Townsville vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2011

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 71-62

21-16 11-14 15-15 24-17

Position#2

Record10-8

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game80.3

Townsville 🏆

Gold Coast

Position#6

Record7-10

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game86.2

NBLRound 16

Other2010-11

Meetings · Townsville v Gold Coast

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Gold Coast winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

79-92

-13

A03/12

NBL

Perth

64-90

-26

A05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

91-86

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

81-93

-12

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

51-56

-5

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

99-97 OT

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

96-79

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

80-73

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

94-78

+16

H14/01

NBL

Perth

68-88

-20

A21/01

NBL

17-20

21-29

18-21

23-22

15-23

9-22

19-19

21-26

24-18

22-22

19-28

26-18

26-32

18-21

25-12

12-28

17-16

18-13

11-13

5-14

15-20

23-23

24-22

26-23

31-22

21-13

25-16

19-28

21-23

27-13

14-17

18-20

18-22

27-24

19-11

30-21

26-32

10-25

20-12

12-19

163.5Avg total

80.3Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.2	80.3	160.4	-0.1	56%
Season at home (8)	87.1	79.0	166.1	+8.1	88%
Season away (10)	74.6	81.3	155.9	-6.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	80.3	83.2	163.5	-2.9	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	83.0	170.4	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	93.0	165.7	-20.3	0%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	81.3	80.5	161.8	+0.9	40%
vs Weaker (12)	85.6	79.5	165.1	+6.1	83%

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold Coast Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

85-68

+17

H03/12

NBL

Melbourne United

78-82

-4

A04/12

NBL

Townsville

86-91

-5

A11/12

NBL

Townsville

93-81

+12

H17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

72-70

A23/12

NBL

Perth

93-96

-3

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

82-86

-4

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

87-86 OT

H09/01

NBL

Adelaide

83-90

-7

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

90-85

H19/01

NBL

19-16

17-21

26-16

23-15

28-25

15-17

27-22

8-18

18-24

22-22

28-19

18-26

32-26

21-18

12-25

28-12

20-14

15-25

24-21

13-10

24-30

19-33

29-21

21-12

27-29

21-17

10-23

24-17

22-15

20-15

15-18

18-27

27-31

16-22

24-14

16-23

23-22

21-11

21-26

25-26

168.4Avg total

84.9Scored

83.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	84.1	86.2	170.4	-2.1	41%
Season at home (9)	88.6	85.3	173.9	+3.2	67%
Season away (8)	79.1	87.2	166.4	-8.1	12%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	83.5	168.4	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	88.6	175.6	-1.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	84.3	97.3	181.7	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	85.4	86.4	171.8	-1.0	46%
vs Weaker (1)	79.0	66.0	145.0	+13.0	100%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleGold Coast

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.0	43.1	-0.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.2	20.1	43.4	+3.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	23.6	42.9	-4.2	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.8	43.8	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	23.3	44.2	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	21.9	42.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	24.6	45.9	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	23.2	47.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	25.4	50.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.7	25.3	49.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.6	23.3	43.9	-2.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	23.0	15.0	38.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.0	41.1	+1.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	20.6	40.7	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.5	40.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	25.7	40.0	-11.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.8	18.0	40.8	+4.8	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.2	43.6	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.3	43.6	-0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	22.1	43.7	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	30.3	48.7	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.9	21.3	43.3	+0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

38-49

-11

A03/12

NBL

Perth

24-45

-21

A05/12

NBL

Gold Coast

46-40

H11/12

NBL

Gold Coast

44-53

-9

A17/12

NBL

Cairns

35-29

A18/12

NBL

Adelaide

38-43

-5

A23/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

52-35

+17

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

48-36

+12

A08/01

NBL

Melbourne United

45-46

-1

H14/01

NBL

Perth

36-57

-21

A21/01

NBL

83.9Avg total

40.6Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	41.9	84.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.6	39.4	84.9	+6.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	44.2	83.6	-4.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	43.3	83.9	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	43.4	87.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	50.7	85.3	-16.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	42.1	41.9	84.0	+0.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	44.4	39.8	84.2	+4.6	58%	-

This opponent (Gold Coast) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Gold CoastLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

