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Toulouse W vs Chartres W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-88
21-19 23-27 24-26 15-16
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#10
Record1-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game76.3
FranceLFB WRound 4· Gymnase Compans Caffarelli
Women2025-26
Meetings · Toulouse W v Chartres W
21 Mar 2027
TOUL v CHAR
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
TOUL83
CHAR88
12 May 2024
TOUL86
CHAR71
20 Jan 2024
TOUL65
CHAR71
05 Feb 2022
TOUL75
CHAR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chartres W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 65
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 65
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 65
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
27avg 65
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
81avg 65
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 65
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 65
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 65
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
56avg 65
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
72-76
72
76
-4
67avg 65
A10/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
10-17
14-20
12-10
24-11
17-18
14-10
20-18
22-16
18-16
15-18
22-12
19-15
15-15
22-13
15-15
9-14
18-19
23-18
17-16
15-17
18-14
15-14
18-21
15-16
18-17
13-21
16-20
25-18
134.0Avg total
69.7Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.070.5139.5-1.550%
Season at home (1)66.065.0131.0+1.0100%
Season away (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)69.764.3134.0+5.490%
Last 5 (5)69.265.8135.0+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.076.0148.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (1)66.065.0131.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (28)68.859.8128.6+9.086%
This opponent (Chartres W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chartres WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
66-84
66
84
-18
56avg 63
A06/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
62-81
62
81
-19
52avg 63
H18/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
72-69
72
69
+3
65avg 63
A23/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
64-59
64
59
+5
56avg 63
H30/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
75-81
75
81
-6
68avg 63
A03/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 63
H07/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
77-54
77
54
+23
77avg 63
A13/05
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
58-62
58
62
-4
48avg 63
H01/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
74-89
74
89
-15
69avg 63
A04/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
89-78
89
78
+11
92avg 63
H11/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-29
13-15
18-25
20-15
24-16
8-22
13-26
17-17
25-15
13-19
17-18
17-17
17-15
21-10
14-7
12-27
17-20
20-19
19-21
19-21
18-15
16-20
23-14
17-18
17-23
18-8
16-13
26-10
18-16
12-16
12-18
16-12
21-17
18-23
18-23
17-26
27-20
19-20
25-20
18-18
143.5Avg total
71.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.776.3150.0-2.733%
Season at home (2)73.570.0143.5+3.550%
Season away (1)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)71.172.4143.5-1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.470.0144.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)67.076.7143.7-9.711%
vs Similar ◀ (11)71.568.3139.8+3.364%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -0.2-0.2
Toulouse WChartres W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/10
LFB W
Lyon W
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A10/10
LFB W
65.0Avg total
33.6Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.629.864.5+4.870%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.326.762.0+8.793%-
Last 30 away (15)33.933.066.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.465.0+2.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.033.068.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.038.069.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)33.028.061.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)34.829.664.4+5.271%-
This opponent (Chartres W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Chartres WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tarbes GB W
#9
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A06/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H18/04
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A23/04
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H30/04
LFB W
ESB Villeneuve W
#8
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A03/05
LFB W
La Roche W
#12
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/05
LFB W
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A13/05
LFB W
Bourges W
#2
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/10
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H11/10
LFB W
71.5Avg total
35.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.571.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.637.272.8-1.744%-
Last 30 away (14)33.137.870.9-4.721%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.871.5-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.739.272.9-5.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.534.670.2+0.955%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.7
51.0%
46.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.85.7
30.3%
31.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws13.410.1
75.4%
74.3%10.1
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chartres Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chartres W: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀18%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.421.2
47.7%
46.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.04.3
21.5%
31.0%12.9
🏀 Free throws21.514.8
68.8%
74.3%14.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toulouse W
LWWWWWWWWW
Chartres W
WLLWWLWWLL
#9
League position
#10
+7.0
Net rating
-2.2
94.8
Offensive rating
90.3
87.7
Defensive rating
92.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
42.9%
43.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.9%
22.2%
Turnover %
20.5%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.3%
3-point %
21.5%
71.2%
Assist %
80.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence94.8 · 90.3Defence87.7 · 92.5Shooting49.2% · 42.9%3-point %30.3% · 21.5%Ball care22.2% · 20.5%Off. rebounds26.9% · 30.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Toulouse W   ■ Chartres W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toulouse W wins
4
Chartres W wins
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25ALyon W72-76
04/10/25HLa Roche W66-65
17/05/25AMontbrison W73-70
11/05/25HMontbrison W61-57
30/04/25AMondeville W74-61
27/04/25HMondeville W73-62
16/04/25ANice W60-58
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
Chartres Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/25HAngers W89-78
04/10/25ACharnay Bourgogne Sud W74-89
01/10/25HBourges W58-62
13/05/25ALanderneau Bretagne W77-54
07/05/25HLa Roche W74-67
03/05/25AESB Villeneuve W75-81
30/04/25HLanderneau Bretagne W64-59
23/04/25ALa Roche W72-69
18/04/25HESB Villeneuve W62-81
06/04/25ATarbes GB W66-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game69.066.072.0
Allowed / game70.565.076.0
Point differential-1.5+1.0-4.0
Avg total139.5131.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chartres W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeLW50%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game73.773.574.0
Allowed / game76.370.089.0
Point differential-2.7+3.5-15.0
Avg total150.0143.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W330100%61.747.3+14.3
2 Lattes Montpellier W32167%73.071.3+1.7
3 Angers W32167%70.771.0-0.3
4 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W32167%68.068.7-0.7
5 ESB Villeneuve W21150%72.571.0+1.5
6 Toulouse W21150%69.070.5-1.5
7 Flammes Carolo W31233%76.072.7+3.3
8 Lyon W31233%66.767.7-1.0
9 Chartres W31233%73.776.3-2.7
10 La Roche W31233%67.770.3-2.7
11 Bourges W31233%59.064.3-5.3
12 Landerneau Bretagne W31233%65.071.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toulouse W2123241583
Chartres W1927261688
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