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Toyama vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:05
Final 67-91
20-26 17-17 23-23 7-25
Position#24
Record3-5
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#1
Record7-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game75.4
JapanB League· Toyama City Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Toyama v Nagasaki
20 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
18 Dec 2026
TOYA v NAGA
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
TOYA67
NAGA91
25 Oct 2025
TOYA71
NAGA91
15 Oct 2023
TOYA83
NAGA94
14 Oct 2023
TOYA84
NAGA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toyama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ToyamaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormToyama
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
98-92
98
92
+6
95avg 82
A17/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 82
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 82
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
96-91
96
91
+5
94avg 82
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
65-100
65
100
-35
50avg 82
H11/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
W
88-78
88
78
+10
87avg 82
H12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 82
H15/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
99-95
99
95
+4
96avg 82
A18/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
84-86
84
86
-2
78avg 82
A19/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
71-91
71
91
-20
60avg 82
H25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
27-24
23-15
24-30
18-29
21-25
18-21
14-17
15-23
18-24
31-26
21-21
23-28
28-21
17-20
28-22
12-26
26-22
17-27
10-25
20-27
22-18
30-16
16-17
17-32
24-14
19-18
9-18
26-23
26-27
23-25
24-20
19-24
12-18
31-20
22-24
27-25
16-22
17-31
11-13
172.7Avg total
82.6Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.189.6171.8-7.538%
Season at home (4)73.287.8161.0-14.525%
Season away (4)91.091.5182.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)82.690.1172.7-7.540%
Last 5 (5)82.286.4168.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)79.392.5171.8-13.217%
vs Similar (10)86.888.1174.9-1.360%
vs Weaker (14)88.779.7168.4+9.079%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 70
A03/05
B League
Osaka
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 70
A04/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
94-97
94
97
-3
82avg 70
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
102-68
102
68
+34
92avg 70
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
76-67
76
67
+9
67avg 70
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
84avg 70
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
107-82
107
82
+25
107avg 70
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 70
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
90avg 70
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
91-71
91
71
+20
80avg 70
A25/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
20-20
23-15
26-14
25-19
18-25
22-17
20-15
30-28
20-27
27-25
17-17
31-21
18-18
34-13
19-16
15-21
28-16
19-15
14-15
22-16
19-20
20-17
24-20
22-16
20-25
35-22
30-19
29-14
18-15
17-25
21-22
29-22
23-17
16-16
24-14
25-27
22-16
31-17
13-11
165.7Avg total
90.6Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.575.4166.9+16.188%
Season at home (3)89.374.0163.3+15.3100%
Season away (5)92.876.2169.0+16.680%
Last 10 (10)90.675.1165.7+15.590%
Last 5 (5)92.074.2166.2+17.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)74.681.6156.1-7.029%
vs Similar (7)83.175.7158.9+7.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.074.4163.4+14.689%
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +4.5+4.5
ToyamaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ToyamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A17/05
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A18/05
B2.League
Kyoto
#20
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A04/10
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A05/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H11/10
B League
Brave Thunders
#25
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H15/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A18/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A19/10
B League
Nagasaki
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H25/10
B League
89.6Avg total
42.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.087.5+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.741.183.8+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)46.344.991.2+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)42.147.589.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.846.087.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)43.849.293.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (10)44.044.588.5-0.560%-
vs Weaker (14)45.139.484.4+5.771%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A03/05
B League
Osaka
#13
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A04/05
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A04/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#22
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A05/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H10/10
B League
Saga
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H11/10
B League
SeaHorses Mikawa
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H15/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A19/10
B League
Toyama
#24
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A25/10
B League
86.0Avg total
45.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.381.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.740.179.8-0.458%-
Last 30 away (18)42.040.482.4+1.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.686.0+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.683.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.240.676.8-4.414%-
vs Similar (7)44.940.985.7+4.071%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.739.485.1+6.289%-
This opponent (Toyama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toyamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toyama: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.123.0
53.4%
53.1%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.15.8
26.2%
33.7%17.4
🏀 Free throws23.618.2
77.1%
73.1%18.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.6
52.8%
53.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.812.8
37.9%
33.7%38.4
🏀 Free throws16.211.6
71.6%
73.1%11.6
They take 70.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toyama
LLWLWLWLLW
Nagasaki
WWWWWWWLWW
#24
League position
#1
-10.1
Net rating
+18.9
106.9
Offensive rating
114.9
116.9
Defensive rating
95.9
48.6%
Effective FG%
54.7%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.2%
37.3%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.23
26.2%
3-point %
37.9%
61.8%
Assist %
66.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 114.9Defence116.9 · 95.9Shooting48.6% · 54.7%3-point %26.2% · 37.9%Ball care18.9% · 17.2%Off. rebounds37.3% · 34.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Toyama   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Toyama wins
3
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25Toyama v Nagasaki71-91
15/10/23Toyama v Nagasaki83-94
14/10/23Toyama v Nagasaki84-96
Toyamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25HNagasaki71-91
19/10/25AAltiri Chiba84-86
18/10/25AAltiri Chiba99-95
15/10/25HDiamond Dolphins69-82
12/10/25HBrave Thunders88-78
11/10/25HBrave Thunders65-100
05/10/25AKyoto96-91
04/10/25AKyoto85-94
18/05/25AAltiri Chiba71-92
17/05/25AAltiri Chiba98-92
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AToyama91-71
19/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya92-69
18/10/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-76
15/10/25HSeaHorses Mikawa107-82
11/10/25HSaga85-73
10/10/25HSaga76-67
05/10/25AAltiri Chiba102-68
04/10/25AAltiri Chiba94-97
04/05/25AOsaka85-76
03/05/25AOsaka89-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toyama
B League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game82.173.291.0
Allowed / game89.687.891.5
Point differential-7.5-14.5-0.5
Avg total171.8161.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %88%100%80%
Points / game91.589.392.8
Allowed / game75.474.076.2
Point differential+16.1+15.3+16.6
Avg total166.9163.3169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chiba880100%86.573.8+12.8
2 Nagasaki87188%91.575.4+16.1
3 Diamond Dolphins87188%82.870.2+12.5
4 Hiroshima D.86275%95.586.0+9.5
5 Utsunomiya Brex86275%85.577.0+8.5
6 Shimane85362%87.482.1+5.2
7 Shiga85362%80.279.6+0.6
8 Hokkaido85362%81.583.0-1.5
9 Sendai85362%78.079.6-1.6
10 Ryukyu84450%84.177.4+6.8
11 NeoPhoenix84450%84.179.8+4.4
12 Gunma84450%79.877.0+2.8
13 Alvark84450%75.476.4-1.0
14 Sun Rockers Shibuya84450%76.480.6-4.2
15 Altiri Chiba84450%81.586.4-4.9
16 SeaHorses Mikawa83538%83.083.9-0.9
17 Osaka83538%80.081.8-1.8
18 Nagoya Fighting Eagles83538%81.184.2-3.1
19 Saga83538%83.187.2-4.1
20 Yokohama83538%76.682.5-5.9
21 Koshigaya Alphas83538%69.976.9-7.0
22 Toyama83538%82.189.6-7.5
23 Kyoto82625%73.079.5-6.5
24 Brave Thunders81712%78.185.6-7.5
25 Ibaraki Robots81712%73.581.2-7.8
26 Akita81712%74.988.8-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toyama201723767
Nagasaki2617232591
← all games of the day
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