Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Jan 2016

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 96-88

25-26 21-22 26-22 24-18

Position#7

Record8-15

FormWLLLW

Points / game78.0

Allowed / game83.9

Townsville 🏆

Sydney

Position#8

Record5-18

FormLWLLL

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game91.0

NBL

Other2015-16

Meetings · Townsville v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

70-108

108

-38

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

90-76

+14

H02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

75-86

-11

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

101-100

101

100

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

66-76

-10

A12/12

NBL

Perth

75-58

+17

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-98

-24

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

61-75

-14

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

103-108

103

108

-5

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

89-66

+23

H21/01

NBL

14-34

16-27

20-20

20-27

31-9

22-18

16-21

21-28

15-28

19-13

25-18

16-27

26-27

24-28

24-26

27-19

21-14

15-27

15-15

15-20

8-15

17-15

29-14

21-14

14-32

19-19

19-23

22-24

16-25

8-15

16-21

21-14

33-26

31-30

14-27

25-25

29-18

21-16

19-14

20-18

165.5Avg total

80.4Scored

85.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	78.0	83.9	161.9	-6.0	35%
Season at home (11)	84.6	84.5	169.2	+0.1	45%
Season away (12)	71.8	83.3	155.2	-11.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	85.1	165.5	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	81.0	161.4	-0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	78.3	85.3	163.6	-6.9	33%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	80.1	78.3	158.4	+1.8	45%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	66.0	148.0	+16.0	100%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

84-96

-12

A11/12

NBL

Perth

69-87

-18

H13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

96-81

+15

A16/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-102

102

-19

A18/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

83-93

-10

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

90-100

100

-10

H30/12

NBL

Cairns

87-77

+10

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

90-114

114

-24

H09/01

NBL

Perth

68-95

-27

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

89-96

-7

A20/01

NBL

21-14

24-23

14-26

25-33

20-15

15-22

24-21

10-29

32-15

20-39

24-18

20-9

31-29

20-29

17-25

15-19

17-16

21-22

18-32

27-23

23-28

29-26

20-28

18-18

14-20

21-13

21-16

31-28

20-34

25-23

21-32

24-25

20-17

19-26

12-24

17-28

21-19

28-22

16-23

24-32

178.0Avg total

83.9Scored

94.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	84.6	91.0	175.6	-6.5	22%
Season at home (13)	85.4	89.1	174.5	-3.7	31%
Season away (10)	83.5	93.6	177.1	-10.1	10%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	94.1	178.0	-10.2	20%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	96.4	181.2	-11.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	83.2	93.3	176.5	-10.2	10%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.0	87.4	172.4	-2.4	33%
vs Weaker (1)	73.0	75.0	148.0	-2.0	0%

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

TownsvilleSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	23.1	42.6	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.8	44.5	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	23.4	40.7	-6.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	22.8	43.5	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.2	43.2	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.8	25.1	43.8	-6.3	28%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.6	20.6	41.3	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.2	22.5	44.8	-0.3	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.6	43.2	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.1	21.9	44.0	+0.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	23.8	22.9	46.7	+0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.2	39.2	+0.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	61%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	18.0	37.7	+1.7	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	16.0	30.0	-2.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.4	44.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	24.2	47.0	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	24.5	46.7	-2.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	22.0	46.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	22.4	23.6	46.0	-1.1	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	14.0	28.0	+0.0	0%	-

TownsvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

30-61

-31

A28/11

NBL

Cairns

53-27

+26

H02/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

34-41

-7

H05/12

NBL

Adelaide

50-55

-5

H10/12

NBL

Adelaide

36-41

-5

A12/12

NBL

Perth

25-30

-5

H19/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

33-51

-18

H31/12

NBL

Cairns

24-40

-16

A08/01

NBL

Adelaide

64-56

H16/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

50-34

+16

H21/01

NBL

83.5Avg total

39.9Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.3	81.8	-2.9	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	41.9	85.4	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	42.8	78.1	-7.5	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	43.6	83.5	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	42.2	81.4	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.2	45.2	84.4	-6.1	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.4	38.6	79.0	+1.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	31.0	65.0	+3.0	100%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

