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Toulouse W vs Lyon W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 76-75
13-24 27-19 21-14 15-18
Position#9
Record2-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game77.8
Toulouse W 🏆
France
vs
Lyon W
France
Position#7
Record5-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game70.5
FranceLFB WRound 14· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v Lyon W
22 Nov 2026
TOUL v LYON
upcoming
12 May 2026
TOUL68
LYON75
10 Jan 2026
TOUL76
LYON75
18 Mar 2023
TOUL70
LYON83
19 Dec 2015
TOUL53
LYON68
14 Dec 2014
TOUL87
LYON81
22 Apr 2014
TOUL68
LYON88
15 Dec 2013
TOUL79
LYON82
03 Apr 2013
TOUL60
LYON72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lyon W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#3
L
60-82
60
82
-22
49avg 60
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
44avg 60
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
49-73
49
73
-24
32avg 60
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
60-78
60
78
-18
49avg 60
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
57-89
57
89
-32
44avg 60
H29/11
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
61avg 60
A06/12
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 60
H13/12
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
L
66-75
66
75
-9
53avg 60
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
68avg 60
H04/01
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
L
74-83
74
83
-9
66avg 60
A07/01
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
19-26
13-20
15-18
12-22
10-20
20-17
15-18
17-26
11-20
13-16
8-11
15-18
17-26
15-21
13-13
15-21
18-24
16-24
8-20
16-25
20-25
16-20
11-16
13-11
16-18
12-27
23-22
19-15
12-16
22-17
13-27
26-17
15-16
11-22
18-10
14-18
23-14
19-23
18-28
140.6Avg total
62.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.177.8142.8-12.717%
Season at home (6)64.876.3141.2-11.533%
Season away (6)65.379.2144.5-13.80%
Last 10 (10)62.078.6140.6-16.610%
Last 5 (5)67.477.4144.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)62.277.4139.6-15.112%
vs Similar (4)70.878.5149.2-7.825%
vs Weaker (17)70.261.5131.8+8.788%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
L
63-71
63
71
-8
49avg 66
A01/11
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
70-84
70
84
-14
63avg 66
H07/11
LFB W
Central Arkansas W
#99
L
43-115
43
115
-72
no box
A08/11
NCAA Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
92-65
92
65
+27
90avg 66
A29/11
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
W
71-68
71
68
+3
71avg 66
H03/12
French Cup Women
La Roche W
#12
L
66-70
66
70
-4
51avg 66
A06/12
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
78-64
78
64
+14
78avg 66
H12/12
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
61-64
61
64
-3
49avg 66
A21/12
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
73-77
73
77
-4
69avg 66
A04/01
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
72-67
72
67
+5
65avg 66
H07/01
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
14-12
14-20
17-17
12-16
21-20
22-25
15-23
14-36
9-25
17-38
3-16
20-16
23-15
16-23
33-11
21-18
15-15
15-17
20-18
9-18
13-15
24-9
20-28
19-23
27-17
16-12
16-12
19-15
9-17
20-16
13-16
16-21
29-24
13-12
15-20
20-13
21-23
13-19
18-12
143.4Avg total
68.9Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.270.5141.7+0.638%
Season at home (6)74.372.5146.8+1.867%
Season away (7)68.468.9137.3-0.414%
Last 10 (10)68.974.5143.4-5.640%
Last 5 (5)70.068.4138.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.573.1139.6-6.60%
vs Similar (9)73.370.4143.8+2.967%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)72.266.8139.0+5.455%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: -0.3-0.3
Toulouse WLyon W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/10
French Cup Women
Landes W
#1
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A26/10
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H01/11
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A08/11
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H29/11
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A06/12
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#4
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H13/12
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/12
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H04/01
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A07/01
LFB W
71.7Avg total
32.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.634.168.7+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.030.465.4+4.667%-
Last 30 away (15)34.237.771.9-3.533%-
Last 10 (10)32.139.671.7-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)34.835.069.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.439.270.6-7.912%-
vs Similar (4)36.537.574.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (17)35.830.266.1+5.671%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bourges W
#2
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A01/11
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#3
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H07/11
LFB W
Central Arkansas W
#99
L
23-61
23
61
-38
A08/11
NCAA Women
ESB Villeneuve W
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A29/11
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#9
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H03/12
French Cup Women
La Roche W
#12
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A06/12
LFB W
Chartres W
#10
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/12
LFB W
Landes W
#1
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A21/12
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/01
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/01
LFB W
73.0Avg total
34.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.935.871.7+0.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.134.072.1+4.169%-
Last 30 away (14)33.437.971.2-4.543%-
Last 10 (10)34.938.173.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.273.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.033.966.9-0.938%-
vs Similar (9)38.635.173.7+3.478%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.335.872.1+0.555%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 61.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.614.8
37.4%
46.9%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.4
28.7%
31.0%19.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.6
75.9%
74.3%12.6
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.2
46.7%
46.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.8
32.4%
31.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.315.5
76.4%
74.3%15.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLLLLLLLL
Lyon W
WLLWLWWLLL
#9
League position
#7
-22.5
Net rating
+2.5
81.8
Offensive rating
96.9
104.4
Defensive rating
94.3
39.4%
Effective FG%
47.3%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
21.9%
Turnover %
23.6%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.34
28.7%
3-point %
32.4%
74.1%
Assist %
70.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence81.8 · 96.9Defence104.4 · 94.3Shooting39.4% · 47.3%3-point %28.7% · 32.4%Ball care21.9% · 23.6%Off. rebounds25.5% · 32.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Lyon W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toulouse W wins
8
Lyon W wins
DateGameScore
22/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W82-60
10/10/25Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
14/12/14Toulouse W v Lyon W87-81
24/04/14Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
22/04/14Toulouse W v Lyon W68-88
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26ALa Roche W74-83
04/01/26HESB Villeneuve W70-65
21/12/25ALattes Montpellier W66-75
13/12/25HLanderneau Bretagne W64-78
06/12/25ABourges W63-86
29/11/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W57-89
08/11/25AAngers W60-78
01/11/25HFlammes Carolo W49-73
26/10/25ALandes W57-77
22/10/25ALyon W60-82
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HAngers W72-67
04/01/26ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W73-77
21/12/25ALandes W61-64
12/12/25HChartres W78-64
06/12/25ALa Roche W66-70
03/12/25HLanderneau Bretagne W71-68
29/11/25AESB Villeneuve W92-65
08/11/25ACentral Arkansas W43-115
07/11/25HFlammes Carolo W70-84
01/11/25ABourges W63-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game65.164.865.3
Allowed / game77.876.379.2
Point differential-12.7-11.5-13.8
Avg total142.8141.2144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lyon W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %38%67%14%
Points / game71.274.368.4
Allowed / game70.572.568.9
Point differential+0.6+1.8-0.4
Avg total141.7146.8137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)67% (3)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W1310377%69.060.3+8.7
2 Bourges W139469%69.663.8+5.8
3 ESB Villeneuve W128467%75.271.6+3.6
4 Lattes Montpellier W149564%72.969.4+3.5
5 Flammes Carolo W138562%75.166.8+8.2
6 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W138562%74.774.5+0.2
7 Landerneau Bretagne W137654%69.170.4-1.3
8 Lyon W135838%71.270.5+0.6
9 La Roche W145936%68.271.4-3.2
10 Angers W134931%69.875.0-5.2
11 Chartres W1331023%69.678.7-9.1
12 Toulouse W1221017%65.177.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W1327211576
Lyon W2419141875
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