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Shinshu vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 96-89 (OT)
22-21 16-28 22-18 25-18 11-4
Position#5
Record15-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game77.2
Shinshu 🏆
Japan
vs
Toyama
Japan
Position#3
Record18-7
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game79.0
JapanB2.League· Kotobuki Arena Chikuma
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shinshu v Toyama
27 Sep 2026
SHIN99
TOYA81
26 Sep 2026
SHIN85
TOYA99
22 Dec 2024
SHIN96
TOYA89
21 Dec 2024
SHIN92
TOYA96
05 Nov 2023
SHIN83
TOYA79
04 Nov 2023
SHIN86
TOYA79
15 Mar 2023
SHIN80
TOYA66
23 Mar 2022
SHIN78
TOYA71
24 Jan 2021
SHIN80
TOYA89
23 Jan 2021
SHIN86
TOYA68
07 Dec 2014
SHIN99
TOYA90
06 Dec 2014
SHIN87
TOYA72
12 Jan 2014
SHIN94
TOYA89
11 Jan 2014
SHIN82
TOYA94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shinshu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShinshuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShinshu
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
66-68
66
68
-2
59avg 72
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
82-63
82
63
+19
84avg 72
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
105-72
105
72
+33
110avg 72
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 72
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
104-80
104
80
+24
103avg 72
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
108-58
108
58
+50
107avg 72
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
61avg 72
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
77-89
77
89
-12
66avg 72
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
79-87
79
87
-8
74avg 72
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
92-96
92
96
-4
92avg 72
H21/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
23-16
18-13
14-14
21-18
18-18
22-10
21-17
15-12
36-21
27-15
27-24
28-16
27-27
25-23
21-7
26-10
25-23
30-23
23-24
24-10
30-11
31-19
23-18
10-27
23-18
23-26
17-19
18-22
19-28
26-22
14-17
16-11
28-23
16-27
19-26
26-31
27-20
25-26
14-19
166.3Avg total
88.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.477.2164.6+10.260%
Season at home (12)89.973.0162.9+16.975%
Season away (13)85.281.1166.2+4.146%
Last 10 (10)88.777.6166.3+11.150%
Last 5 (5)85.884.0169.8+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.381.7155.0-8.317%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.579.8161.3+1.750%
vs Weaker (18)90.174.7164.8+15.372%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-64
89
64
+25
80avg 71
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-82
96
82
+14
98avg 71
A23/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
86avg 71
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 71
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 71
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
104-77
104
77
+27
98avg 71
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-78
58
78
-20
40avg 71
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 71
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
121-79
121
79
+42
119avg 71
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 71
A21/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-17
17-10
18-20
24-17
25-18
28-28
22-19
21-17
20-16
30-15
24-19
12-21
30-19
22-23
25-16
14-26
23-20
23-14
15-17
24-16
28-23
25-12
26-21
25-21
22-24
10-20
16-19
10-15
26-11
15-27
18-28
22-18
26-19
26-21
34-20
35-19
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
168.5Avg total
90.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.879.0166.8+8.872%
Season at home (11)83.679.4163.0+4.364%
Season away (14)91.178.7169.9+12.479%
Last 10 (10)90.777.8168.5+12.980%
Last 5 (5)92.082.0174.0+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.888.5161.3-15.70%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.678.2156.9+0.450%
vs Weaker (16)92.277.6169.8+14.788%
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
ShinshuToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShinshuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H26/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H30/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H01/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H07/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
54-21
54
21
+33
H08/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A14/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A15/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A18/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H21/12
B2.League
83.8Avg total
45.1Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.936.879.8+6.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.436.683.0+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)39.937.176.9+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)45.138.783.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.284.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.843.880.7-7.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.837.080.8+6.883%-
vs Weaker (18)44.734.479.1+10.272%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A23/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
86.7Avg total
47.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.341.085.3+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.939.981.9+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)46.442.088.4+4.462%-
Last 10 (10)47.739.086.7+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)45.842.087.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.345.584.8-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)42.240.282.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker (16)47.239.886.9+7.475%-
This opponent (Shinshu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Shinshutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shinshu: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.123.3
58.1%
51.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.0
31.5%
32.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.914.5
76.7%
70.7%14.5
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.024.3
54.0%
51.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.6
33.8%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
70.7%18.1
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Shinshu
LLLLWWWWWL
Toyama
WWLLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+15.2
Net rating
+16.0
112.6
Offensive rating
116.4
97.4
Defensive rating
100.4
53.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
31.5%
3-point %
33.8%
74.0%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 116.4Defence97.4 · 100.4Shooting53.6% · 52.9%3-point %31.5% · 33.8%Ball care13.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds23.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Shinshu   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Shinshu wins
3
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Shinshu v Toyama92-96
10/11/24Toyama v Shinshu66-74
09/11/24Toyama v Shinshu80-78
21/04/24Toyama v Shinshu73-74
20/04/24Toyama v Shinshu62-71
05/11/23Shinshu v Toyama83-79
04/11/23Shinshu v Toyama86-79
16/04/23Toyama v Shinshu102-96
15/04/23Toyama v Shinshu65-95
15/03/23Shinshu v Toyama80-66
Shinshulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24HToyama92-96
18/12/24AFukuoka79-87
15/12/24AAltiri Chiba77-89
14/12/24AAltiri Chiba73-90
08/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings108-58
07/12/24HEhime Orange Vikings104-80
01/12/24HKobe101-73
30/11/24HKobe105-72
26/11/24HNara82-63
25/11/24HNara66-68
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
18/12/24AFukushima121-79
15/12/24HFukuoka81-84
14/12/24HFukuoka58-78
08/12/24HKumamoto104-77
07/12/24HKumamoto85-67
01/12/24AShizuoka91-84
30/11/24AShizuoka86-71
23/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings96-82
22/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shinshu
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL60%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %60%75%46%
Points / game87.489.985.2
Allowed / game77.273.081.1
Point differential+10.2+16.9+4.1
Avg total164.6162.9166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%67%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%23%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251114
Win %72%64%79%
Points / game87.883.691.1
Allowed / game79.079.478.7
Point differential+8.8+4.3+12.4
Avg total166.8163.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%36%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2524196%93.276.8+16.4
2 Fukuoka2519676%84.073.9+10.1
3 Toyama2518772%87.879.0+8.8
4 Kagoshima Rebnise2517868%83.378.4+5.0
5 Fukui2617965%82.278.4+3.7
6 Shinshu25151060%87.477.2+10.2
7 Shizuoka25141156%76.875.7+1.0
8 Yamagata Wyverns26111542%81.083.6-2.5
9 Kobe25101540%82.385.4-3.1
10 Aomori25101540%78.486.4-8.0
11 Nara26101638%75.878.5-2.6
12 Fukushima2662023%73.782.9-9.3
13 Kumamoto2552020%76.286.6-10.4
14 Ehime Orange Vikings251244%74.593.4-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Shinshu221622251196
Toyama21281818489
← all games of the day
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