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Saga vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 76-73
20-19 22-29 23-16 11-9
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game87.2
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#19
Record3-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game76.9
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Saga v Koshigaya Alphas
26 Oct 2025
SAGA76
KOSH73
25 Oct 2025
SAGA78
KOSH94
26 Jan 2025
SAGA75
KOSH90
25 Jan 2025
SAGA74
KOSH82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 70
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 70
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
92-68
92
68
+24
88avg 70
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
97-91
97
91
+6
101avg 70
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
67-76
67
76
-9
59avg 70
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
67avg 70
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
88avg 70
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
92-114
92
114
-22
91avg 70
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
65avg 70
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 70
H25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-25
14-13
16-22
23-14
18-21
20-18
15-32
17-24
32-14
26-14
17-16
28-20
23-25
19-23
27-23
21-15
16-28
15-19
15-14
16-22
20-19
17-20
20-24
19-24
27-13
26-28
15-14
20-38
27-22
20-29
25-25
19-15
18-31
22-23
20-22
17-25
23-26
20-20
18-23
168.2Avg total
81.2Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.187.2170.4-4.138%
Season at home (3)89.084.3173.3+4.767%
Season away (5)79.689.0168.6-9.420%
Last 10 (10)81.287.0168.2-5.830%
Last 5 (5)81.892.6174.4-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.880.0153.8-6.225%
vs Similar (12)85.785.8171.5-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.779.0167.7+9.783%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
62-91
62
91
-29
53avg 70
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 70
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 70
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
61-94
61
94
-33
55avg 70
H05/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
63-77
63
77
-14
49avg 70
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
64-75
64
75
-11
54avg 70
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
W
72-70
72
70
+2
66avg 70
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
64-62
64
62
+2
57avg 70
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
67-73
67
73
-6
65avg 70
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
94-78
94
78
+16
99avg 70
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
16-20
14-31
18-16
20-23
7-21
24-21
18-18
21-25
29-20
11-25
13-16
15-19
14-22
12-29
20-24
21-21
8-20
22-20
12-16
16-22
23-11
8-23
17-19
14-18
17-14
22-20
19-18
17-15
16-9
19-20
12-18
14-25
25-25
11-10
17-13
25-17
26-23
20-20
23-18
147.9Avg total
69.0Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.976.9146.8-7.038%
Season at home (6)65.577.8143.3-12.317%
Season away (2)83.074.0157.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.078.9147.9-9.930%
Last 5 (5)72.271.6143.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.980.6150.6-10.725%
vs Similar (12)68.874.8143.7-6.042%
vs Weaker (2)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
SagaKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#3
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/05
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A04/05
B League
Shiga
#18
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/10
B League
Shiga
#18
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A10/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A11/10
B League
Shimane
#14
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A15/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A18/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A19/10
B League
Koshigaya Alphas
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H25/10
B League
87.3Avg total
42.5Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.584.8-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.341.686.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.343.482.7-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)42.544.887.3-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.088.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.739.378.0-0.742%-
vs Similar (12)43.845.889.5-2.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)46.542.388.8+4.250%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A03/05
B League
Utsunomiya Brex
#1
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/05
B League
Shimane
#14
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H04/10
B League
Shimane
#14
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H05/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H11/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H12/10
B League
Yokohama
#15
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A15/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H18/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H19/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/10
B League
75.2Avg total
35.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.839.474.2-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.838.673.4-3.844%-
Last 30 away (14)34.940.475.2-5.521%-
Last 10 (10)35.839.475.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.640.274.9-5.625%-
vs Similar (12)34.138.772.8-4.642%-
vs Weaker (2)41.037.078.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.018.0
56.2%
53.1%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.210.3
30.1%
33.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.413.3
76.4%
73.1%13.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.414.9
46.0%
53.1%29.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.8
33.6%
33.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws13.39.4
70.7%
73.1%9.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLWLLWWLL
Koshigaya Alphas
WLWWLLLLLL
#12
League position
#19
-8.4
Net rating
-12.9
105.3
Offensive rating
95.5
113.7
Defensive rating
108.4
50.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
30.1%
3-point %
33.6%
80.2%
Assist %
67.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 95.5Defence113.7 · 108.4Shooting50.5% · 48.1%3-point %30.1% · 33.6%Ball care16.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds26.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Saga   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Saga v Koshigaya Alphas78-94
26/01/25Saga v Koshigaya Alphas75-90
25/01/25Saga v Koshigaya Alphas74-82
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HKoshigaya Alphas78-94
19/10/25AHiroshima D.79-91
18/10/25AHiroshima D.92-114
15/10/25AShimane87-79
11/10/25ANagasaki73-85
10/10/25ANagasaki67-76
05/10/25HShiga97-91
04/10/25HShiga92-68
04/05/25ARyukyu76-85
03/05/25ARyukyu71-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25ASaga94-78
19/10/25HKyoto67-73
18/10/25HKyoto64-62
15/10/25AYokohama72-70
12/10/25HAltiri Chiba64-75
11/10/25HAltiri Chiba63-77
05/10/25HShimane61-94
04/10/25HShimane74-86
04/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex69-83
03/05/25AUtsunomiya Brex62-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game83.189.079.6
Allowed / game87.284.389.0
Point differential-4.1+4.7-9.4
Avg total170.4173.3168.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW38%
HomeLLLWL17%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%17%100%
Points / game69.965.583.0
Allowed / game76.977.874.0
Point differential-7.0-12.3+9.0
Avg total146.8143.3157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba880100%86.573.8+12.8
2 Nagasaki87188%91.575.4+16.1
3 Diamond Dolphins87188%82.870.2+12.5
4 Hiroshima D.86275%95.586.0+9.5
5 Utsunomiya Brex86275%85.577.0+8.5
6 Shimane85362%87.482.1+5.2
7 Shiga85362%80.279.6+0.6
8 Hokkaido85362%81.583.0-1.5
9 Sendai85362%78.079.6-1.6
10 Ryukyu84450%84.177.4+6.8
11 NeoPhoenix84450%84.179.8+4.4
12 Gunma84450%79.877.0+2.8
13 Alvark84450%75.476.4-1.0
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya84450%76.480.6-4.2
15 Altiri Chiba84450%81.586.4-4.9
16 SeaHorses Mikawa83538%83.083.9-0.9
17 Osaka83538%80.081.8-1.8
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles83538%81.184.2-3.1
19 Saga83538%83.187.2-4.1
20 Yokohama83538%76.682.5-5.9
21 Koshigaya Alphas83538%69.976.9-7.0
22 Toyama83538%82.189.6-7.5
23 Kyoto82625%73.079.5-6.5
24 Brave Thunders81712%78.185.6-7.5
25 Ibaraki Robots81712%73.581.2-7.8
26 Akita81712%74.988.8-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2022231176
Koshigaya Alphas192916973
← all games of the day
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