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Townsville W vs Perth Lynx W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 88-79
20-22 22-23 24-10 22-24
Position#1
Record21-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game72.8
Townsville W 🏆
Australia
vs
Perth Lynx W
Australia
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game74.8
AustraliaNBL WWNBL Women - Final· Townsville Entertainment Centre
Women2025-26
Meetings · Townsville W v Perth Lynx W
26 Feb 2026
TOWN88
PERT79
14 Dec 2025
TOWN81
PERT97
26 Feb 2025
TOWN106
PERT76
16 Feb 2025
TOWN86
PERT87
29 Feb 2024
TOWN87
PERT88
03 Jan 2024
TOWN104
PERT91
31 Dec 2023
TOWN87
PERT64
09 Mar 2023
TOWN81
PERT68
17 Dec 2022
TOWN98
PERT85
20 Mar 2022
TOWN76
PERT69
18 Mar 2022
TOWN68
PERT75
04 Dec 2020
TOWN75
PERT84
21 Dec 2019
TOWN77
PERT82
14 Dec 2018
TOWN97
PERT72
03 Nov 2018
TOWN71
PERT79
31 Dec 2017
TOWN83
PERT51
25 Nov 2016
TOWN85
PERT89
09 Oct 2016
TOWN84
PERT62
18 Mar 2016
TOWN80
PERT70
28 Feb 2016
TOWN72
PERT91
28 Nov 2015
TOWN91
PERT81
29 Nov 2014
TOWN83
PERT46
26 Oct 2014
TOWN93
PERT58
30 Nov 2013
TOWN95
PERT67
25 Jan 2013
TOWN81
PERT62
10 Nov 2012
TOWN79
PERT62
27 Nov 2011
TOWN71
PERT56
07 Jan 2011
TOWN70
PERT68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Townsville W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth Lynx W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Townsville WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
91-67
91
67
+24
82avg 77
A09/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
77avg 77
A11/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
H18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
82-76
82
76
+6
80avg 77
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
69avg 77
H24/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
78-62
78
62
+16
66avg 77
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
84-66
84
66
+18
76avg 77
H08/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
88-60
88
60
+28
84avg 77
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
89-109
89
109
-20
78avg 77
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
84-74
84
74
+10
84avg 77
H22/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
34-15
21-15
15-15
26-23
24-15
18-20
22-26
22-19
17-17
24-28
15-5
29-26
22-16
9-19
22-15
25-16
18-20
12-16
23-23
26-22
17-11
20-15
15-14
31-20
19-18
19-14
15-14
23-6
20-13
21-25
24-16
20-26
23-23
22-33
24-27
21-25
32-21
17-15
14-13
158.4Avg total
84.2Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.272.8158.0+12.381%
Season at home (14)83.170.8153.9+12.379%
Season away (12)87.675.2162.8+12.483%
Last 10 (10)84.274.2158.4+10.090%
Last 5 (5)84.674.2158.8+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)79.377.0156.3+2.357%
vs Weaker (23)85.771.7157.5+14.083%
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
L
74-77
74
77
-3
65avg 77
A04/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
80-65
80
65
+15
75avg 77
H10/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H15/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
76-82
76
82
-6
59avg 77
H20/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
76-57
76
57
+19
66avg 77
A25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
111-79
111
79
+32
107avg 77
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 77
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
108-93
108
93
+15
113avg 77
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
86-76
86
76
+10
82avg 77
H14/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 77
A17/02
NBL W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
24-16
18-22
18-17
20-12
18-18
21-15
21-20
22-30
18-22
26-17
19-12
26-29
16-22
19-9
15-22
15-21
15-12
24-8
22-16
22-19
34-13
33-16
22-31
23-26
22-22
28-10
15-6
22-16
30-18
26-33
30-26
29-22
19-20
19-10
19-24
20-21
23-17
21-24
17-13
161.4Avg total
86.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.674.8159.4+9.780%
Season at home (13)85.274.3159.5+10.985%
Season away (12)83.875.4159.2+8.475%
Last 10 (10)86.574.9161.4+11.680%
Last 5 (5)94.877.4172.2+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.287.7169.8-5.533%
vs Weaker (24)84.874.7159.5+10.183%
This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +7.1+7.1Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
Townsville WPerth Lynx W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Townsville WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geelong Venom W
#6
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A09/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A11/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H18/01
NBL W
Perth Lynx W
#2
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A20/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H24/01
NBL W
Canberra Capitals W
#5
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H31/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H08/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H15/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/02
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H22/02
NBL W
84.4Avg total
47.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.137.282.3+7.983%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.237.781.9+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)46.136.682.8+9.593%-
