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Lyon W vs Toulouse W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-72
17-18 21-13 20-16 18-25
Position#7
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game65.5
Lyon W 🏆
France
vs
Toulouse W
France
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game65.0
FranceLFB WRound 3· Gymnase Mado Bonnet
Women2025-26
Meetings · Lyon W v Toulouse W
27 Feb 2027
LYON v TOUL
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
LYON81
TOUL48
22 Oct 2025
LYON82
TOUL60
10 Oct 2025
LYON76
TOUL72
11 Dec 2022
LYON89
TOUL72
13 Apr 2016
LYON83
TOUL73
25 Mar 2015
LYON53
TOUL62
24 Apr 2014
LYON76
TOUL72
06 Apr 2014
LYON48
TOUL55
07 Dec 2012
LYON63
TOUL41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyon W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toulouse W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lyon WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
79-65
79
65
+14
81avg 69
A09/03
LFB W
Ferrol W
#9
W
74-63
74
63
+11
67avg 69
H13/03
EuroCup Women
Bourges W
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
57avg 69
H16/03
LFB W
Angers W
#6
L
53-59
53
59
-6
40avg 69
A22/03
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
62avg 69
H30/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
90avg 69
H06/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
68-69
68
69
-1
66avg 69
H18/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
52avg 69
A23/04
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
64-69
64
69
-5
48avg 69
H01/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
60-62
60
62
-2
48avg 69
A04/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
25-14
15-22
16-12
20-22
14-6
27-20
13-15
19-15
15-31
17-12
18-20
17-12
11-14
10-20
15-13
15-16
14-20
12-17
25-18
20-19
19-20
26-20
21-19
15-14
21-5
16-25
16-25
19-14
14-17
14-22
14-16
16-17
9-18
20-17
19-17
16-16
10-25
15-12
19-9
136.3Avg total
68.0Scored
68.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)62.065.5127.5-3.50%
Season at home (1)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
Season away (1)60.062.0122.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)68.068.3136.3-0.330%
Last 5 (5)67.869.4137.2-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.076.6143.6-9.60%
vs Similar (10)74.469.1143.5+5.370%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)75.569.8145.4+5.745%
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
72-59
72
59
+13
71avg 64
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
85-79
85
79
+6
88avg 64
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
73-68
73
68
+5
74avg 64
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-47
60
47
+13
57avg 64
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
60-58
60
58
+2
27avg 64
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
73-62
73
62
+11
81avg 64
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-61
74
61
+13
73avg 64
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 64
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
73-70
73
70
+3
60avg 64
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
66-65
66
65
+1
56avg 64
H04/10
LFB W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-11
21-11
11-17
11-20
29-17
16-15
19-23
21-24
12-13
24-19
17-19
20-17
16-13
9-7
22-7
13-20
10-17
14-20
12-10
24-11
17-18
14-10
20-18
22-16
18-16
15-18
22-12
19-15
15-15
22-13
15-15
9-14
18-19
23-18
17-16
15-17
18-14
15-14
18-21
15-16
132.3Avg total
69.7Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)66.065.0131.0+1.0100%
Season at home (1)66.065.0131.0+1.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.762.6132.3+7.1100%
Last 5 (5)69.463.0132.4+6.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)66.065.0131.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (28)68.859.8128.6+9.086%
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
Lyon WToulouse W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Lyon WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Landerneau Bretagne W
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A09/03
LFB W
Ferrol W
#9
W
34-28
34
28
+6
H13/03
EuroCup Women
Bourges W
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H16/03
LFB W
Angers W
#6
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A22/03
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#4
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H30/03
LFB W
Flammes Carolo W
#5
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
W
36-19
36
19
+17
H18/04
LFB W
Landes W
#2
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A23/04
LFB W
Charnay Bourgogne Sud W
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H01/10
LFB W
Angers W
#11
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A04/10
LFB W
66.4Avg total
33.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.736.072.7+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.633.771.3+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)35.838.374.1-2.553%-
Last 10 (10)33.233.266.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)31.833.064.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.537.070.5-3.538%-
