Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 16:45

Final 93-89

23-24 31-23 16-17 23-25

Position#1

Record6-2

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.1

Allowed / game72.1

Torun 🏆

Zielona Gora

Position#3

Record7-1

FormWLLWL

Points / game94.0

Allowed / game79.5

Energa Basket LigaRound 9

Other2018-19

Meetings · Torun v Zielona Gora

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torun winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Zielona Gora winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Torun

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayreuth

#35

73-73

H01/10

Champions League

Bayreuth

#35

73-86

-13

A04/10

Champions League

Trefl Sopot

#15

76-72

A07/10

Energa Basket Liga

Koszalin

#14

82-73

A13/10

Energa Basket Liga

Spojnia Stargard

#13

94-69

+25

H21/10

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

79-76 OT

A27/10

Energa Basket Liga

HydroTruck Radom

#11

92-56

+36

H03/11

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

63-68

-5

A10/11

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#16

95-70

+25

A17/11

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

84-93

-9

A25/11

Energa Basket Liga

18-20

16-14

21-17

18-22

20-23

21-17

16-22

16-24

20-20

23-14

14-24

19-14

22-19

22-15

15-17

23-22

23-13

24-19

24-15

23-22

23-25

10-19

16-8

20-17

24-19

24-8

20-13

24-16

15-21

15-15

12-19

21-13

22-17

26-19

33-13

14-21

20-24

23-28

19-23

22-18

154.7Avg total

81.1Scored

73.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.1	72.1	155.2	+11.0	75%
Season at home (2)	93.0	62.5	155.5	+30.5	100%
Season away (6)	79.8	75.3	155.2	+4.5	67%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	73.6	154.7	+7.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.6	72.6	155.2	+10.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	81.5	80.2	161.7	+1.4	46%
vs Weaker (16)	86.5	71.4	157.9	+15.1	81%

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona Gora Poland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Polpharma Starogard

#10

94-80

+14

A23/10

Energa Basket Liga

Astana

82-91

-9

H29/10

VTB United League

Lublin

92-70

+22

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Nizhny Novgorod

80-72

H03/11

VTB United League

Ostrow Wielkopolski

72-81

-9

A06/11

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

113-93

113

+20

H10/11

Energa Basket Liga

BC Kalev/Cramo

77-80

-3

A13/11

VTB United League

Enisey

81-109

109

-28

A18/11

VTB United League

Trefl Sopot

#15

93-75

+18

H21/11

Energa Basket Liga

Zenit Petersburg

71-83

-12

A24/11

VTB United League

21-20

24-21

28-22

21-17

14-23

21-20

18-26

29-22

15-23

23-18

27-19

27-10

15-24

18-16

23-18

24-14

20-15

19-28

16-15

17-23

29-28

33-18

31-24

20-23

21-16

19-25

21-22

16-17

14-28

17-24

27-33

23-24

25-15

24-20

17-15

27-25

15-21

22-21

15-26

19-15

168.9Avg total

85.5Scored

83.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	94.0	79.5	173.5	+14.5	88%
Season at home (6)	97.7	79.2	176.8	+18.5	100%
Season away (2)	83.0	80.5	163.5	+2.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	83.4	168.9	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	88.0	175.0	-1.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.2	86.8	163.0	-10.7	17%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	87.8	85.5	173.2	+2.2	56%
vs Weaker (8)	96.8	83.5	180.2	+13.2	88%

This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TorunZielona Gora

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	16.9	36.7	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	18.7	20.5	39.2	-1.8	15%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.6	17.2	38.8	+4.3	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	21.0	42.0	-0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	22.8	43.6	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.0	20.5	42.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.2	40.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.1	39.2	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.1	20.2	41.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	16.8	37.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.9	20.4	40.3	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.3	18.2	40.5	+4.1	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.3	20.1	44.4	+4.2	86%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	21.1	40.1	-2.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.1	43.1	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.6	44.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.7	20.8	41.5	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.2	19.8	45.0	+5.5	100%	-

TorunLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bayreuth

#35

34-34

H01/10

Champions League

Bayreuth

#35

41-40

A04/10

Champions League

Trefl Sopot

#15

43-34

A07/10

Energa Basket Liga

Koszalin

#14

44-34

+10

A13/10

Energa Basket Liga

Spojnia Stargard

#13

47-32

+15

H21/10

Energa Basket Liga

Anwil Wloclawek

33-44

-11

A27/10

Energa Basket Liga

HydroTruck Radom

#11

48-27

+21

H03/11

Energa Basket Liga

Legia

30-36

-6

A10/11

Energa Basket Liga

Krosno

#16

48-36

+12

A17/11

Energa Basket Liga

Dabrowa Gornicza

43-52

-9

A25/11

Energa Basket Liga

78.0Avg total

41.1Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.0	34.9	75.9	+6.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	40.4	81.8	+1.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	36.9	78.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	39.0	79.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	38.6	40.8	79.5	-2.2	23%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.9	35.4	79.3	+8.4	81%	-

This opponent (Zielona Gora) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Zielona GoraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Polpharma Starogard

