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Aomori vs Toyama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 75-97
26-20 22-22 10-26 17-29
Position#12
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game93.5
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Toyama 🏆
Japan
Position#3
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game92.0
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aomori v Toyama
26 Mar 2025
AOMO79
TOYA93
13 Oct 2024
AOMO56
TOYA95
12 Oct 2024
AOMO75
TOYA97
02 Nov 2014
AOMO88
TOYA95
01 Nov 2014
AOMO71
TOYA78
17 Nov 2013
AOMO66
TOYA73
16 Nov 2013
AOMO74
TOYA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toyama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
96-79
96
79
+17
91avg 76
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
87avg 76
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
90-103
90
103
-13
74avg 76
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
86-87 OT
86
87
-1
85avg 76
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-83
76
83
-7
73avg 76
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
no box
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-92
79
92
-13
no box
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 76
A05/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
96-91
96
91
+5
88avg 76
A06/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
23-12
20-20
27-24
23-22
21-22
24-26
23-25
28-27
22-29
15-22
25-25
19-22
23-18
21-21
17-19
21-28
23-23
18-15
14-17
25-19
30-26
20-21
13-18
22-28
18-22
21-20
18-23
18-22
26-23
17-22
18-25
19-28
26-19
24-20
22-17
29-25
27-25
20-24
20-17
176.3Avg total
87.2Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)93.587.5181.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.289.1176.3-1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.688.8175.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)84.792.7177.4-8.030%
vs Similar (18)85.986.7172.6-0.844%
vs Weaker (2)89.076.0165.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
65-83
65
83
-18
63avg 65
A14/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
L
59-63
59
63
-4
46avg 65
H17/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
62-71
62
71
-9
52avg 65
H20/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 65
H21/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
64-89
64
89
-25
48avg 65
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
80-103
80
103
-23
75avg 65
A28/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 65
H04/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
59-80
59
80
-21
54avg 65
H05/05
B League
Kobe
#10
W
86-85
86
85
+1
78avg 65
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 65
H06/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
11-20
20-23
22-18
17-11
9-12
13-17
20-23
17-24
14-14
14-17
17-16
19-19
15-14
18-23
21-18
17-29
16-25
14-18
17-17
22-26
14-23
28-30
16-24
18-19
26-19
11-22
15-17
15-23
24-21
10-17
10-19
22-25
22-22
21-20
21-18
23-19
23-23
13-31
22-26
152.3Avg total
69.9Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.592.0175.5-8.550%
Season at home (2)83.592.0175.5-8.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.982.4152.3-12.510%
Last 5 (5)75.288.8164.0-13.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)68.287.4155.6-19.20%
vs Similar (4)76.882.0158.8-5.20%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)83.592.0175.5-8.550%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: -1.5-1.5
AomoriToyama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A07/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/04
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H14/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A20/04
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A21/04
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A03/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A04/05
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A05/05
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A05/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A06/10
B2.League
93.2Avg total
46.9Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.343.787.9+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (12)43.843.186.8+0.742%-
Last 30 away (18)44.644.188.7+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)46.946.393.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)48.047.495.4+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)46.346.993.2-0.640%-
vs Similar (18)42.642.485.0+0.239%-
vs Weaker (2)49.039.088.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hiroshima D.
#6
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A14/04
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#7
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H17/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H20/04
B League
Shinshu
#23
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H21/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A27/04
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A28/04
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H04/05
B League
Nagoya Fighting Eagles
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/05
B League
Kobe
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/10
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H06/10
B2.League
76.6Avg total
35.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.443.378.7-8.020%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.842.679.4-5.828%-
Last 30 away (12)33.244.477.7-11.28%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.076.6-5.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.844.085.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)34.643.578.1-8.817%-
vs Similar (4)35.042.077.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)45.044.589.5+0.550%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.624.7
58.0%
51.0%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.5
36.5%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.911.9
66.5%
70.7%11.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.918.2
46.8%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.8
34.5%
32.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws14.810.1
68.2%
70.7%10.1
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WWLLWLLLLW
Toyama
LWLLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#3
+1.6
Net rating
-15.1
117.2
Offensive rating
94.1
115.7
Defensive rating
109.1
56.8%
Effective FG%
48.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.3%
Turnover %
21.5%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.5%
3-point %
34.5%
64.6%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 94.1Defence115.7 · 109.1Shooting56.8% · 48.6%3-point %36.5% · 34.5%Ball care13.3% · 21.5%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Aomori   ■ Toyama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
7
Toyama wins
DateGameScore
08/03/15Toyama v Aomori81-96
07/03/15Toyama v Aomori76-61
02/11/14Aomori v Toyama88-95
01/11/14Aomori v Toyama71-78
06/04/14Toyama v Aomori82-67
05/04/14Toyama v Aomori89-82
17/11/13Aomori v Toyama66-73
16/11/13Aomori v Toyama74-77
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24ANara96-91
05/10/24ANara91-84
05/05/24AShiga79-92
04/05/24AShiga79-93
03/05/24AShiga88-84
21/04/24AIwate76-83
20/04/24AIwate86-87 OT
14/04/24HNara90-103
13/04/24HNara91-95
07/04/24AShizuoka96-79
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24HKobe81-99
05/10/24HKobe86-85
05/05/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles59-80
04/05/24HNagoya Fighting Eagles70-77
28/04/24ANeoPhoenix80-103
27/04/24ANeoPhoenix64-89
21/04/24HShinshu73-74
20/04/24HShinshu62-71
17/04/24HSun Rockers Shibuya59-63
14/04/24AHiroshima D.65-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game93.5-93.5
Allowed / game87.5-87.5
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Toyama
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game92.092.0-
Point differential-8.5-8.5-
Avg total175.5175.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba330100%98.079.0+19.0
2 Fukui220100%85.574.5+11.0
3 Aomori220100%93.587.5+6.0
4 Kagoshima Rebnise220100%77.573.5+4.0
5 Kobe43175%90.581.2+9.2
6 Shizuoka32167%79.078.3+0.7
7 Ehime Orange Vikings21150%81.081.0+0.0
8 Fukushima21150%81.081.0+0.0
9 Toyama21150%83.592.0-8.5
10 Fukuoka2020%73.577.5-4.0
11 Nara4040%83.291.2-8.0
12 Yamagata Wyverns2020%72.081.5-9.5
13 Shinshu2020%74.585.5-11.0
14 Kumamoto2020%81.5101.5-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori2622101775
Toyama2022262997
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