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Paisas vs Toros del Valle Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 79-70
29-18 14-16 24-18 12-18
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game65.0
Paisas 🏆
Colombia
vs
Position#3
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.0
ColombiaLBP· Ivan de Bedout
Other2025-26
Meetings · Paisas v Toros del Valle
11 Oct 2026
PAIS92
TORO90
10 Oct 2026
PAIS79
TORO84
07 Jun 2026
PAIS73
TORO78
06 Jun 2026
PAIS98
TORO82
19 Apr 2026
PAIS67
TORO92
18 Apr 2026
PAIS76
TORO84
14 May 2025
PAIS79
TORO70
13 May 2025
PAIS77
TORO64
08 Feb 2025
PAIS101
TORO87
19 Oct 2024
PAIS72
TORO80
18 Oct 2024
PAIS60
TORO81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Paisas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toros del Valle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PaisasColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaisas
Date
Competition
Real Esteli
#5
L
70-79
70
79
-9
57avg 68
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
81avg 68
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
101-100
101
100
+1
103avg 68
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
76avg 68
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
101-87
101
87
+14
93avg 68
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
40avg 68
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
52avg 68
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
82-51
82
51
+31
79avg 68
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 68
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
77-64
77
64
+13
78avg 68
H14/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
12-22
20-19
21-18
29-24
15-18
27-21
28-24
30-29
31-28
24-28
16-15
12-20
23-23
23-27
29-22
21-23
31-21
24-24
25-19
19-23
24-25
17-20
12-21
12-29
21-37
17-23
15-13
16-10
17-16
31-17
18-8
14-18
22-23
23-19
13-20
21-13
22-9
20-18
14-24
165.7Avg total
82.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.065.0142.0+12.067%
Season at home (3)77.065.0142.0+12.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.683.1165.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.677.2150.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.986.8165.6-7.929%
vs Similar (10)73.881.3155.1-7.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.269.3155.5+16.883%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleColombiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 77
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 77
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-68
102
68
+34
104avg 77
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
87-99
87
99
-12
52avg 77
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 77
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 77
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
87-101
87
101
-14
74avg 77
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
91-95
91
95
-4
85avg 77
H09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
63avg 77
H10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
64-77
64
77
-13
46avg 77
A14/05
LBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
21-32
13-23
17-16
9-29
27-26
16-18
16-14
28-18
23-17
28-16
23-17
24-29
18-15
21-27
24-28
32-13
17-20
13-17
20-22
18-10
20-20
21-29
22-26
23-21
21-31
24-24
19-25
28-20
27-20
19-24
17-31
15-29
21-11
22-14
22-17
13-21
9-22
18-20
24-14
165.5Avg total
81.2Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.381.0159.3-2.733%
Season at home (2)85.583.0168.5+2.550%
Season away (1)64.077.0141.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.284.3165.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)80.685.8166.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.794.7174.3-15.00%
vs Similar (14)84.680.6165.2+3.950%
vs Weaker (13)94.890.3185.2+4.546%
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -0.6-0.6
PaisasToros del Valle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PaisasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Esteli
#5
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H06/02
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H08/02
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Flamengo
#1
L
33-66
33
66
-33
A14/03
Champions League Americas
Sabios de Manizales
#5
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H10/05
LBP
Sabios de Manizales
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H11/05
LBP
Toros del Valle
#3
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H14/05
LBP
84.0Avg total
40.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.3-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.239.480.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)39.443.182.5-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.184.0-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.644.082.6-5.429%-
vs Similar (10)41.040.581.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.034.278.2+9.867%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H02/02
Champions League Americas
Real Esteli
#5
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A07/02
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H09/05
LBP
Cimarrones del Choco
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H10/05
LBP
Paisas
#1
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A14/05
LBP
83.4Avg total
41.3Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.643.387.8+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.842.889.6+4.150%-
Last 30 away (12)41.244.085.2-2.842%-
Last 10 (10)41.342.183.4-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.080.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.350.790.0-11.333%-
vs Similar (14)41.940.582.4+1.450%-
vs Weaker (13)48.644.593.2+4.146%-
This opponent (Paisas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Paisastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paisas: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.720.0
49.1%
49.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.6
32.8%
30.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.416.6
74.1%
67.7%16.6
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.7 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.118.2
45.4%
49.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.17.5
29.9%
30.7%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.112.0
66.3%
67.7%12.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Paisas
WLWLLWLWWL
Toros del Valle
LWLLLWLWLL
#1
League position
#3
+0.9
Net rating
-8.5
105.2
Offensive rating
100.1
104.3
Defensive rating
108.6
49.2%
Effective FG%
45.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
15.0%
37.6%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.8%
3-point %
29.9%
51.0%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.2 · 100.1Defence104.3 · 108.6Shooting49.2% · 45.2%3-point %32.8% · 29.9%Ball care21.1% · 15.0%Off. rebounds37.6% · 31.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Paisas   ■ Toros del Valle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Paisas wins
5
Toros del Valle wins
Paisaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HToros del Valle77-64
11/05/25HSabios de Manizales72-80
10/05/25HSabios de Manizales82-51
14/03/25AFlamengo65-102
09/03/25HFlamengo72-89
08/02/25HToros del Valle101-87
06/02/25HReal Esteli87-92
02/02/25HReal Esteli101-100
01/02/25AToros del Valle99-87
19/01/25AReal Esteli70-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25APaisas64-77
10/05/25HCimarrones del Choco80-71
09/05/25HCimarrones del Choco91-95
08/02/25APaisas87-101
07/02/25AReal Esteli81-85
02/02/25HReal Esteli82-72
01/02/25HPaisas87-99
18/01/25HPaisas102-68
17/01/25AReal Esteli68-87
09/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Paisas
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWLW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game77.077.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+12.0+12.0-
Avg total142.0142.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Toros del Valle
LBP 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game78.385.564.0
Allowed / game81.083.077.0
Point differential-2.7+2.5-13.0
Avg total159.3168.5141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paisas32167%77.065.0+12.0
2 Sabios de Manizales32167%78.078.7-0.7
3 Motilones del Norte21150%74.571.5+3.0
4 Caribbean Storm Islands21150%71.574.5-3.0
5 Toros del Valle31233%78.381.0-2.7
6 Cimarrones del Choco31233%82.791.3-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Paisas2914241279
Toros del Valle1816181870
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