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Niigata vs Fukushima Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 05:10
Final 57-92
13-19 20-26 16-25 8-22
Position#14
Record7-50
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#10
Record22-35
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game85.1
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Fukushima
14 Apr 2024
NIIG57
FUKU92
13 Apr 2024
NIIG71
FUKU90
27 Mar 2024
NIIG75
FUKU93
26 Oct 2014
NIIG82
FUKU75
25 Oct 2014
NIIG89
FUKU77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fukushima winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 61
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
69-83
69
83
-14
53avg 61
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 61
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
60-97
60
97
-37
46avg 61
H24/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
75-93
75
93
-18
62avg 61
H27/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
61-77
61
77
-16
51avg 61
A30/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 61
A31/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 61
A06/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 61
A07/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
56avg 61
H13/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
21-18
8-22
28-24
17-23
15-24
15-16
22-20
24-16
19-17
20-19
22-29
8-32
16-25
23-18
13-22
7-27
29-17
17-26
22-23
14-31
19-14
7-18
21-14
14-23
8-30
26-22
27-17
19-19
13-26
18-19
28-25
16-22
16-24
16-18
11-20
14-17
22-25
18-25
17-23
157.9Avg total
70.7Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)73.187.0160.1-13.912%
Season at home (27)73.986.4160.3-12.415%
Season away (30)72.487.6160.0-15.210%
Last 10 (10)70.787.2157.9-16.510%
Last 5 (5)68.886.4155.2-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)75.489.8165.3-14.417%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukushima
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
81-77
81
77
+4
82avg 75
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
67avg 75
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 75
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 75
H24/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
92avg 75
A27/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
87avg 75
A30/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
74-91
74
91
-17
67avg 75
A31/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 75
H06/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
75-101
75
101
-26
62avg 75
H07/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-71
90
71
+19
99avg 75
A13/04
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
23-16
20-19
25-17
15-16
14-25
20-24
24-25
11-19
29-20
13-23
20-19
9-24
25-18
15-20
24-24
27-7
17-29
26-17
23-22
23-21
24-23
30-29
14-24
14-23
28-21
15-23
17-24
29-32
18-27
20-20
27-22
14-23
23-22
26-28
12-28
17-14
25-22
25-18
23-17
168.7Avg total
81.7Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)81.485.1166.5-3.839%
Season at home (28)80.684.1164.8-3.539%
Season away (29)82.086.0168.1-4.038%
Last 10 (10)81.787.0168.7-5.330%
Last 5 (5)84.892.2177.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.692.4175.9-8.829%
vs Similar (13)81.383.2164.5-1.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.376.3166.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.2-8.2Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
NiigataFukushima
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H23/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
24-57
24
57
-33
H24/03
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/03
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A31/03
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A06/04
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A07/04
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/04
B2.League
78.0Avg total
32.8Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.145.582.7-8.420%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.645.181.7-8.513%-
Last 30 away (15)37.745.983.6-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)32.845.278.0-12.410%-
Last 5 (5)31.046.277.2-15.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (30)37.145.582.7-8.420%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukushima) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FukushimaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/03
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A16/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H23/03
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H24/03
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A27/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A30/03
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A31/03
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H06/04
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/04
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/04
B2.League
82.5Avg total
39.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.843.284.0-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.144.685.7-3.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.641.882.4-1.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.842.782.5-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.688.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.645.384.9-5.621%-
vs Similar (13)41.542.483.9-0.854%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.337.080.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.016.7
46.4%
52.4%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.3
32.8%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.111.2
74.2%
71.0%11.2
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fukushimatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukushima: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
52.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.7
36.9%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
71.0%11.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLLLLWLL
Fukushima
WLLLLWLLLW
#14
League position
#10
-23.6
Net rating
-6.6
94.2
Offensive rating
107.6
117.8
Defensive rating
114.2
47.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
19.3%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.8%
3-point %
36.9%
50.8%
Assist %
72.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 107.6Defence117.8 · 114.2Shooting47.6% · 54.7%3-point %32.8% · 36.9%Ball care17.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds19.3% · 25.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Niigata   ■ Fukushima
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Niigata wins
6
Fukushima wins
DateGameScore
13/04/24Niigata v Fukushima71-90
27/03/24Niigata v Fukushima75-93
31/01/24Fukushima v Niigata88-83
05/11/23Fukushima v Niigata85-67
04/11/23Fukushima v Niigata94-81
14/12/14Fukushima v Niigata59-54
13/12/14Fukushima v Niigata70-74
26/10/14Niigata v Fukushima82-75
25/10/14Niigata v Fukushima89-77
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24HFukushima71-90
07/04/24AYamagata Wyverns59-84
06/04/24AYamagata Wyverns78-89
31/03/24AIwate75-92
30/03/24AIwate61-77
27/03/24HFukushima75-93
24/03/24HFukuoka60-97
23/03/24HFukuoka85-81
17/03/24AKobe69-83
16/03/24AKobe74-86
Fukushimalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/24ANiigata90-71
07/04/24HKoshigaya Alphas75-101
06/04/24HKoshigaya Alphas94-101
31/03/24AAltiri Chiba74-91
30/03/24AAltiri Chiba91-97
27/03/24ANiigata93-75
24/03/24HKobe73-86
23/03/24HKobe73-81
16/03/24AFukuoka73-90
15/03/24AFukuoka81-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL12%
HomeLWLLL15%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572730
Win %12%15%10%
Points / game73.173.972.4
Allowed / game87.086.487.6
Point differential-13.9-12.4-15.2
Avg total160.1160.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)50% (4)20% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Fukushima
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW39%
HomeLLLLL39%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572829
Win %39%39%38%
Points / game81.480.682.0
Allowed / game85.184.186.0
Point differential-3.8-3.5-4.0
Avg total166.5164.8168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)55% (11)62% (8)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba5753493%91.477.2+14.2
2 Shiga58431574%86.779.1+7.5
3 Fukuoka58362262%78.475.9+2.5
4 Koshigaya Alphas57342360%84.075.3+8.6
5 Kumamoto58332557%85.185.2-0.1
6 Yamagata Wyverns58302852%81.684.2-2.6
7 Aomori57292851%85.687.3-1.7
8 Kobe58273147%79.678.3+1.3
9 Shizuoka58273147%81.281.6-0.4
10 Nara57223539%74.277.6-3.4
11 Fukushima57223539%81.485.1-3.8
12 Ehime Orange Vikings58223638%79.484.0-4.6
13 Iwate58184031%71.875.7-3.8
14 Niigata5775012%73.187.0-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata132016857
Fukushima1926252292
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