PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toulouse W vs Bourges W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#12
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game58.5
Allowed / game73.4
Toulouse W
France
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Bourges W
France
Position#6
Record4-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game69.6
FranceLFB WRound 16· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2026-27
Meetings · Toulouse W v Bourges W
16 Jan 2027
TOUL v BOUR
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
TOUL55
BOUR84
04 Mar 2023
TOUL52
BOUR77
10 Apr 2016
TOUL58
BOUR70
07 Feb 2015
TOUL57
BOUR72
23 Oct 2013
TOUL42
BOUR67
03 Feb 2013
TOUL48
BOUR77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bourges W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
52avg 54
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
68-75
68
75
-7
61avg 54
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
55-70
55
70
-15
13avg 54
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
54-75
54
75
-21
51avg 54
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
53-62
53
62
-9
41avg 54
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
37-79
37
79
-42
23avg 54
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
L
69-87
69
87
-18
64avg 54
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
70-75
70
75
-5
61avg 54
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
56avg 54
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
13-27
16-15
23-30
16-28
21-15
10-24
21-8
22-18
14-23
13-20
6-9
14-20
14-10
14-26
12-19
16-23
17-16
7-10
13-13
8-23
16-13
4-34
9-9
18-15
19-19
22-24
10-29
17-23
21-17
18-17
14-18
17-20
16-21
17-11
11-8
15-15
18-16
22-18
14-30
136.0Avg total
60.5Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)58.573.4131.9-14.912%
Season at home (4)55.572.2127.8-16.825%
Season away (4)61.574.5136.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)60.575.5136.0-15.010%
Last 5 (5)61.276.0137.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)63.177.7140.8-14.617%
vs Similar (7)72.167.7139.9+4.471%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
83-90
83
90
-7
66avg 67
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 67
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
L
55-76
55
76
-21
38avg 67
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Toulouse W
#12
W
87-69
87
69
+18
85avg 67
H17/10
LFB W
Emlak Konut W
#10
W
79-74
79
74
+5
70avg 67
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
L
64-67
64
67
-3
50avg 67
A25/10
LFB W
Lublin W
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
91avg 67
A28/10
Euroleague Women
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
55-67
55
67
-12
no box
A31/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H03/11
Euroleague Women
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
83-68 OT
83
68
+15
no box
H07/11
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
21-14
19-18
24-23
15-14
22-14
16-17
19-14
17-12
17-22
15-20
6-22
15-18
19-19
24-22
29-10
15-18
21-24
22-14
21-18
15-18
18-9
16-24
15-16
19-16
36-19
19-20
14-14
–
–
–
–
23-22
25-26
19-19
18-14
24-15
11-15
19-20
14-18
147.1Avg total
75.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.069.6144.6+5.457%
Season at home (3)83.768.0151.7+15.7100%
Season away (4)68.570.8139.2-2.225%
Last 10 (10)75.172.0147.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)75.070.4145.4+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)66.476.6143.0-10.220%
vs Similar (10)67.966.4134.3+1.540%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.268.1149.3+13.187%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +1.2+1.2
Toulouse WBourges W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angers W
#11
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H06/05
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H12/05
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A26/09
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#2
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H03/10
LFB W
Tronche Meylan W
#11
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H10/10
LFB W
Bourges W
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A17/10
LFB W
Angers W
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H24/10
LFB W
Landes W
#3
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H31/10
LFB W
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A07/11
LFB W
71.2Avg total
32.9Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.639.172.7-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.239.771.9-7.513%-
Last 30 away (15)35.138.573.5-3.433%-
Last 10 (10)32.938.371.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.036.469.4-3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.940.773.6-7.917%-
vs Similar (7)36.133.769.9+2.443%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bourges W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bourges WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lattes Montpellier W
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A03/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#5
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A11/10
LFB W
USK Prague W
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A14/10
Euroleague Women
Toulouse W
#12
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H17/10
LFB W
Emlak Konut W
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H21/10
Euroleague Women
Landes W
#3
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A25/10
LFB W
Lublin W
#13
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A28/10
Euroleague Women
USK Prague W
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H03/11
Euroleague Women
Tronche Meylan W
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H07/11
LFB W
75.8Avg total
39.1Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.434.972.3+2.545%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.535.973.4+1.650%-
Last 30 away (17)37.434.271.5+3.241%-
Last 10 (9)39.136.775.8+2.444%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.477.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.842.879.5-6.00%-
vs Similar (10)32.134.566.6-2.430%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.133.174.2+8.167%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.0
45.5%
46.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.94.2
22.2%
27.2%12.6
🏀 Free throws16.010.4
65.0%
73.5%10.4
They take 56.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bourges Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bourges W: 69.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 65.7 points a game
55%
25%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.920.1
45.8%
46.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.55.7
27.8%
27.2%17.1
🏀 Free throws15.411.8
76.6%
73.5%11.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWLLLLLLLL
Bourges W
WWLWLWWLWL
#12
League position
#6
-11.1
Net rating
+1.3
71.2
Offensive rating
80.7
82.4
Defensive rating
79.4
41.4%
Effective FG%
44.5%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
45.5%
21.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
22.2%
3-point %
27.8%
69.3%
Assist %
67.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence71.2 · 80.7Defence82.4 · 79.4Shooting41.4% · 44.5%3-point %22.2% · 27.8%Ball care21.9% · 17.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Bourges W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toulouse W wins
10
Bourges W wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Bourges W v Toulouse W87-69
07/03/26Toulouse W v Bourges W55-84
06/12/25Bourges W v Toulouse W86-63
04/03/23Toulouse W v Bourges W52-77
18/11/22Bourges W v Toulouse W66-57
10/04/16Toulouse W v Bourges W58-70
12/12/15Bourges W v Toulouse W84-40
07/02/15Toulouse W v Bourges W57-72
08/11/14Bourges W v Toulouse W80-49
08/02/14Bourges W v Toulouse W71-37
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26ALattes Montpellier W69-79
31/10/26HLandes W61-60
24/10/26HAngers W70-75
17/10/26ABourges W69-87
10/10/26HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W37-79
07/10/26ATronche Meylan W53-62
03/10/26HFlammes Carolo W54-75
26/09/26AESB Villeneuve W55-70
12/05/26HLyon W68-75
06/05/26HAngers W69-93
Bourges Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HTronche Meylan W83-68 OT
03/11/26HUSK Prague W85-81
31/10/26AFlammes Carolo W55-67
28/10/26ALublin W88-69
25/10/26ALandes W64-67
21/10/26HEmlak Konut W79-74
17/10/26HToulouse W87-69
14/10/26AUSK Prague W55-76
11/10/26ALyon W72-59
03/10/26ALattes Montpellier W83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game58.555.561.5
Allowed / game73.472.274.5
Point differential-14.9-16.8-13.0
Avg total131.9127.8136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bourges W
LFB W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%100%25%
Points / game75.083.768.5
Allowed / game69.668.070.8
Point differential+5.4+15.7-2.2
Avg total144.6151.7139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lattes Montpellier W87188%74.271.5+2.8
2 Flammes Carolo W86275%72.860.5+12.2
3 Landes W86275%67.659.4+8.2
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W85362%78.869.9+8.9
5 Lyon W85362%68.965.6+3.2
6 Bourges W74357%75.069.6+5.4
7 ESB Villeneuve W84450%68.967.9+1.0
8 Landerneau Bretagne W84450%66.969.8-2.9
9 Angers W72529%67.472.3-4.9
10 Chartres W61517%64.376.2-11.8
11 Tronche Meylan W81712%65.876.0-10.2
12 Toulouse W81712%58.573.4-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.