36-37

-1

H03/12

NBL

Melbourne United

43-42

A04/12

NBL

Townsville

40-46

-6

A11/12

NBL

Townsville

53-44

H17/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

35-39

-4

A23/12

NBL

Perth

43-63

-20

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

48-46

A07/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-30

+12

H09/01

NBL

Adelaide

43-53

-10

A16/01

NBL

Cairns

44-33

+11

H19/01

NBL

86.0Avg total

42.7Scored

43.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.4	45.4	87.9	-3.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	44.2	86.1	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	46.7	89.6	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	43.3	86.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.0	89.0	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.0	55.7	97.7	-13.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	42.5	44.7	87.2	-2.2	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	100%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	18.4	37.9	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.4	39.2	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	18.4	36.8	-0.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	17.1	36.5	+2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	15.6	36.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	16.3	35.3	+2.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.9	18.9	38.9	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.5	42.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.7	22.0	44.7	+0.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.7	37.4	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.9	41.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	22.2	43.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	26.0	45.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.5	20.8	44.3	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.6	39.7	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.7	39.3	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.2	77.1	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.2	38.3	80.5	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	38.1	74.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	39.0	77.6	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.8	79.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	38.0	42.3	80.3	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (12)	39.7	37.8	77.5	+1.8	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	40.5	81.9	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	39.5	84.1	+5.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	41.5	79.7	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	39.1	80.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.3	41.7	84.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	41.4	40.7	82.2	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	32.0	69.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Gold Coast wins

Date	Game	Score
17/12/10	Gold Coast v Townsville	93-81
11/12/10	Townsville v Gold Coast	91-86
24/10/10	Gold Coast v Townsville	94-90 OT
08/01/10	Townsville v Gold Coast	100-89
13/11/09	Gold Coast v Townsville	93-77
16/10/09	Townsville v Gold Coast	101-91
25/09/09	Gold Coast v Townsville	79-82

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/11	A	Perth	68-88
14/01/11	H	Melbourne United	94-78
08/01/11	A	Sydney	80-73
31/12/10	H	New Zealand Breakers	96-79
23/12/10	A	Adelaide	99-97 OT
18/12/10	A	Cairns	51-56
17/12/10	A	Gold Coast	81-93
11/12/10	H	Gold Coast	91-86
05/12/10	A	Perth	64-90
03/12/10	A	Adelaide	79-92

Gold Coastlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/11	H	Cairns	90-85
16/01/11	A	Adelaide	83-90
09/01/11	H	Illawarra Hawks	87-86 OT
07/01/11	A	Cairns	82-86
31/12/10	H	Perth	93-96
23/12/10	A	Illawarra Hawks	72-70
17/12/10	H	Townsville	93-81
11/12/10	A	Townsville	86-91
04/12/10	A	Melbourne United	78-82
03/12/10	H	Sydney	85-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	56%
Home	WWWWW	88%
Away	LLWWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	56%	88%	30%
Points / game	80.2	87.1	74.6
Allowed / game	80.3	79.0	81.3
Point differential	-0.1	+8.1	-6.7
Avg total	160.4	166.1	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	100% (3)	40% (5)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Gold Coast

NBL 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	41%
Home	WWLWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	12%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	41%	67%	12%
Points / game	84.1	88.6	79.1
Allowed / game	86.2	85.3	87.2
Point differential	-2.1	+3.2	-8.1
Avg total	170.4	173.9	166.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	60% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	12%	22%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	New Zealand Breakers	16	13	3	81%	87.0	83.6	+3.4
2	Perth	18	12	6	67%	87.5	78.5	+9.0
3	Cairns	17	11	6	65%	81.1	75.8	+5.4
4	Townsville	18	10	8	56%	80.2	80.3	-0.1
5	Illawarra Hawks	18	9	9	50%	80.7	81.3	-0.7
6	Adelaide	17	7	10	41%	81.2	83.4	-2.1
7	Gold Coast	17	7	10	41%	84.1	86.2	-2.1
8	Melbourne United	18	6	12	33%	78.6	85.4	-6.8
9	Sydney	17	3	14	18%	74.5	80.2	-5.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	21	11	15	24	71
Gold Coast	16	14	15	17	62

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Gold Coast Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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