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Toyama vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 04:05
Final 104-77
28-23 25-12 26-21 25-21
Position#3
Record15-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game78.2
Toyama 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record3-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game86.2
JapanB2.League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Toyama v Kumamoto
08 Dec 2024
TOYA104
KUMA77
07 Dec 2024
TOYA85
KUMA67
27 May 2018
TOYA88
KUMA85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
90-64
90
64
+26
94avg 70
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
80-78
80
78
+2
76avg 70
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
58avg 70
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
83avg 70
H18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
92-84 OT
92
84
+8
87avg 70
H19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
89-64
89
64
+25
80avg 70
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
96-82
96
82
+14
98avg 70
A23/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
86-71
86
71
+15
86avg 70
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
85avg 70
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 70
H07/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-9
22-28
17-14
19-13
16-24
19-19
19-15
26-20
20-13
15-23
11-13
20-25
30-18
17-20
17-13
19-17
24-17
17-29
26-15
11-17
30-17
17-10
18-20
24-17
25-18
28-28
22-19
21-17
20-16
30-15
24-19
12-21
30-19
22-23
25-16
14-26
23-20
23-14
15-17
24-16
159.4Avg total
85.8Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.878.2165.1+8.575%
Season at home (8)84.679.2163.9+5.475%
Season away (12)88.277.6165.8+10.775%
Last 10 (10)85.873.6159.4+12.290%
Last 5 (5)89.473.6163.0+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.985.7152.6-18.80%
vs Similar (6)76.073.8149.8+2.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)89.477.5166.9+11.986%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
65avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
65avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
74-71
74
71
+3
63avg 74
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
74-88
74
88
-14
63avg 74
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 74
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
67-85
67
85
-18
60avg 74
A07/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
12-19
15-16
19-28
18-26
21-23
13-19
21-24
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
15-17
18-23
28-18
13-13
28-17
8-26
21-28
17-17
15-23
25-11
12-12
21-23
20-23
14-23
17-15
16-24
155.4Avg total
72.5Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.586.2160.7-11.815%
Season at home (9)76.184.7160.8-8.622%
Season away (11)73.187.5160.5-14.49%
Last 10 (10)72.582.9155.4-10.420%
Last 5 (5)67.874.6142.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.196.3168.4-24.10%
vs Similar (22)78.086.7164.8-8.714%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.9+7.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.9+7.9Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -4.5-4.5
ToyamaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
54-37
54
37
+17
A03/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H09/11
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H10/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H18/11
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A22/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A23/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A30/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A01/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H07/12
B2.League
84.0Avg total
46.0Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.681.8+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.439.679.1-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)42.941.484.2+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)46.038.084.0+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.636.085.6+13.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.343.177.4-8.830%-
vs Similar (6)40.837.578.3+3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.440.186.5+6.471%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H26/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A30/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A01/12
B2.League
Toyama
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A07/12
B2.League
77.4Avg total
37.0Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.945.984.8-7.123%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.646.186.7-5.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.545.883.4-8.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.477.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.271.4-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.353.990.1-17.60%-
vs Similar (22)39.243.582.7-4.327%-
vs Weaker (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.7
53.8%
51.0%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.4
33.0%
32.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.817.4
79.8%
70.7%17.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.8
48.4%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.6
29.1%
32.9%19.8
🏀 Free throws13.59.2
68.1%
70.7%9.2
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
WWWWWWWLWW
Kumamoto
LWLWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#8
+15.5
Net rating
-17.1
109.7
Offensive rating
95.8
94.2
Defensive rating
112.9
52.3%
Effective FG%
46.7%
44.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.0%
3-point %
29.1%
69.4%
Assist %
65.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 95.8Defence94.2 · 112.9Shooting52.3% · 46.7%3-point %33.0% · 29.1%Ball care18.7% · 18.5%Off. rebounds32.1% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 20%
■ Toyama   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Toyama wins
0
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24Toyama v Kumamoto85-67
27/05/18Toyama v Kumamoto88-85
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24HKumamoto85-67
01/12/24AShizuoka91-84
30/11/24AShizuoka86-71
23/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings96-82
22/11/24AEhime Orange Vikings89-64
19/11/24HFukushima92-84 OT
18/11/24HFukushima83-68
10/11/24HShinshu66-74
09/11/24HShinshu80-78
03/11/24AKagoshima Rebnise90-64
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AToyama67-85
01/12/24ANara73-69
30/11/24ANara74-88
26/11/24HShizuoka74-71
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
09/11/24AKobe73-92
03/11/24HNara71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20812
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.884.688.2
Allowed / game78.279.277.6
Point differential+8.6+5.4+10.7
Avg total165.1163.9165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%38%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %5%12%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL15%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %15%22%9%
Points / game74.576.173.1
Allowed / game86.284.787.5
Point differential-11.8-8.6-14.4
Avg total160.7160.8160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2019195%92.876.2+16.6
2 Toyama2015575%86.878.2+8.6
3 Shinshu2014670%87.875.5+12.3
4 Fukuoka2014670%84.274.4+9.8
5 Fukui2014670%83.078.0+5.0
6 Kagoshima Rebnise2012860%80.479.0+1.4
7 Shizuoka20101050%76.076.6-0.6
8 Nara2091145%76.878.0-1.1
9 Kobe2091145%84.085.8-1.8
10 Yamagata Wyverns2081240%80.183.8-3.8
11 Aomori2081240%78.887.0-8.2
12 Fukushima2041620%74.083.2-9.2
13 Kumamoto2031715%74.586.2-11.8
14 Ehime Orange Vikings201195%74.792.1-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama28252625104
Kumamoto2312212177
← all games of the day
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