Last 10 (10)47.037.484.4+9.690%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.083.4+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.038.782.7+5.386%-
vs Weaker (23)45.536.782.2+8.783%-
This opponent (Perth Lynx W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Perth Lynx WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canberra Capitals W
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A04/01
NBL W
Adelaide Lightning W
#7
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H10/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H15/01
NBL W
Townsville W
#1
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H20/01
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A25/01
NBL W
Southside W
#4
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A27/01
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A01/02
NBL W
Sydney W
#8
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H07/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H14/02
NBL W
Bendigo W
#3
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NBL W
83.0Avg total
43.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.739.883.5+3.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.739.183.8+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)42.840.583.3+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.239.883.0+3.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.838.887.6+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.247.288.3-6.00%-
vs Weaker (24)44.438.082.3+6.467%-
This opponent (Townsville W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Townsville Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Townsville W: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.1
48.4%
47.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.6
36.6%
32.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.1%
73.3%15.3
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perth Lynx Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth Lynx W: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
51%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.520.3
50.1%
47.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.3
31.3%
32.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.515.3
82.7%
73.3%15.3
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Townsville W
WLWWWWWWWW
Perth Lynx W
WWWWWWLWWL
#1
League position
#2
+9.5
Net rating
+13.6
95.4
Offensive rating
94.6
85.9
Defensive rating
81.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
42.3%
Off. rebound %
37.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.6%
3-point %
31.3%
56.9%
Assist %
61.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 94.6Defence85.9 · 81.0Shooting50.7% · 48.7%3-point %36.6% · 31.3%Ball care15.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds42.3% · 37.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Townsville W   ■ Perth Lynx W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Townsville W wins
5
Perth Lynx W wins
DateGameScore
20/01/26Perth Lynx W v Townsville W76-82
14/12/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W81-97
04/11/25Perth Lynx W v Townsville W70-79
26/02/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W106-76
22/02/25Perth Lynx W v Townsville W87-92
16/02/25Townsville W v Perth Lynx W86-87 OT
27/11/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W106-80
06/11/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W80-84
03/03/24Perth Lynx W v Townsville W108-102
29/02/24Townsville W v Perth Lynx W87-88
Townsville Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HSouthside W84-74
18/02/26ASouthside W89-109
15/02/26HSouthside W88-60
08/02/26HBendigo W84-66
31/01/26HCanberra Capitals W78-62
24/01/26HSouthside W78-75
20/01/26APerth Lynx W82-76
18/01/26HCanberra Capitals W78-69
11/01/26ASouthside W90-84
09/01/26AGeelong Venom W91-67
Perth Lynx Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/26ABendigo W81-75
14/02/26HBendigo W86-76
07/02/26HSydney W108-93
01/02/26ABendigo W88-64
27/01/26ASouthside W111-79
25/01/26ASydney W76-57
20/01/26HTownsville W76-82
15/01/26HBendigo W85-81
10/01/26HAdelaide Lightning W80-65
04/01/26ACanberra Capitals W74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Townsville W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW79%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %81%79%83%
Points / game85.283.187.6
Allowed / game72.870.875.2
Point differential+12.3+12.3+12.4
Avg total158.0153.9162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth Lynx W
NBL W 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW85%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game84.685.283.8
Allowed / game74.874.375.4
Point differential+9.7+10.9+8.4
Avg total159.4159.5159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Townsville W2621581%85.272.8+12.3
2 Perth Lynx W2520580%84.674.8+9.7
3 Bendigo W2516964%76.573.0+3.5
4 Southside W26121446%79.879.7+0.2
5 Canberra Capitals W2391439%71.977.8-5.9
6 Geelong Venom W2371630%76.581.0-4.5
7 Adelaide Lightning W2361726%73.782.0-8.3
8 Sydney W2361726%76.286.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Townsville W2022242288
Perth Lynx W2223102479
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