PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Toyama vs Aomori Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 08:35
Final 106-79
22-18 20-16 28-24 36-21
Position#3
Record19-8
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game79.1
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Aomori
Japan
Position#12
Record11-16
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game86.4
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Aomori
29 Jan 2025
TOYA83
AOMO89
28 Dec 2024
TOYA106
AOMO79
27 Dec 2024
TOYA104
AOMO66
08 Mar 2015
TOYA81
AOMO96
07 Mar 2015
TOYA76
AOMO61
06 Apr 2014
TOYA82
AOMO67
05 Apr 2014
TOYA89
AOMO82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
86avg 72
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 72
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 72
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
104-77
104
77
+27
98avg 72
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
58-78
58
78
-20
40avg 72
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 72
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
121-79
121
79
+42
119avg 72
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
96-92
96
92
+4
91avg 72
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
70avg 72
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
104-66
104
66
+38
112avg 72
H27/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
30-15
24-19
12-21
30-19
22-23
25-16
14-26
23-20
23-14
15-17
24-16
28-23
25-12
26-21
25-21
22-24
10-20
16-19
10-15
26-11
15-27
18-28
22-18
26-19
26-21
34-20
35-19
31-26
20-27
26-25
19-14
21-22
28-16
18-22
18-25
28-22
24-19
28-7
24-18
170.9Avg total
91.5Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)88.579.1167.6+9.370%
Season at home (12)85.378.2163.6+7.167%
Season away (15)91.079.9170.9+11.173%
Last 10 (10)91.579.4170.9+12.170%
Last 5 (5)98.283.4181.6+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.688.4163.0-13.80%
vs Similar (8)80.681.0161.6-0.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.976.9169.8+16.188%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
56-77
56
77
-21
48avg 74
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
80-94
80
94
-14
66avg 74
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 74
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
65-96
65
96
-31
47avg 74
H08/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
77-73
77
73
+4
70avg 74
A14/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
87-88
87
88
-1
70avg 74
A15/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 74
A18/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
76-90
76
90
-14
62avg 74
H21/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
82avg 74
H22/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
66-104
66
104
-38
51avg 74
A27/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
11-21
13-26
12-15
25-21
21-32
15-18
19-23
26-17
23-19
14-24
19-15
15-28
19-19
13-17
18-32
22-8
20-19
17-19
18-27
20-23
15-24
21-20
31-21
19-21
19-20
20-13
21-19
28-24
17-23
13-24
18-19
30-6
17-12
19-29
18-22
22-28
19-24
7-28
18-24
159.1Avg total
75.2Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.186.4164.6-8.341%
Season at home (13)78.084.9162.9-6.946%
Season away (14)78.387.9166.1-9.636%
Last 10 (10)75.283.9159.1-8.740%
Last 5 (5)78.484.8163.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)78.486.9165.4-8.539%
vs Similar (2)80.084.5164.5-4.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.5-2.5
ToyamaAomori
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H08/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H14/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H15/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A18/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A21/12
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A22/12
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H27/12
B2.League
87.4Avg total
47.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.886.2+4.763%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.240.583.7+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)47.441.088.4+6.469%-
Last 10 (10)47.839.687.4+8.280%-
Last 5 (5)49.042.091.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.643.884.4-3.240%-
vs Similar (8)44.140.985.0+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.539.887.3+7.676%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A29/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H07/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H08/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A14/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A15/12
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A18/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H21/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
47-18
47
18
+29
H22/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A27/12
B2.League
81.2Avg total
40.8Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.542.983.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.339.880.1+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.645.385.9-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.481.2+0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.082.2+0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)40.443.383.7-2.936%-
vs Similar (2)42.037.579.5+4.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.2
54.2%
51.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.6
33.9%
32.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.117.3
71.8%
70.7%17.3
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.319.5
48.4%
51.0%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.3
31.7%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.310.4
60.1%
70.7%10.4
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WLWWLLWWWW
Aomori
LWLWLWLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+15.2
Net rating
-11.6
115.4
Offensive rating
95.7
100.2
Defensive rating
107.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
14.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.9%
3-point %
31.7%
62.5%
Assist %
69.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 95.7Defence100.2 · 107.3Shooting53.1% · 48.0%3-point %33.9% · 31.7%Ball care14.4% · 18.2%Off. rebounds32.5% · 24.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Toyama   ■ Aomori
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Toyama wins
1
Aomori wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Toyama v Aomori104-66
13/10/24Aomori v Toyama56-95
12/10/24Aomori v Toyama75-97
08/03/15Toyama v Aomori81-96
07/03/15Toyama v Aomori76-61
02/11/14Aomori v Toyama88-95
01/11/14Aomori v Toyama71-78
06/04/14Toyama v Aomori82-67
05/04/14Toyama v Aomori89-82
17/11/13Aomori v Toyama66-73
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24HAomori104-66
22/12/24AShinshu89-96 OT
21/12/24AShinshu96-92
18/12/24AFukushima121-79
15/12/24HFukuoka81-84
14/12/24HFukuoka58-78
08/12/24HKumamoto104-77
07/12/24HKumamoto85-67
01/12/24AShizuoka91-84
30/11/24AShizuoka86-71
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24AToyama66-104
22/12/24HKobe84-69
21/12/24HKobe76-90
18/12/24AFukui79-73
15/12/24AKumamoto87-88
14/12/24AKumamoto77-73
08/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise65-96
07/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise82-75
30/11/24AFukuoka80-94
29/11/24AFukuoka56-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWWWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %70%67%73%
Points / game88.585.391.0
Allowed / game79.178.279.9
Point differential+9.3+7.1+11.1
Avg total167.6163.6170.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%42%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLWLLW46%
AwayLWLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %41%46%36%
Points / game78.178.078.3
Allowed / game86.484.987.9
Point differential-8.3-6.9-9.6
Avg total164.6162.9166.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%15%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2726196%93.176.4+16.7
2 Fukuoka2721678%83.773.4+10.3
3 Toyama2719870%88.579.1+9.3
4 Kagoshima Rebnise2819968%82.677.4+5.2
5 Shinshu27171063%87.877.6+10.2
6 Fukui27171063%81.979.2+2.7
7 Shizuoka27151256%76.975.6+1.4
8 Yamagata Wyverns27121544%81.483.8-2.4
9 Aomori27111641%78.186.4-8.3
10 Nara27101737%75.978.9-3.0
11 Kobe27101737%81.585.0-3.5
12 Kumamoto2762122%76.986.4-9.5
13 Fukushima2862221%72.982.5-9.6
14 Ehime Orange Vikings271264%73.592.9-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama22202836106
Aomori1816242179
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.