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Trefl Sopot vs Gornik Walbrzych Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 100-85
13-23 26-25 30-22 31-15
Position#3
Record7-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#5
Record7-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.9
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 12· Ergo Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Trefl Sopot v Gornik Walbrzych
05 Feb 2027
TSO v GORN
upcoming
26 Oct 2025
TSO84
GORN77
28 Dec 2024
TSO100
GORN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gornik Walbrzych winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl SopotPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
64-93
64
93
-29
52avg 75
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
92-68
92
68
+24
90avg 75
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
58-84
58
84
-26
48avg 75
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
75-68
75
68
+7
67avg 75
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ulm
#13
L
69-83
69
83
-14
61avg 75
A03/12
Eurocup
Lublin
#4
L
121-122 OT
121
122
-1
108avg 75
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trento
#16
L
70-82
70
82
-12
38avg 75
H10/12
Eurocup
Legia
#2
L
75-109
75
109
-34
59avg 75
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
89-92
89
92
-3
83avg 75
A18/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#11
L
72-83
72
83
-11
66avg 75
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
16-23
18-22
14-26
30-20
27-12
19-20
16-16
10-19
21-20
11-23
16-22
20-11
22-28
12-12
21-17
19-19
21-19
12-20
17-25
16-21
26-22
35-27
16-23
16-22
19-20
13-19
22-21
14-24
24-32
12-30
25-23
17-39
34-21
20-17
18-15
22-22
20-22
9-25
21-14
166.9Avg total
78.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.088.5178.5+1.564%
Season at home (6)85.785.3171.0+0.367%
Season away (5)95.292.4187.6+2.860%
Last 10 (10)78.588.4166.9-9.920%
Last 5 (5)85.497.6183.0-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.288.5164.8-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.390.7178.0-3.450%
vs Weaker (7)86.077.0163.0+9.086%
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalbrzych
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
79-74
79
74
+5
64avg 78
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
W
93-84
93
84
+9
90avg 78
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
62-56
62
56
+6
51avg 78
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
92-68
92
68
+24
95avg 78
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
66-64
66
64
+2
64avg 78
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
L
80-81
80
81
-1
75avg 78
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
70-80
70
80
-10
65avg 78
A29/11
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
60-91
60
91
-31
45avg 78
A08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
71avg 78
H12/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 78
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
19-28
12-19
26-11
26-31
26-16
25-25
16-12
14-13
14-12
20-17
14-14
28-13
22-19
13-20
29-16
15-12
21-11
14-16
16-25
19-24
20-29
21-13
20-15
23-24
15-19
13-19
19-18
7-20
17-23
18-27
18-21
24-16
24-10
8-13
21-24
16-18
32-24
24-26
19-13
151.2Avg total
77.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.574.9151.5+1.664%
Season at home (4)69.266.2135.5+3.075%
Season away (7)80.779.9160.6+0.957%
Last 10 (10)77.074.2151.2+2.870%
Last 5 (5)75.679.2154.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.077.5140.5-14.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.076.0158.0+6.071%
vs Weaker (21)83.076.5159.5+6.571%
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.9+2.9
Trefl SopotGornik Walbrzych
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H12/11
Eurocup
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
W
57-32
57
32
+25
H16/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gran Canaria
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A28/11
Eurocup
Torun
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H01/12
Energa Basket Liga
Ulm
#13
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/12
Eurocup
Lublin
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A07/12
Energa Basket Liga
Trento
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H10/12
Eurocup
Legia
#2
L
38-56
38
56
-18
H15/12
Energa Basket Liga
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A18/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A21/12
Energa Basket Liga
84.8Avg total
41.0Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.442.883.2-2.433%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.442.483.8-1.038%-
Last 30 away (14)39.343.382.6-4.029%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.884.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.649.090.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.345.182.4-7.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.042.982.9-2.940%-
vs Weaker (7)48.139.787.9+8.457%-
This opponent (Gornik Walbrzych) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gornik WalbrzychLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dabrowa Gornicza
#14
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A12/10
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A18/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#11
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H25/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A02/11
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#6
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H08/11
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#15
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A29/11
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A08/12
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#8
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H12/12
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A20/12
Energa Basket Liga
78.2Avg total
40.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.980.4+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.376.7+4.053%-
Last 30 away (15)42.741.584.2+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.441.480.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.033.063.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.639.785.3+5.957%-
vs Weaker (21)41.339.280.5+2.152%-
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.4
49.0%
53.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.1
29.8%
35.2%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
73.7%15.4
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gornik Walbrzychtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gornik Walbrzych: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.9
48.1%
53.4%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.0
35.4%
35.2%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.3
66.2%
73.7%13.3
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot
LLLLLLWLWL
Gornik Walbrzych
WWLLLWWWWW
#3
League position
#5
-12.6
Net rating
+3.2
98.9
Offensive rating
107.3
111.5
Defensive rating
104.1
47.5%
Effective FG%
50.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
16.0%
26.5%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.8%
3-point %
35.4%
58.2%
Assist %
63.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 107.3Defence111.5 · 104.1Shooting47.5% · 50.2%3-point %29.8% · 35.4%Ball care17.8% · 16.0%Off. rebounds26.5% · 30.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Trefl Sopot   ■ Gornik Walbrzych
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Trefl Sopot wins
0
Gornik Walbrzych wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/24AZielona Gora72-83
18/12/24AJoventut Badalona89-92
15/12/24HLegia75-109
10/12/24HTrento70-82
07/12/24ALublin121-122 OT
03/12/24AUlm69-83
01/12/24HTorun75-68
28/11/24AGran Canaria58-84
16/11/24HDabrowa Gornicza92-68
12/11/24HHapoel Tel-Aviv64-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ALegia91-81
12/12/24HTorun77-63
08/12/24AAnwil Wloclawek60-91
29/11/24AOstrow Wielkopolski70-80
17/11/24ASpojnia Stargard80-81
08/11/24HCzarni Slupsk66-64
02/11/24ADziki Warszawa92-68
25/10/24HZielona Gora62-56
18/10/24ALublin93-84
12/10/24ADabrowa Gornicza79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL64%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayWWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %64%67%60%
Points / game90.085.795.2
Allowed / game88.585.392.4
Point differential+1.5+0.3+2.8
Avg total178.5171.0187.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Gornik Walbrzych
Energa Basket Liga 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%75%57%
Points / game76.569.280.7
Allowed / game74.966.279.9
Point differential+1.6+3.0+0.9
Avg total151.5135.5160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek1210283%90.479.6+10.8
2 Gornik Walbrzych117464%76.574.9+1.6
3 Trefl Sopot117464%90.088.5+1.5
4 Legia127558%83.881.0+2.8
5 Dziki Warszawa127558%74.872.2+2.6
6 Szczecin116555%83.979.9+4.0
7 Lublin116555%89.989.2+0.7
8 Slask Wroclaw126650%78.779.4-0.8
9 GTK Gliwice126650%86.490.0-3.6
10 Czarni Slupsk115645%79.376.5+2.8
11 Spojnia Stargard115645%78.078.4-0.4
12 Zielona Gora125742%79.883.2-3.4
13 Ostrow Wielkopolski114736%79.583.9-4.5
14 Gdynia114736%83.589.2-5.7
15 Torun113827%79.283.0-3.8
16 Dabrowa Gornicza113827%77.583.0-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot13263031100
Gornik Walbrzych2325221585
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