45-37

A11/12

NBL

Perth

35-37

-2

H13/12

NBL

Melbourne United

52-54

-2

A16/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-58

-7

A18/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-38

H27/12

NBL

Melbourne United

52-54

-2

H30/12

NBL

Cairns

35-33

H02/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

45-57

-12

H09/01

NBL

Perth

39-43

-4

A15/01

NBL

Adelaide

49-41

A20/01

NBL

89.3Avg total

44.1Scored

45.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	44.5	89.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.4	42.8	87.1	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	45.0	46.8	91.8	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	45.2	89.3	-1.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	44.6	45.4	90.0	-0.8	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	46.2	43.7	89.9	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	34.0	65.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Townsville) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.7	37.6	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.3	37.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.9	39.6	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.4	19.2	37.6	-0.7	39%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.5	18.3	37.7	+1.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	16.0	37.0	+5.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	23.4	41.4	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	23.9	42.4	-5.5	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	22.7	40.2	-5.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	24.5	43.2	-5.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.6	42.6	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	18.1	24.0	42.0	-5.9	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	17.3	22.8	40.1	-5.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	17.0	41.0	+7.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.6	41.3	+0.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	21.1	43.0	+0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	20.7	20.9	41.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	19.0	46.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	23.1	43.8	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.1	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	23.5	42.9	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	24.4	45.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	26.2	49.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	20.5	23.9	44.5	-3.4	30%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	24.0	42.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	78.9	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	39.3	81.0	+2.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.4	39.5	76.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.5	82.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	38.8	80.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	39.2	40.1	79.2	-0.9	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.5	38.6	78.1	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (1)	48.0	35.0	83.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	46.5	85.2	-7.7	17%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	46.7	86.8	-6.6	24%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.0	46.2	83.2	-9.2	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	48.9	88.7	-9.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	50.8	91.6	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	38.5	48.0	86.5	-9.4	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	38.8	43.8	82.6	-5.0	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	41.0	83.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Townsville wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
30/10/15	Sydney v Townsville	87-78
15/10/15	Sydney v Townsville	77-80
16/01/15	Townsville v Sydney	81-89
09/01/15	Sydney v Townsville	89-98
31/12/14	Townsville v Sydney	93-92
17/10/14	Sydney v Townsville	81-86
22/03/14	Sydney v Townsville	79-88
22/02/14	Townsville v Sydney	90-83
15/11/13	Sydney v Townsville	88-67
01/11/13	Townsville v Sydney	86-88

Townsvillelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/16	H	New Zealand Breakers	89-66
16/01/16	H	Adelaide	103-108
08/01/16	A	Cairns	61-75
31/12/15	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-98
19/12/15	H	Perth	75-58
12/12/15	A	Adelaide	66-76
10/12/15	H	Adelaide	101-100
05/12/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	75-86
02/12/15	H	Cairns	90-76
28/11/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	70-108

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/16	A	Adelaide	89-96
15/01/16	A	Perth	68-95
09/01/16	H	Illawarra Hawks	90-114
02/01/16	H	Cairns	87-77
30/12/15	H	Melbourne United	90-100
27/12/15	H	New Zealand Breakers	83-93
18/12/15	A	Illawarra Hawks	83-102
16/12/15	A	Melbourne United	96-81
13/12/15	H	Perth	69-87
11/12/15	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	35%
Home	WWLLW	45%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	35%	45%	25%
Points / game	78.0	84.6	71.8
Allowed / game	83.9	84.5	83.3
Point differential	-6.0	+0.1	-11.5
Avg total	161.9	169.2	155.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	33% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2015-16

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	22%
Home	LLLWL	31%
Away	LWLLL	10%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	13	10
Win %	22%	31%	10%
Points / game	84.6	85.4	83.5
Allowed / game	91.0	89.1	93.6
Point differential	-6.5	-3.7	-10.1
Avg total	175.6	174.5	177.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	23%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	24	16	8	67%	84.5	79.2	+5.3
2	Melbourne United	24	16	8	67%	86.5	83.7	+2.8
3	Illawarra Hawks	23	14	9	61%	93.9	87.5	+6.4
4	Adelaide	22	13	9	59%	88.3	86.3	+2.0
5	New Zealand Breakers	23	11	12	48%	83.4	83.4	+0.0
6	Cairns	24	10	14	42%	80.0	84.1	-4.1
7	Townsville	23	8	15	35%	78.0	83.9	-6.0
8	Sydney	23	5	18	22%	84.6	91.0	-6.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Townsville	25	21	26	24	96
Sydney	26	22	22	18	88

← all games of the day

Townsville vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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