Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 126-123 (OT)

26-22 24-28 39-25 20-34 17-14

Position#7

Record10-17

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.4

Allowed / game84.0

Townsville 🏆

Sydney

Position#8

Record6-21

FormLLLLW

Points / game84.9

Allowed / game90.5

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Townsville v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

66-76

-10

A12/12

NBL

Perth

75-58

+17

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-98

-24

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

61-75

-14

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

103-108

103

108

-5

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-66

+23

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

96-88

H27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-77

-3

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

97-104 OT

104

-7

A06/02

NBL

Cairns

85-68

+17

H11/02

NBL

21-14

15-27

15-15

15-20

8-15

17-15

29-14

21-14

14-32

19-19

19-23

22-24

16-25

8-15

16-21

21-14

33-26

31-30

14-27

25-25

29-18

21-16

19-14

20-18

25-26

21-22

26-22

24-18

22-22

14-16

16-14

22-25

31-29

18-21

18-14

26-21

16-19

23-11

20-17

163.8Avg total

82.0Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	79.4	84.0	163.4	-4.5	37%
Season at home (13)	85.5	83.5	169.1	+2.0	54%
Season away (14)	73.8	84.4	158.1	-10.6	21%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	81.8	163.8	+0.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	80.6	168.8	+7.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	79.0	85.8	164.8	-6.8	30%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	82.2	77.8	160.0	+4.4	56%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

83-93

-10

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

90-100

100

-10

H30/12

NBL

Cairns

87-77

+10

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-114

114

-24

H09/01

NBL

Perth

68-95

-27

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

89-96

-7

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

88-96

-8

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

76-81

-5

A29/01

NBL

Perth

81-95

-14

A05/02

NBL

Perth

103-77

103

+26

H10/02

NBL

17-16

21-22

18-32

27-23

23-28

29-26

20-28

18-18

14-20

21-13

21-16

31-28

20-34

25-23

21-32

24-25

20-17

19-26

12-24

17-28

21-19

28-22

16-23

24-32

26-25

22-21

22-26

18-24

16-22

19-17

24-22

17-20

23-22

18-24

18-25

22-24

27-23

32-23

22-18

22-13

177.9Avg total

85.5Scored

92.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.9	90.5	175.4	-5.6	22%
Season at home (14)	86.6	88.2	174.9	-1.6	36%
Season away (13)	83.1	92.9	176.0	-9.8	8%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	92.4	177.9	-6.9	20%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	89.0	176.4	-1.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	85.4	93.3	178.8	-7.9	15%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.0	84.7	169.7	+0.3	33%
vs Weaker (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	24.2	41.8	-6.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.4	47.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	19.1	24.9	44.0	-5.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.4	21.2	42.7	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.1	22.9	45.9	+0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.6	43.3	-1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.6	21.7	45.2	+1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.9	44.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.3	23.3	45.6	-1.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.7	45.1	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.4	45.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	23.2	23.6	46.8	-0.4	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.9	78%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

36-41

-5

A12/12

NBL

Perth

25-30

-5

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

33-51

-18

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

24-40

-16

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

64-56

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-34

+16

H21/01

NBL

Sydney

46-48

-2

H27/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

36-38

-2

A29/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

53-54

-1

A06/02

NBL

Cairns

42-40

H11/02

NBL

84.1Avg total

40.9Scored

43.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	42.8	82.4	-3.1	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	42.3	85.5	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.2	43.2	79.4	-7.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	43.2	84.1	-2.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	42.8	88.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.7	45.3	85.0	-5.6	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	40.2	38.4	78.7	+1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

