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Toyama vs Fukui Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 82-96
24-27 21-21 24-21 13-27
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game79.6
vs
Fukui 🏆
Japan
Position#7
Record19-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game79.6
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Fukui
20 Apr 2025
TOYA103
FUKU107
19 Apr 2025
TOYA100
FUKU90
05 Jan 2025
TOYA82
FUKU96
04 Jan 2025
TOYA84
FUKU91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukui winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 73
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
104-77
104
77
+27
98avg 73
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-78
58
78
-20
40avg 73
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 73
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
121-79
121
79
+42
119avg 73
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 73
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
70avg 73
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 73
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
106-79
106
79
+27
111avg 73
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 73
H04/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
23-14
15-17
24-16
28-23
25-12
26-21
25-21
22-24
10-20
16-19
10-15
26-11
15-27
18-28
22-18
26-19
26-21
34-20
35-19
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
21-22
28-16
18-22
18-25
28-22
24-19
28-7
24-18
22-18
20-16
28-24
36-21
20-20
27-20
18-19
19-32
173.7Avg total
92.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.979.6168.5+9.469%
Season at home (14)86.779.2165.9+7.564%
Season away (15)91.079.9170.9+11.173%
Last 10 (10)92.880.9173.7+11.960%
Last 5 (5)95.884.8180.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.387.3161.7-13.00%
vs Similar (8)80.681.0161.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)93.277.7170.9+15.484%
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukui
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 77
H07/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
76avg 77
H08/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 77
A14/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
80-72
80
72
+8
71avg 77
A15/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
67avg 77
H18/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
69-93
69
93
-24
59avg 77
A21/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
81-83
81
83
-2
76avg 77
A22/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
60avg 77
H28/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
97-84
97
84
+13
91avg 77
H29/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 77
A04/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
17-20
19-20
23-22
24-14
20-11
17-19
22-25
19-26
30-27
23-13
19-18
20-24
16-16
26-12
18-20
21-19
20-19
13-20
19-21
19-25
23-22
19-25
8-21
22-18
22-26
22-15
15-24
21-20
26-32
14-25
14-23
22-19
28-25
18-20
29-20
20-20
20-27
19-18
32-19
165.1Avg total
81.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.779.6162.3+3.266%
Season at home (15)80.178.7158.8+1.373%
Season away (14)85.680.4166.0+5.157%
Last 10 (10)81.783.4165.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)82.688.8171.4-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)85.386.3171.6-1.071%
vs Similar (10)82.382.6164.9-0.350%
vs Weaker (12)81.673.1154.7+8.575%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
ToyamaFukui
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H27/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H28/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H04/01
B2.League
86.2Avg total
46.5Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.740.386.1+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.340.283.5+3.160%-
Last 30 away (15)48.140.588.6+7.773%-
Last 10 (10)46.539.786.2+6.880%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.289.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.044.085.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.985.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)47.239.586.7+7.679%-
This opponent (Fukui) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukuiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H07/12
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H08/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A14/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H18/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A21/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A22/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H28/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H29/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/01
B2.League
86.2Avg total
42.8Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.039.481.3+2.648%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.139.679.7+0.547%-
Last 30 away (14)43.939.183.1+4.850%-
Last 10 (10)42.843.486.2-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)44.646.891.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)43.145.488.6-2.343%-
vs Similar (10)42.441.483.8+1.040%-
vs Weaker (12)40.934.275.1+6.858%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.925.0
54.5%
51.0%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.4
31.6%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.417.0
69.7%
70.7%17.0
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukuitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukui: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.0
50.5%
51.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.7
31.0%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.6
73.5%
70.7%13.6
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LWWLWWLLWW
Fukui
WWLLLLWWWL
#3
League position
#7
+15.8
Net rating
-2.2
116.8
Offensive rating
103.5
101.0
Defensive rating
105.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
16.2%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.6%
3-point %
31.0%
65.3%
Assist %
67.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.8 · 103.5Defence101.0 · 105.7Shooting51.9% · 49.0%3-point %31.6% · 31.0%Ball care13.6% · 16.2%Off. rebounds36.0% · 28.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Toyama   ■ Fukui
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
1
Fukui wins
DateGameScore
04/01/25Toyama v Fukui84-91
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HFukui84-91
28/12/24HAomori106-79
27/12/24HAomori104-66
22/12/24AShinshu89-96 OT
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
18/12/24AFukushima121-79
15/12/24HFukuoka81-84
14/12/24HFukuoka58-78
08/12/24HKumamoto104-77
07/12/24HKumamoto85-67
Fukuilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25AToyama91-84
29/12/24HAltiri Chiba97-84
28/12/24HAltiri Chiba75-100
22/12/24AYamagata Wyverns81-83
21/12/24AYamagata Wyverns69-93
18/12/24HAomori73-79
15/12/24AKobe80-72
14/12/24AKobe91-84
08/12/24HNara83-69
07/12/24HNara77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeLLWWL64%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %69%64%73%
Points / game88.986.791.0
Allowed / game79.679.279.9
Point differential+9.4+7.5+11.1
Avg total168.5165.9170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%43%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Fukui
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW66%
HomeLWLLW73%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %66%73%57%
Points / game82.780.185.6
Allowed / game79.678.780.4
Point differential+3.2+1.3+5.1
Avg total162.3158.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2927293%92.777.2+15.6
2 Fukuoka2922776%83.573.4+10.1
3 Toyama2920969%88.979.6+9.4
4 Kagoshima Rebnise2920969%82.877.1+5.8
5 Shinshu29191066%87.977.3+10.6
6 Fukui29191066%82.779.6+3.2
7 Shizuoka29171259%77.875.2+2.6
8 Yamagata Wyverns29121741%80.983.9-3.1
9 Kobe29111838%81.284.8-3.6
10 Aomori29111838%78.287.3-9.1
11 Nara29101934%75.579.3-3.8
12 Kumamoto2982128%77.585.4-7.9
13 Fukushima2962321%72.983.1-10.2
14 Ehime Orange Vikings291283%73.192.7-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama2421241382
Fukui2721212796
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