093.0169.0-17.00%
Season away (6)83.894.7178.5-10.817%
Last 10 (10)78.790.1168.8-11.410%
Last 5 (5)82.698.0180.6-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)82.587.8170.2-5.335%
vs Similar (6)76.772.0148.7+4.767%
vs Weaker (4)106.890.5197.2+16.275%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
93avg 70
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
40avg 70
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
52avg 70
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
82-51
82
51
+31
79avg 70
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 70
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 70
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
79-70
79
70
+9
79avg 70
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
99-88
99
88
+11
92avg 70
H17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
97-77
97
77
+20
95avg 70
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
93-76
93
76
+17
88avg 70
A21/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
31-21
24-24
25-19
19-23
24-25
17-20
12-21
12-29
21-37
17-23
15-13
16-10
17-16
31-17
18-8
14-18
22-23
23-19
13-20
21-13
22-9
20-18
14-24
29-18
14-16
24-18
12-18
19-27
27-28
29-18
24-15
26-21
26-20
14-21
31-15
22-17
24-22
22-21
25-16
162.1Avg total
83.7Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.672.3157.9+13.386%
Season at home (6)84.371.7156.0+12.783%
Season away (1)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.778.4162.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)89.075.0164.0+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.986.8165.6-7.929%
vs Similar (7)77.982.4160.3-4.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)88.173.0161.1+15.189%
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
Cimarrones del ChocoPaisas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cimarrones del ChocoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A07/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A08/12
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/12
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A09/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A15/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A17/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A18/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/05
LBP
85.9Avg total
40.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.942.783.6-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.741.379.0-3.638%-
Last 30 away (17)43.443.887.2-0.459%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.085.9-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.293.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)40.543.684.2-3.150%-
vs Similar (6)37.740.878.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (4)48.040.888.8+7.275%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toros del Valle
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H17/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H18/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A21/05
LBP
84.3Avg total
42.7Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.041.283.1+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.840.182.8+2.756%-
Last 30 away (12)40.842.883.6-2.142%-
Last 10 (10)42.741.684.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.038.284.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.644.082.6-5.429%-
vs Similar (7)45.339.785.0+5.671%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.737.982.6+6.867%-
This opponent (Cimarrones del Choco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cimarrones del Chocotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cimarrones del Choco: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.5 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.414.2
46.7%
49.3%28.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.713.4
37.5%
30.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws12.68.5
67.5%
67.7%8.5
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.223.4
52.9%
49.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.7
32.2%
30.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.4
69.1%
67.7%13.4
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cimarrones del Choco
LLLLLLWLLL
Paisas
WWWWWLWLLW
#7
League position
#1
-16.5
Net rating
+8.3
99.2
Offensive rating
107.0
115.7
Defensive rating
98.6
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.6%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.5%
3-point %
32.2%
47.8%
Assist %
49.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.2 · 107.0Defence115.7 · 98.6Shooting51.9% · 51.3%3-point %37.5% · 32.2%Ball care18.2% · 19.6%Off. rebounds20.7% · 35.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Cimarrones del Choco   ■ Paisas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cimarrones del Choco wins
5
Paisas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25HPaisas76-93
18/05/25APaisas77-97
17/05/25APaisas88-99
15/05/25ASabios de Manizales90-98
13/05/25ASabios de Manizales82-103
10/05/25AToros del Valle71-80
09/05/25AToros del Valle95-91
10/12/24AMotilones del Norte73-81
08/12/24AMotilones del Norte67-74
07/12/24AMotilones del Norte68-85
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/25ACimarrones del Choco93-76
18/05/25HCimarrones del Choco97-77
17/05/25HCimarrones del Choco99-88
14/05/25HToros del Valle79-70
14/05/25HToros del Valle77-64
11/05/25HSabios de Manizales72-80
10/05/25HSabios de Manizales82-51
14/03/25AFlamengo65-102
09/03/25HFlamengo72-89
08/02/25HToros del Valle101-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cimarrones del Choco
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games716
Win %14%0%17%
Points / game82.776.083.8
Allowed / game94.493.094.7
Point differential-11.7-17.0-10.8
Avg total177.1169.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%83%100%
Points / game85.684.393.0
Allowed / game72.371.776.0
Point differential+13.3+12.7+17.0
Avg total157.9156.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Caimanes del Llano440100%77.072.0+5.0
2 Paisas76186%85.672.3+13.3
3 Sabios de Manizales64267%77.375.5+1.8
4 Caribbean Storm Islands63350%73.071.7+1.3
5 Toros del Valle62433%72.075.7-3.7
6 Motilones del Norte62433%72.876.7-3.8
7 Piratas de Bogota41325%72.573.8-1.2
8 Cimarrones del Choco71614%82.794.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cimarrones del Choco3220241591
Paisas2126192490
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