38-38

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

52-54

-2

H30/12

NBL

Cairns

35-33

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-57

-12

H09/01

NBL

Perth

39-43

-4

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

49-41

A20/01

NBL

Townsville

48-46

A27/01

NBL

Cairns

35-39

-4

A29/01

NBL

Perth

41-46

-5

A05/02

NBL

Perth

59-46

+13

H10/02

NBL

88.4Avg total

44.1Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.1	41.8	86.9	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	45.4	46.1	91.5	-0.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	44.3	88.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	43.6	90.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	45.9	45.8	91.7	+0.1	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	45.3	40.6	85.9	+4.8	78%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	34.0	65.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.7	38.0	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	19.1	36.6	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.3	18.2	39.6	+3.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	23.2	42.2	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	23.5	43.0	-4.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	22.8	41.4	-4.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	24.6	44.0	-5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	22.8	43.2	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.6	24.1	42.8	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.4	21.8	41.2	-2.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	20.8	41.7	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	20.8	43.1	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.4	39.2	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.6	20.8	41.4	-0.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	21.1	41.8	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	23.2	43.7	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.2	22.3	43.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.8	24.1	43.9	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	23.5	45.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.6	43.2	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.9	23.5	44.4	-2.6	35%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.2	22.3	42.6	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.5	79.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	39.0	82.5	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	39.9	76.8	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.1	77.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	34.8	76.0	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.0	39.8	78.7	-0.8	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.0	39.3	81.3	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	46.3	86.0	-6.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	45.8	86.6	-5.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.4	46.9	85.3	-8.6	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	48.1	89.5	-6.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.4	86.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	39.5	47.6	87.1	-8.1	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.7	44.1	83.8	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
27/01/16	Townsville v Sydney	96-88
30/10/15	Sydney v Townsville	87-78
15/10/15	Sydney v Townsville	77-80
16/01/15	Townsville v Sydney	81-89
09/01/15	Sydney v Townsville	89-98
31/12/14	Townsville v Sydney	93-92
17/10/14	Sydney v Townsville	81-86
22/03/14	Sydney v Townsville	79-88
22/02/14	Townsville v Sydney	90-83
15/11/13	Sydney v Townsville	88-67

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/02/16	H	Cairns	85-68
06/02/16	A	Illawarra Hawks	97-104 OT
29/01/16	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-77
27/01/16	H	Sydney	96-88
21/01/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-66
16/01/16	H	Adelaide	103-108
08/01/16	A	Cairns	61-75
31/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-98
19/12/15	H	Perth	75-58
12/12/15	A	Adelaide	66-76

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/02/16	H	Perth	103-77
05/02/16	A	Perth	81-95
29/01/16	A	Cairns	76-81
27/01/16	A	Townsville	88-96
20/01/16	A	Adelaide	89-96
15/01/16	A	Perth	68-95
09/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-114
02/01/16	H	Cairns	87-77
30/12/15	H	Melbourne United	90-100
27/12/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	37%
Home	LLWWW	54%
Away	LLLLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	37%	54%	21%
Points / game	79.4	85.5	73.8
Allowed / game	84.0	83.5	84.4
Point differential	-4.5	+2.0	-10.6
Avg total	163.4	169.1	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	57% (7)	33% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Sydney

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	22%
Home	LLWLW	36%
Away	LLLLL	8%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	22%	36%	8%
Points / game	84.9	86.6	83.1
Allowed / game	90.5	88.2	92.9
Point differential	-5.6	-1.6	-9.8
Avg total	175.4	174.9	176.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	29%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	27	18	9	67%	85.6	83.9	+1.6
2	Perth	27	17	10	63%	84.6	80.6	+4.0
3	Illawarra Hawks	28	17	11	61%	94.2	88.8	+5.4
4	New Zealand Breakers	27	15	12	56%	84.7	82.0	+2.7
5	Adelaide	27	14	13	52%	89.3	88.9	+0.4
6	Cairns	28	12	16	43%	79.9	84.1	-4.1
7	Townsville	27	10	17	37%	79.4	84.0	-4.5
8	Sydney	27	6	21	22%	84.9	90.5	-5.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Townsville	26	24	39	20	17	126
Sydney	22	28	25	34	14	123

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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