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Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 30 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 83-79
23-22 25-24 15-17 20-16
Position#8
Record6-10
FormWWLWL
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game85.4
Torun 🏆
Poland
vs
Position#11
Record7-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.8
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 17· Arena Torun
Other2024-25
Meetings · Torun v Zielona Gora
31 Oct 2026
TOR87
ZGO71
22 Nov 2025
TOR95
ZGO81
30 Jan 2025
TOR83
ZGO79
29 Sep 2023
TOR85
ZGO74
13 Oct 2022
TOR72
ZGO89
21 Oct 2021
TOR95
ZGO77
07 Oct 2020
TOR94
ZGO88
11 Oct 2019
TOR92
ZGO82
19 May 2019
TOR81
ZGO67
17 May 2019
TOR88
ZGO77
06 Dec 2018
TOR93
ZGO89
29 May 2018
TOR83
ZGO87
22 Apr 2018
TOR83
ZGO74
18 Feb 2018
TOR88
ZGO80
08 Jun 2017
TOR78
ZGO81
06 Jun 2017
TOR84
ZGO74
16 Feb 2017
TOR55
ZGO79
05 Feb 2017
TOR81
ZGO69
20 Mar 2016
TOR83
ZGO80
21 Dec 2014
TOR62
ZGO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zielona Gora winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TorunPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTorun
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 75
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 75
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 75
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
63-77
63
77
-14
59avg 75
A12/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
82avg 75
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
W
108-97 OT
108
97
+11
98avg 75
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
87-72
87
72
+15
83avg 75
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 75
A10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
101-98
101
98
+3
87avg 75
A16/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
71-79
71
79
-8
64avg 75
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
13-13
26-24
13-27
11-20
28-22
12-12
17-21
25-20
16-22
19-19
17-21
16-24
10-24
13-8
24-21
23-22
25-23
23-19
20-28
21-24
21-21
18-19
32-28
28-24
24-26
18-8
17-14
25-29
20-31
26-32
24-15
23-17
29-28
27-28
22-25
20-21
21-23
13-19
17-16
168.9Avg total
82.7Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)83.385.4168.7-2.138%
Season at home (6)87.788.8176.5-1.233%
Season away (10)80.783.3164.0-2.640%
Last 10 (10)82.786.2168.9-3.530%
Last 5 (5)92.490.6183.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.687.3162.9-11.618%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.484.2163.6-4.936%
vs Weaker (4)96.892.0188.8+4.850%
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGora
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
82-88
82
88
-6
76avg 74
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
80-101
80
101
-21
70avg 74
H30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
86-73
86
73
+13
85avg 74
H05/12
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 74
A13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
83-72
83
72
+11
81avg 74
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
72avg 74
H27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
54-81
54
81
-27
41avg 74
A05/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
89avg 74
H13/01
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
70-84
70
84
-14
62avg 74
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
76-66
76
66
+10
80avg 74
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-29
9-22
37-17
20-21
23-25
17-29
20-26
18-6
26-15
18-26
24-26
30-16
20-25
17-26
15-24
22-22
22-20
25-9
14-21
17-22
24-19
19-15
17-20
16-23
9-22
16-12
13-24
18-21
23-25
23-17
27-15
15-19
22-18
14-25
19-22
16-17
26-18
18-13
16-18
159.1Avg total
78.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.181.8159.8-3.744%
Season at home (10)81.984.1166.0-2.250%
Season away (6)71.777.8149.5-6.233%
Last 10 (10)78.181.0159.1-2.950%
Last 5 (5)73.677.0150.6-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)77.387.7165.1-10.428%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.182.6165.7+0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.1-1.1
TorunZielona Gora
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gornik Walbrzych
#5
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A12/12
Energa Basket Liga
GTK Gliwice
#12
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H22/12
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A29/12
Energa Basket Liga
Slask Wroclaw
#9
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/01
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A10/01
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A16/01
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/01
Energa Basket Liga
86.6Avg total
41.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.884.9-4.723%-
Last 30 at home (11)42.647.289.8-4.536%-
Last 30 away (19)38.743.482.1-4.716%-
