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Trefl Sopot vs Lancut Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 94-78
29-17 22-33 21-12 22-16
Position#2
Record6-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#16
Record2-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game86.2
PolandEnerga Basket LigaRound 11· Ergo Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Trefl Sopot v Lancut
02 Dec 2023
TSO94
LANC78
04 Dec 2022
TSO83
LANC68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trefl Sopot winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lancut winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Trefl SopotPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSopot
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 77
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
65avg 77
H29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 77
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
96-85
96
85
+11
91avg 77
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
81-90
81
90
-9
77avg 77
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
73-80
73
80
-7
63avg 77
A28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
71-70
71
70
+1
65avg 77
A04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 77
H11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 77
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
92-72
92
72
+20
90avg 77
A23/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
23-21
21-23
19-22
16-20
21-16
18-24
18-22
26-17
25-21
28-24
18-23
18-19
25-23
22-22
31-21
18-18
21-30
24-20
18-22
16-26
19-24
15-15
23-15
25-19
18-13
17-19
11-19
18-12
24-20
18-19
17-18
22-19
18-13
22-19
18-18
9-18
34-21
23-20
26-13
161.6Avg total
82.3Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.379.3161.6+3.060%
Season at home (4)81.881.5163.2+0.250%
Season away (6)82.777.8160.5+4.867%
Last 10 (10)82.379.3161.6+3.060%
Last 5 (5)78.672.0150.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (17)77.381.9159.2-4.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.780.6170.3+9.170%
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutPolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLancut
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
L
79-85
79
85
-6
68avg 70
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
64-88
64
88
-24
55avg 70
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
83-99
83
99
-16
80avg 70
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
no box
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
W
88-74
88
74
+14
84avg 70
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
73-86
73
86
-13
56avg 70
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
76avg 70
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 70
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
69-81
69
81
-12
62avg 70
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
24-25
20-21
10-18
18-25
18-28
14-20
14-15
20-19
23-26
20-31
20-23
16-28
26-16
18-18
21-19
19-19
22-17
19-18
14-20
9-13
21-19
24-26
34-16
12-25
16-18
27-21
18-22
21-17
23-26
19-16
22-21
19-15
20-29
15-23
24-20
21-17
11-26
17-20
20-18
165.4Avg total
79.2Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.286.2165.4-7.020%
Season at home (5)79.683.4163.0-3.840%
Season away (5)78.889.0167.8-10.20%
Last 10 (10)79.286.2165.4-7.020%
Last 5 (5)78.681.6160.2-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)77.782.5160.1-4.836%
vs Similar (8)83.582.8166.2+0.838%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.5+0.5
Trefl SopotLancut
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Trefl SopotLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/09
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H21/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A04/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A17/11
Energa Basket Liga
Gdynia
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A23/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.1Avg total
41.6Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.481.8+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (12)42.341.083.3+1.358%-
Last 30 away (18)40.740.180.8+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.639.581.1+2.170%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.043.090.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (17)39.540.680.1-1.235%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.239.984.1+4.380%-
This opponent (Lancut) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LancutLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Szczecin
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A24/09
Energa Basket Liga
Anwil Wloclawek
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H30/09
Energa Basket Liga
Lublin
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A08/10
Energa Basket Liga
Zielona Gora
#15
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H15/10
Energa Basket Liga
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A19/10
Energa Basket Liga
Czarni Slupsk
#11
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H28/10
Energa Basket Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H05/11
Energa Basket Liga
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H09/11
Energa Basket Liga
Legia
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/11
Energa Basket Liga
Torun
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A24/11
Energa Basket Liga
81.3Avg total
38.4Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.6-1.940%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.238.476.5-0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)39.442.682.0-3.235%-
Last 10 (10)38.442.981.3-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)34.641.075.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.040.779.7-1.645%-
vs Similar (8)38.441.079.4-2.625%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trefl Sopot) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trefl Sopottheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trefl Sopot: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.9
51.7%
53.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
34.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
73.2%13.0
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lancuttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lancut: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.5
52.8%
53.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.64.8
20.1%
34.7%14.2
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.7%
73.2%17.1
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 02 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trefl Sopot
WWWWLLWWLL
Lancut
LLWLWLLLLL
#2
League position
#16
+3.2
Net rating
-9.9
108.2
Offensive rating
99.2
105.0
Defensive rating
109.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
44.7%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
20.1%
66.0%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 99.2Defence105.0 · 109.1Shooting52.0% · 44.7%3-point %34.9% · 20.1%Ball care16.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Trefl Sopot   ■ Lancut
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trefl Sopot wins
1
Lancut wins
DateGameScore
01/04/23Lancut v Trefl Sopot81-74
04/12/22Trefl Sopot v Lancut83-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23AGdynia92-72
17/11/23ATorun80-69
11/11/23HLegia77-69
04/11/23AOstrow Wielkopolski71-70
28/10/23ASpojnia Stargard73-80
21/10/23HCzarni Slupsk81-90
15/10/23HDziki Warszawa96-85
05/10/23AZielona Gora97-85
29/09/23HLublin73-82
24/09/23AAnwil Wloclawek83-91
Lancutlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23ATorun69-81
18/11/23ALegia78-87
09/11/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-80
05/11/23HSpojnia Stargard73-86
28/10/23HCzarni Slupsk88-74
19/10/23ADziki Warszawa85-93 OT
15/10/23HZielona Gora88-89 OT
08/10/23ALublin83-99
30/09/23HAnwil Wloclawek64-88
24/09/23ASzczecin79-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trefl Sopot
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game82.381.882.7
Allowed / game79.381.577.8
Point differential+3.0+0.2+4.8
Avg total161.6163.2160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lancut
Energa Basket Liga 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL20%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game79.279.678.8
Allowed / game86.283.489.0
Point differential-7.0-3.8-10.2
Avg total165.4163.0167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%20%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anwil Wloclawek990100%88.776.8+11.9
2 Legia117464%81.076.5+4.5
3 Lublin117464%89.889.2+0.6
4 Szczecin106460%91.383.0+8.3
5 Spojnia Stargard106460%81.177.5+3.6
6 Trefl Sopot106460%82.379.3+3.0
7 Ostrow Wielkopolski105550%81.177.1+4.0
8 Dabrowa Gornicza105550%97.594.5+3.0
9 Slask Wroclaw105550%75.078.6-3.6
10 Dziki Warszawa115645%79.581.3-1.7
11 Torun115645%79.281.4-2.2
12 Czarni Slupsk94544%78.883.8-5.0
13 GTK Gliwice114736%85.088.0-3.0
14 Gdynia103730%80.888.6-7.8
15 Zielona Gora113827%81.788.8-7.1
16 Lancut102820%79.286.2-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trefl Sopot2922212294
Lancut1733121678
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