vs Similar (10)37.134.571.6+2.680%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)38.236.574.7+1.655%-
This opponent (Toulouse W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toulouse WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H26/03
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#9
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A29/03
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#6
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H05/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
W
25-20
25
20
+5
H12/04
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#8
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A16/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H27/04
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A30/04
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H11/05
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#2
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A17/05
Ligue 2 Women
La Roche W
#12
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H04/10
LFB W
65.3Avg total
35.5Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.729.764.3+5.070%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.326.762.0+8.793%-
Last 30 away (15)34.032.766.7+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)35.529.865.3+5.780%-
Last 5 (5)35.031.066.0+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)33.028.061.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)34.829.664.4+5.271%-
This opponent (Lyon W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lyon Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lyon W: 67.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.5
48.9%
46.9%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.1
25.0%
31.0%18.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.9
76.8%
74.3%13.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toulouse Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toulouse W: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.2 points a game
53%
28%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.420.8
50.2%
46.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.25.7
31.3%
31.0%17.1
🏀 Free throws13.410.3
76.9%
74.3%10.3
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lyon W
LLLLWLLLWW
Toulouse W
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#9
+0.1
Net rating
+10.2
92.3
Offensive rating
94.9
92.1
Defensive rating
84.7
44.3%
Effective FG%
49.2%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
21.3%
Turnover %
23.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.22
25.0%
3-point %
31.3%
69.1%
Assist %
72.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 94.9Defence92.1 · 84.7Shooting44.3% · 49.2%3-point %25.0% · 31.3%Ball care21.3% · 23.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 27.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Lyon W   ■ Toulouse W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Lyon W wins
3
Toulouse W wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Toulouse W v Lyon W70-83
11/12/22Lyon W v Toulouse W89-72
13/04/16Lyon W v Toulouse W83-73
19/12/15Toulouse W v Lyon W53-68
25/03/15Lyon W v Toulouse W53-62
14/12/14Toulouse W v Lyon W87-81
24/04/14Lyon W v Toulouse W76-72
22/04/14Toulouse W v Lyon W68-88
06/04/14Lyon W v Toulouse W48-55
15/12/13Toulouse W v Lyon W79-82 OT
Lyon Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25AAngers W60-62
01/10/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W64-69
23/04/25ALandes W61-69
18/04/25HLandes W68-69
06/04/25HFlammes Carolo W86-78
30/03/25HCharnay Bourgogne Sud W66-71
22/03/25AAngers W53-59
16/03/25HBourges W69-78
13/03/25HFerrol W74-63
09/03/25ALanderneau Bretagne W79-65
Toulouse Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/25HLa Roche W66-65
17/05/25AMontbrison W73-70
11/05/25HMontbrison W61-57
30/04/25AMondeville W74-61
27/04/25HMondeville W73-62
16/04/25ANice W60-58
12/04/25HNice W60-47
05/04/25HTronche Meylan W73-68
29/03/25AAulnoye AS W85-79
26/03/25HCentre Federal BB W72-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lyon W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game62.064.060.0
Allowed / game65.569.062.0
Point differential-3.5-5.0-2.0
Avg total127.5133.0122.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toulouse W
LFB W 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game66.066.0-
Allowed / game65.065.0-
Point differential+1.0+1.0-
Avg total131.0131.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Landes W220100%58.548.0+10.5
2 Charnay Bourgogne Sud W220100%79.069.0+10.0
3 Angers W220100%67.062.0+5.0
4 Lattes Montpellier W220100%73.070.0+3.0
5 Toulouse W110100%66.065.0+1.0
6 Bourges W21150%57.558.0-0.5
7 Landerneau Bretagne W21150%64.070.0-6.0
8 Flammes Carolo W2020%75.578.0-2.5
9 Lyon W2020%62.065.5-3.5
10 La Roche W2020%64.569.0-4.5
11 ESB Villeneuve W1010%70.075.0-5.0
12 Chartres W2020%66.075.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lyon W1721201876
Toulouse W1813162572
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