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Torun vs Spojnia Stargard Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-89
22-17 26-25 12-25 28-22
Position#8
Record9-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#15
Record7-12
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game80.1
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 20· Arena Torun
Other2024-25
Meetings · Torun v Spojnia Stargard
07 Mar 2025
TOR88
SPOJ89
01 Feb 2024
TOR72
SPOJ97
11 Dec 2022
TOR92
SPOJ88
01 Oct 2021
TOR85
SPOJ77
17 Nov 2020
TOR108
SPOJ95
19 Mar 2020
TOR v SPOJ
upcoming
21 Oct 2018
TOR94
SPOJ69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spojnia Stargard winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
59avg 77
A12/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 77
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
108-97 OT
108
97
+11
98avg 77
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
83avg 77
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 77
A10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
101-98
101
98
+3
87avg 77
A16/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 77
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
80avg 77
H30/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
98-86
98
86
+12
92avg 77
A07/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
89-83
89
83
+6
86avg 77
A28/02
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
10-24
13-8
24-21
23-22
25-23
23-19
20-28
21-24
21-21
18-19
32-28
28-24
24-26
18-8
17-14
25-29
20-31
26-32
24-15
23-17
29-28
27-28
22-25
20-21
21-23
13-19
17-16
23-22
25-24
15-17
20-16
15-20
35-13
34-25
14-28
26-16
17-21
18-18
28-28
175.6Avg total
88.6Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.484.9169.3-0.647%
Season at home (7)87.087.4174.4-0.443%
Season away (12)82.883.5166.3-0.750%
Last 10 (10)88.687.0175.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)88.485.0173.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.286.0163.2-8.827%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.684.0167.6-0.450%
vs Weaker (4)96.892.0188.8+4.850%
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormStargard
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 71
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
84-74
84
74
+10
83avg 71
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
79-67
79
67
+12
76avg 71
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
59avg 71
H04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
L
78-91
78
91
-13
77avg 71
A13/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
66-84
66
84
-18
57avg 71
H18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
83-96
83
96
-13
73avg 71
H26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
69-77
69
77
-8
56avg 71
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
89-75
89
75
+14
90avg 71
A08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
68-83
68
83
-15
62avg 71
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
12-12
24-20
15-21
16-14
21-14
19-20
28-26
18-14
21-25
20-11
20-17
16-21
16-21
17-27
24-17
21-18
25-23
17-23
15-27
21-21
14-23
14-21
17-19
28-25
28-21
15-21
12-29
22-12
21-26
10-20
16-19
24-24
21-15
22-16
22-20
22-22
13-22
11-25
22-14
156.7Avg total
75.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.080.1157.1-3.137%
Season at home (11)74.181.0155.1-6.927%
Season away (8)81.078.8159.8+2.250%
Last 10 (10)75.880.9156.7-5.130%
Last 5 (5)75.083.0158.0-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.880.0154.8-5.223%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.380.3156.6-4.038%
vs Weaker (4)85.076.5161.5+8.550%
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
TorunSpojnia Stargard
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A12/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A16/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H30/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A07/02
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A28/02
Energa Basket Liga
90.0Avg total
44.7Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.344.385.7-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.746.289.9-2.545%-
Last 30 away (19)39.943.383.2-3.326%-
Last 10 (10)44.745.390.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)46.841.087.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.645.382.9-7.69%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.645.088.6-1.443%-
vs Weaker (4)44.541.586.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Spojnia Stargard) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Spojnia StargardLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H04/01
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A13/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H18/01
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H01/02
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A08/02
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H01/03
Energa Basket Liga
79.4Avg total
39.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.679.1-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.639.076.6-1.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.640.482.0+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.839.679.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.842.285.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.138.477.5+0.754%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.941.078.9-3.138%-
vs Weaker (4)45.839.285.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.722.3
56.2%
53.4%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.8
36.8%
35.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws22.516.9
75.1%
73.7%16.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spojnia Stargardtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spojnia Stargard: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.6
52.1%
53.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.2
33.3%
35.2%21.6
🏀 Free throws23.416.6
70.9%
73.7%16.6
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
WWWLWLWWLL
Spojnia Stargard
LWLLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#15
+1.6
Net rating
-5.7
117.6
Offensive rating
105.1
116.0
Defensive rating
110.8
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.3%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
36.8%
3-point %
33.3%
60.1%
Assist %
55.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 105.1Defence116.0 · 110.8Shooting55.8% · 51.3%3-point %36.8% · 33.3%Ball care13.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds26.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Torun   ■ Spojnia Stargard
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Torun wins
3
Spojnia Stargard wins
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/25ACzarni Slupsk89-83
07/02/25ADziki Warszawa98-86
30/01/25HZielona Gora83-79
26/01/25ALublin71-79
16/01/25ADabrowa Gornicza101-98
10/01/25ASzczecin95-107
03/01/25HSlask Wroclaw87-72
29/12/24AGdynia108-97 OT
22/12/24HGTK Gliwice91-92
12/12/24AGornik Walbrzych63-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HAnwil Wloclawek68-83
08/02/25AOstrow Wielkopolski89-75
01/02/25HTrefl Sopot69-77
26/01/25HCzarni Slupsk83-96
18/01/25HDziki Warszawa66-84
13/01/25AZielona Gora78-91
04/01/25HLublin73-86
29/12/24ADabrowa Gornicza79-67
22/12/24HSzczecin84-74
15/12/24HSlask Wroclaw69-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW47%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %47%43%50%
Points / game84.487.082.8
Allowed / game84.987.483.5
Point differential-0.6-0.4-0.7
Avg total169.3174.4166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%14%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Spojnia Stargard
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL37%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %37%27%50%
Points / game77.074.181.0
Allowed / game80.181.078.8
Point differential-3.1-6.9+2.2
Avg total157.1155.1159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%9%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1916384%89.579.8+9.7
2 Trefl Sopot1813572%88.085.2+2.8
3 Gornik Walbrzych2013765%77.775.6+2.1
4 Lublin2012860%88.486.3+2.1
5 Szczecin1911858%85.282.7+2.5
6 Legia1911858%82.480.6+1.7
7 Slask Wroclaw1910953%81.380.5+0.8
8 Czarni Slupsk1991047%80.877.3+3.6
9 Torun1991047%84.484.9-0.6
10 Dziki Warszawa2091145%75.875.8+0.0
11 Ostrow Wielkopolski1981142%82.683.9-1.4
12 Spojnia Stargard1971237%77.080.1-3.1
13 Zielona Gora1971237%77.781.6-3.8
14 Gdynia1971237%85.490.1-4.6
15 GTK Gliwice1961332%83.390.8-7.5
16 Dabrowa Gornicza1951426%81.285.5-4.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun2226122888
Spojnia Stargard1725252289
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