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Toyama vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 66-78
27-15 20-23 7-23 12-17
Position#24
Record3-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#19
Record3-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game76.8
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 82
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
96-91
96
91
+5
94avg 82
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
65-100
65
100
-35
50avg 82
H11/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
88-78
88
78
+10
87avg 82
H12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 82
H15/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 82
A18/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 82
A19/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 82
H25/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-91
67
91
-24
53avg 82
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
21-25
18-21
14-17
15-23
18-24
31-26
21-21
23-28
28-21
17-20
28-22
12-26
26-22
17-27
10-25
20-27
22-18
30-16
16-17
17-32
24-14
19-18
9-18
26-23
26-27
23-25
24-20
19-24
12-18
31-20
22-24
27-25
16-22
17-31
11-13
20-26
17-17
23-23
7-25
169.5Avg total
79.5Scored
90.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)80.489.8170.2-9.333%
Season at home (5)72.088.4160.4-16.420%
Season away (4)91.091.5182.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)79.590.0169.5-10.530%
Last 5 (5)78.089.0167.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.692.3169.9-14.714%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.888.1174.9-1.360%
vs Weaker (13)90.381.5171.8+8.877%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 70
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 70
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
61-94
61
94
-33
55avg 70
H05/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
63-77
63
77
-14
49avg 70
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
64-75
64
75
-11
54avg 70
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 70
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
64-62
64
62
+2
57avg 70
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
67-73
67
73
-6
65avg 70
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
99avg 70
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
L
73-76
73
76
-3
63avg 70
A26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
7-21
24-21
18-18
21-25
29-20
11-25
13-16
15-19
14-22
12-29
20-24
21-21
8-20
22-20
12-16
16-22
23-11
8-23
17-19
14-18
17-14
22-20
19-18
17-15
16-9
19-20
12-18
14-25
25-25
11-10
17-13
25-17
26-23
20-20
23-18
19-20
29-22
16-23
9-11
147.5Avg total
70.1Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)70.276.8147.0-6.633%
Season at home (6)65.577.8143.3-12.317%
Season away (3)79.774.7154.3+5.067%
Last 10 (10)70.177.4147.5-7.330%
Last 5 (5)74.071.8145.8+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.180.4150.5-10.224%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.376.3145.5-7.036%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.6-6.6Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
ToyamaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A18/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A19/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H25/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H26/10
B League
87.8Avg total
40.7Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.688.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.142.385.4+0.947%-
Last 30 away (15)46.344.991.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.747.187.8-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.845.686.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.948.391.1-5.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.044.588.5-0.560%-
vs Weaker (13)46.240.486.6+5.869%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H05/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A26/10
B League
76.8Avg total
37.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.539.875.4-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.838.673.4-3.844%-
Last 30 away (14)36.441.377.6-4.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.639.276.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.678.0+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.440.475.8-4.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)34.739.574.3-4.845%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.4
49.2%
53.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.2
25.4%
33.7%18.6
🏀 Free throws23.317.3
74.2%
73.1%17.3
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.414.5
47.7%
53.1%29.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.39.9
32.7%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws14.811.0
74.3%
73.1%11.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLLWLWLWLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LWLWWLLLLL
#24
League position
#19
-13.2
Net rating
-9.4
98.6
Offensive rating
97.4
111.8
Defensive rating
106.7
45.2%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
18.5%
36.6%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.24
25.4%
3-point %
32.7%
69.6%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 97.4Defence111.8 · 106.7Shooting45.2% · 48.4%3-point %25.4% · 32.7%Ball care20.5% · 18.5%Off. rebounds36.6% · 25.3%Free throws0.34 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Toyama   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25HNagasaki67-91
25/10/25HNagasaki71-91
19/10/25AAltiri Chiba84-86
18/10/25AAltiri Chiba99-95
15/10/25HDiamond Dolphins69-82
12/10/25HBrave Thunders88-78
11/10/25HBrave Thunders65-100
05/10/25AKyoto96-91
04/10/25AKyoto85-94
18/05/25AAltiri Chiba71-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/25ASaga73-76
25/10/25ASaga94-78
19/10/25HKyoto67-73
18/10/25HKyoto64-62
15/10/25AYokohama72-70
12/10/25HAltiri Chiba64-75
11/10/25HAltiri Chiba63-77
05/10/25HShimane61-94
04/10/25HShimane74-86
04/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game80.472.091.0
Allowed / game89.888.491.5
Point differential-9.3-16.4-0.5
Avg total170.2160.4182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL33%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %33%17%67%
Points / game70.265.579.7
Allowed / game76.877.874.7
Point differential-6.6-12.3+5.0
Avg total147.0143.3154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba990100%87.473.6+13.9
2 Nagasaki98189%91.474.4+17.0
3 Diamond Dolphins98189%84.470.0+14.4
4 Utsunomiya Brex97278%86.877.2+9.6
5 Hiroshima D.96367%93.085.7+7.3
6 Shimane96367%86.481.4+5.0
7 Hokkaido96367%83.284.3-1.1
8 Ryukyu95456%84.277.8+6.4
9 NeoPhoenix95456%83.677.9+5.7
10 Alvark95456%77.476.0+1.4
11 Shiga95456%80.181.6-1.4
12 Sendai95456%79.981.6-1.7
13 Gunma94544%79.977.9+2.0
14 SeaHorses Mikawa94544%83.782.7+1.0
15 Osaka94544%80.380.8-0.4
16 Saga94544%82.385.7-3.3
17 Yokohama94544%77.181.0-3.9
18 Sun Rockers Shibuya94544%75.982.2-6.3
19 Altiri Chiba94544%80.087.7-7.7
20 Nagoya Fighting Eagles93633%80.284.8-4.6
21 Koshigaya Alphas93633%70.276.8-6.6
22 Toyama93633%80.489.8-9.3
23 Kyoto92722%73.081.1-8.1
24 Ibaraki Robots91811%73.081.2-8.2
25 Brave Thunders91811%76.484.9-8.4
26 Akita91811%75.087.7-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama272071266
Koshigaya Alphas1523231778
← all games of the day
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