Last 10 (10)41.345.386.6-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.448.895.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.047.184.1-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.544.686.1-3.129%-
vs Weaker (4)44.541.586.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slask Wroclaw
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H15/11
Energa Basket Liga
Szczecin
#7
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/11
Energa Basket Liga
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
44-21
44
21
+23
H05/12
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A13/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trefl Sopot
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/12
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A05/01
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/01
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A17/01
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A25/01
Energa Basket Liga
80.6Avg total
40.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.483.5-3.330%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.643.985.5-2.429%-
Last 30 away (13)38.242.880.9-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.380.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.240.878.0-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.944.184.1-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.342.482.8-2.125%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toruntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Torun: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.3
52.7%
53.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.6
35.7%
35.2%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.815.2
73.1%
73.7%15.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zielona Goratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zielona Gora: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.819.6
50.5%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.6
36.5%
35.2%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.615.3
78.1%
73.7%15.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Torun
LWLWWLLLLL
Zielona Gora
WLWLWWLWLL
#8
League position
#11
-6.0
Net rating
-3.6
108.8
Offensive rating
102.5
114.8
Defensive rating
106.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.0%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.7%
3-point %
36.5%
59.9%
Assist %
69.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 102.5Defence114.8 · 106.1Shooting53.0% · 52.0%3-point %35.7% · 36.5%Ball care15.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds24.3% · 22.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Torun   ■ Zielona Gora
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Torun wins
4
Zielona Gora wins
DateGameScore
10/10/24Zielona Gora v Torun68-79
11/01/24Zielona Gora v Torun89-110
29/09/23Torun v Zielona Gora85-74
04/02/23Zielona Gora v Torun98-88
13/10/22Torun v Zielona Gora72-89
11/02/22Zielona Gora v Torun85-67
21/10/21Torun v Zielona Gora95-77
12/01/21Zielona Gora v Torun94-82
07/10/20Torun v Zielona Gora94-88
11/10/19Torun v Zielona Gora92-82
Torunlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25ALublin71-79
16/01/25ADabrowa Gornicza101-98
10/01/25ASzczecin95-107
03/01/25HSlask Wroclaw87-72
29/12/24AGdynia108-97 OT
22/12/24HGTK Gliwice91-92
12/12/24AGornik Walbrzych63-77
06/12/24ALegia77-82
01/12/24ATrefl Sopot68-75
16/11/24AAnwil Wloclawek66-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25AAnwil Wloclawek76-66
17/01/25AOstrow Wielkopolski70-84
13/01/25HSpojnia Stargard91-78
05/01/25ACzarni Slupsk54-81
27/12/24HDziki Warszawa77-76
21/12/24HTrefl Sopot83-72
13/12/24ALublin82-91
05/12/24HDabrowa Gornicza86-73
30/11/24HSzczecin80-101
15/11/24HSlask Wroclaw82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL38%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game83.387.780.7
Allowed / game85.488.883.3
Point differential-2.1-1.2-2.6
Avg total168.7176.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Zielona Gora
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %44%50%33%
Points / game78.181.971.7
Allowed / game81.884.177.8
Point differential-3.7-2.2-6.2
Avg total159.8166.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1613381%89.179.3+9.8
2 Trefl Sopot1511473%88.785.3+3.4
3 Lublin1610662%89.186.7+2.4
4 Gornik Walbrzych1610662%77.775.7+2.0
5 Szczecin169756%84.582.1+2.4
6 Legia169756%83.280.9+2.3
7 Czarni Slupsk168850%80.075.2+4.8
8 Dziki Warszawa168850%74.173.9+0.1
9 Slask Wroclaw168850%79.179.6-0.4
10 Ostrow Wielkopolski167944%82.283.6-1.3
11 Zielona Gora167944%78.181.8-3.7
12 Gdynia156940%84.989.2-4.3
13 Torun1661038%83.385.4-2.1
14 Spojnia Stargard1661038%77.380.4-3.1
15 GTK Gliwice1661038%84.390.0-5.7
16 Dabrowa Gornicza1631319%78.985.6-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Torun2325152083
Zielona Gora2224171679
← all games of the day
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