#10

45-41

A23/10

Energa Basket Liga

Astana

35-43

-8

H29/10

VTB United League

Lublin

38-41

-3

H31/10

Energa Basket Liga

Nizhny Novgorod

33-40

-7

H03/11

VTB United League

Ostrow Wielkopolski

39-43

-4

A06/11

Energa Basket Liga

Gdynia

62-46

+16

H10/11

Energa Basket Liga

BC Kalev/Cramo

40-41

-1

A13/11

VTB United League

Enisey

31-52

-21

A18/11

VTB United League

Trefl Sopot

#15

49-35

+14

H21/11

Energa Basket Liga

Zenit Petersburg

37-42

-5

A24/11

VTB United League

83.3Avg total

40.9Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	41.6	84.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.1	42.9	87.9	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	40.6	80.8	-0.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	42.4	83.3	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.2	87.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	35.5	43.2	78.7	-7.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	42.7	41.3	84.0	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.2	41.1	88.4	+6.1	75%	-

This opponent (Torun) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.3	38.0	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.4	41.4	+2.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	17.4	35.0	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.2	35.2	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.4	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.0	43.5	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	22.7	46.1	+0.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.3	41.2	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	22.0	44.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.5	24.2	43.7	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.2	24.1	49.4	+1.1	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.9	18.0	40.9	+4.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.3	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.9	38.9	+1.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.2	18.0	40.2	+4.2	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.7	43.7	+2.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.8	20.8	45.6	+4.0	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	19.0	41.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	23.1	22.3	45.4	+0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	18.2	42.5	+6.0	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	37.0	79.3	+5.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.8	37.4	82.2	+7.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	36.6	76.8	+3.6	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.2	32.2	72.4	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (13)	42.2	38.8	80.9	+3.4	46%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.6	35.9	78.6	+6.7	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	42.6	87.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	48.2	43.5	91.7	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.4	41.9	83.2	-0.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.6	41.0	85.6	+3.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	44.8	88.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	40.7	43.7	84.3	-3.0	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.6	42.4	85.9	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (8)	49.5	42.4	91.9	+7.1	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Torun wins

Zielona Gora wins

Date	Game	Score
29/05/18	Torun v Zielona Gora	83-87
27/05/18	Zielona Gora v Torun	95-117
22/04/18	Torun v Zielona Gora	83-74
18/02/18	Torun v Zielona Gora	88-80
07/01/18	Zielona Gora v Torun	100-76
10/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	88-82
08/06/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	78-81
06/06/17	Torun v Zielona Gora	84-74
03/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	87-66
01/06/17	Zielona Gora v Torun	88-69

Torunlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/18	A	Dabrowa Gornicza	84-93
17/11/18	A	Krosno	95-70
10/11/18	A	Legia	63-68
03/11/18	H	HydroTruck Radom	92-56
27/10/18	A	Anwil Wloclawek	79-76 OT
21/10/18	H	Spojnia Stargard	94-69
13/10/18	A	Koszalin	82-73
07/10/18	A	Trefl Sopot	76-72
04/10/18	A	Bayreuth	73-86
01/10/18	H	Bayreuth	73-73

Zielona Goralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/18	A	Zenit Petersburg	71-83
21/11/18	H	Trefl Sopot	93-75
18/11/18	A	Enisey	81-109
13/11/18	A	BC Kalev/Cramo	77-80
10/11/18	H	Gdynia	113-93
06/11/18	A	Ostrow Wielkopolski	72-81
03/11/18	H	Nizhny Novgorod	80-72
31/10/18	H	Lublin	92-70
29/10/18	H	Astana	82-91
23/10/18	A	Polpharma Starogard	94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Torun

Energa Basket Liga 2018-19

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWLWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	2	6
Win %	75%	100%	67%
Points / game	83.1	93.0	79.8
Allowed / game	72.1	62.5	75.3
Point differential	+11.0	+30.5	+4.5
Avg total	155.2	155.5	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	100%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	-	67% (3)
Overtime %	12%	0%	17%

Zielona Gora

Energa Basket Liga 2018-19

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	6	2
Win %	88%	100%	50%
Points / game	94.0	97.7	83.0
Allowed / game	79.5	79.2	80.5
Point differential	+14.5	+18.5	+2.5
Avg total	173.5	176.8	163.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	83%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zielona Gora	8	7	1	88%	94.0	79.5	+14.5
2	Ostrow Wielkopolski	8	6	2	75%	90.1	75.9	+14.2
3	Torun	8	6	2	75%	83.1	72.1	+11.0
4	Gdynia	8	6	2	75%	90.1	85.2	+4.9
5	Anwil Wloclawek	8	5	3	62%	87.2	79.8	+7.5
6	Polpharma Starogard	8	5	3	62%	93.8	90.2	+3.5
7	Legia	8	5	3	62%	77.4	77.1	+0.2
8	Szczecin	7	4	3	57%	83.6	77.0	+6.6
9	Dabrowa Gornicza	9	5	4	56%	86.3	82.8	+3.6
10	Lublin	8	4	4	50%	78.4	80.1	-1.8
11	GTK Gliwice	8	3	5	38%	80.5	87.5	-7.0
12	HydroTruck Radom	8	2	6	25%	71.0	83.2	-12.2
13	Spojnia Stargard	8	2	6	25%	73.0	85.2	-12.2
14	Krosno	8	2	6	25%	74.5	87.2	-12.8
15	Trefl Sopot	8	1	7	12%	76.4	82.9	-6.5
16	Koszalin	8	1	7	12%	73.6	86.8	-13.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Torun	23	31	16	23	93
Zielona Gora	24	23	17	25	89

← all games of the day

Torun vs Zielona Gora Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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