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Toros del Valle vs Real Esteli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:10
Final 82-72
32-13 17-20 13-17 20-22
Position#8
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeChampions League Americas· Coliseo Evangelista Mora
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toros del Valle winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Esteli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toros del ValleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValle
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
88-117
88
117
-29
73avg 77
A30/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
87-90
87
90
-3
76avg 77
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 77
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
97-71
97
71
+26
95avg 77
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 77
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
85-66
85
66
+19
79avg 77
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
55avg 77
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 77
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
102-68
102
68
+34
104avg 77
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
87-99
87
99
-12
52avg 77
H01/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
15-29
21-35
29-27
31-23
27-31
18-13
11-23
27-22
14-17
21-20
14-31
27-17
19-18
30-17
21-19
20-27
21-13
29-20
12-24
16-20
17-17
24-13
28-16
19-17
21-32
13-23
17-16
9-29
27-26
16-18
16-14
28-18
23-17
28-16
23-17
24-29
18-15
21-27
24-28
170.2Avg total
84.2Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.784.7170.3+1.033%
Season at home (2)94.583.5178.0+11.050%
Season away (1)68.087.0155.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)84.286.0170.2-1.830%
Last 5 (5)82.481.6164.0+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)87.5103.5191.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.478.9163.3+5.657%
vs Weaker (14)94.982.7177.6+12.264%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
no box
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 74
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 74
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
68-98
68
98
-30
60avg 74
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 74
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
no box
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
87-68
87
68
+19
57avg 74
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
79-70
79
70
+9
71avg 74
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
100-101
100
101
-1
85avg 74
A02/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
20-20
19-22
20-34
9-22
25-24
26-26
22-20
22-24
21-28
25-23
11-21
12-27
29-9
26-27
18-16
14-16
20-17
22-12
19-20
18-21
29-30
28-31
28-24
15-16
169.3Avg total
80.4Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.779.7168.3+9.067%
Season at home (2)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)100.0101.0201.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)80.488.9169.3-8.540%
Last 5 (5)86.086.4172.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.990.7171.6-9.831%
vs Similar ◀ (5)90.283.0173.2+7.280%
vs Weaker (9)91.684.1175.7+7.467%
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -7.9-7.9
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -7.9-7.9
Toros del ValleReal Esteli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toros del ValleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Motilones del Norte
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A30/11
LBP
Motilones del Norte
#1
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A01/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A03/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A04/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H07/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H08/12
LBP
Caribbean Storm Islands
#3
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H09/12
LBP
Real Esteli
#5
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H18/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H01/02
Champions League Americas
86.9Avg total
42.6Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.941.787.6+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.943.890.7+3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)44.939.584.5+5.467%-
Last 10 (10)42.644.386.9-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.084.4-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.054.5102.5-6.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.840.582.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (14)49.741.090.7+8.764%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A10/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Toros del Valle
#8
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H17/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
Champions League Americas
Paisas
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A02/02
Champions League Americas
91.0Avg total
45.6Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.645.087.6-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.943.286.1-0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)42.247.189.3-4.936%-
Last 10 (10)45.645.491.0+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)50.245.495.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.246.887.1-6.631%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)48.042.490.4+5.680%-
vs Weaker (9)43.743.387.0+0.344%-
This opponent (Toros del Valle) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toros del Valletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toros del Valle: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.2
50.5%
49.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.7
33.6%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws15.89.4
59.5%
71.9%9.4
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.5 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.6
52.0%
49.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.8
32.4%
33.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.714.6
74.1%
71.9%14.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toros del Valle
LWLLWLWLLL
Real Esteli
LWWLWLLWLL
#8
League position
#5
-7.9
Net rating
-11.4
100.6
Offensive rating
101.0
108.5
Defensive rating
112.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.6%
3-point %
32.4%
54.5%
Assist %
59.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 101.0Defence108.5 · 112.4Shooting50.5% · 50.7%3-point %33.6% · 32.4%Ball care18.1% · 17.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 21.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Toros del Valle   ■ Real Esteli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toros del Valle wins
1
Real Esteli wins
DateGameScore
17/01/25Real Esteli v Toros del Valle87-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/25HPaisas87-99
18/01/25HPaisas102-68
17/01/25AReal Esteli68-87
09/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands70-88
08/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands85-66
07/12/24HCaribbean Storm Islands82-84
04/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands97-71
03/12/24ACaribbean Storm Islands76-90
01/12/24AMotilones del Norte87-90
30/11/24AMotilones del Norte88-117
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25APaisas100-101
19/01/25HPaisas79-70
17/01/25HToros del Valle87-68
12/03/24AQuimsa69-99
10/03/24AQuimsa95-94
07/03/24HQuimsa68-98
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toros del Valle
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeWL50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game85.794.568.0
Allowed / game84.783.587.0
Point differential+1.0+11.0-19.0
Avg total170.3178.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game88.783.0100.0
Allowed / game79.769.0101.0
Point differential+9.0+14.0-1.0
Avg total168.3152.0201.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo440100%90.263.0+27.2
2 Franca440100%85.873.5+12.2
3 Minas440100%80.569.8+10.8
4 Real Esteli32167%88.779.7+9.0
5 Boca Juniors42250%76.275.0+1.2
6 Instituto de Cordoba42250%79.279.2+0.0
7 Paisas42250%84.592.0-7.5
8 Toros del Valle31233%85.784.7+1.0
9 Quimsa41325%72.875.5-2.8
10 Bigua41325%68.876.8-8.0
11 Leones Quilpue4040%70.082.2-12.2
12 Toros del Chiriqui4040%64.092.5-28.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toros del Valle3217132082
Real Esteli1320172272
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