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Trelleborg vs AIK Basket Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game80.0
Trelleborg
Sweden
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.0/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
AIK Basket
Sweden
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.6
SwedenSuperettan· Vastervangshallen
Other2026-27
Meetings · Trelleborg v AIK Basket
23 Jan 2027
TREL v AIK
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
TREL106
AIK 91
06 Nov 2022
TREL104
AIK 91
04 Dec 2021
TREL81
AIK 78
19 Dec 2020
TREL v AIK
upcoming
22 Dec 2019
TREL78
AIK 64
10 Mar 2019
TREL107
AIK 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trelleborg win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrelleborgSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrelleborg
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
71-92
71
92
-21
52avg 76
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
106-91
106
91
+15
102avg 76
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
53avg 76
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
86-84
86
84
+2
75avg 76
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
93-67
93
67
+26
91avg 76
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
84-97
84
97
-13
71avg 76
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
no box
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
63-82
63
82
-19
39avg 76
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
70-58
70
58
+12
no box
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
L
78-85
78
85
-7
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-23
13-17
19-28
25-24
30-16
16-24
35-27
28-12
21-19
9-28
19-28
30-30
20-15
20-23
16-16
18-10
19-23
34-19
22-15
20-19
27-30
18-16
19-32
23-24
19-22
20-16
26-18
23-21
5-19
11-22
24-20
22-21
24-17
11-10
13-10
25-19
21-19
13-22
19-25
163.9Avg total
81.6Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.980.0159.9-0.150%
Season at home (4)83.084.0167.0-1.025%
Season away (4)76.876.0152.8+0.875%
Last 10 (10)81.682.3163.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.286.9170.1-3.744%
vs Similar (16)87.684.6172.2+3.150%
vs Weaker (5)78.881.0159.8-2.240%
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
92-71
92
71
+21
88avg 78
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
87-85 OT
87
85
+2
57avg 78
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
91-106
91
106
-15
81avg 78
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
93-62
93
62
+31
77avg 78
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
95avg 78
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
67-90
67
90
-23
54avg 78
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
84-58
84
58
+26
82avg 78
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
82-66
82
66
+16
68avg 78
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
W
73-56
73
56
+17
72avg 78
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
93-61
93
61
+32
no box
H14/11
Superettan
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
23-16
17-13
28-19
16-13
23-17
13-27
17-12
24-25
16-30
24-16
27-35
29-19
15-15
18-9
31-19
25-28
25-26
19-20
32-20
18-19
18-22
15-24
16-25
27-9
24-13
14-20
19-16
31-9
19-16
20-13
12-28
18-14
10-22
26-9
19-11
25-17
31-17
15-12
22-15
161.2Avg total
86.3Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.769.6154.3+15.186%
Season at home (3)86.361.7148.0+24.7100%
Season away (4)83.575.5159.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)86.374.9161.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)79.866.2146.0+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.386.0158.3-13.70%
vs Similar (15)83.981.7165.5+2.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.568.2152.7+16.383%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.3+2.3
TrelleborgAIK Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrelleborgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AIK Basket
#9
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/03
Superettan
AIK Basket
#9
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H11/04
Superettan
Wetterbygden Stars
#5
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H19/09
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A27/09
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H10/10
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H17/10
Superettan
Norrort
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A24/10
Superettan
Sollentuna
#8
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A25/10
Superettan
Ockelbo
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A07/11
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H14/11
Superettan
84.6Avg total
43.9Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.243.187.3+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.340.286.5+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)42.146.088.1-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)43.940.784.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.284.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.342.984.2-1.644%-
vs Similar (16)46.543.590.0+3.062%-
vs Weaker (5)42.242.284.4+0.060%-
This opponent (AIK Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trelleborg
#10
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H29/03
Superettan
Sollentuna
#11
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/04
Superettan
Trelleborg
#10
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A11/04
Superettan
Djurgarden
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A21/09
Superettan
Alvik
#3
L
50-54
50
54
-4
A27/09
Superettan
Fryshuset Basket
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Superettan
Huddinge
#7
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H11/10
Superettan
Malbas
#13
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H24/10
Superettan
Eskilstuna
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A01/11
Superettan
Cross Over
#14
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H14/11
Superettan
81.1Avg total
44.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.379.7+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.734.976.6+6.864%-
Last 30 away (16)41.141.282.3-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.137.081.1+7.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.231.675.8+12.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.043.083.0-3.067%-
vs Similar (15)40.339.880.1+0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.135.278.3+7.867%-
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trelleborgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trelleborg: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.7
50.7%
50.0%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.6
32.2%
29.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws25.016.4
65.6%
65.7%16.4
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.1
51.9%
50.0%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.2
30.3%
29.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.216.9
64.5%
65.7%16.9
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trelleborg
LWLWLWWLWL
AIK Basket
WWWWLWWLWW
#10
League position
#1
+0.3
Net rating
+8.3
92.0
Offensive rating
87.9
91.7
Defensive rating
79.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
43.8%
13.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.2%
3-point %
30.3%
50.5%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.0 · 87.9Defence91.7 · 79.6Shooting49.7% · 48.7%3-point %32.2% · 30.3%Ball care13.4% · 14.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Trelleborg   ■ AIK Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Trelleborg wins
3
AIK Basket wins
DateGameScore
11/04/26Trelleborg v AIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AIK Basket v Trelleborg92-71
06/11/22Trelleborg v AIK Basket104-91
19/02/22AIK Basket v Trelleborg78-85
04/12/21Trelleborg v AIK Basket81-78
23/02/20AIK Basket v Trelleborg20-0
22/12/19Trelleborg v AIK Basket78-64
29/09/19AIK Basket v Trelleborg85-79
10/03/19Trelleborg v AIK Basket107-73
03/03/19AIK Basket v Trelleborg80-87
Trelleborglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HMalbas78-85
07/11/26AOckelbo70-58
25/10/26ASollentuna63-82
24/10/26ANorrort88-80
17/10/26HAlvik84-97
10/10/26HSollentuna93-67
27/09/26AHuddinge86-84
19/09/26HWetterbygden Stars77-87
11/04/26HAIK Basket106-91
29/03/26AAIK Basket71-92
AIK Basketlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCross Over93-61
01/11/26AEskilstuna73-56
24/10/26HMalbas82-66
11/10/26HHuddinge84-58
03/10/26AFryshuset Basket67-90
27/09/26AAlvik101-94
21/09/26ADjurgarden93-62
11/04/26ATrelleborg91-106
01/04/26ASollentuna87-85 OT
29/03/26HTrelleborg92-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trelleborg
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game79.983.076.8
Allowed / game80.084.076.0
Point differential-0.1-1.0+0.8
Avg total159.9167.0152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket
Superettan 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game84.786.383.5
Allowed / game69.661.775.5
Point differential+15.1+24.7+8.0
Avg total154.3148.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AIK Basket76186%84.769.6+15.1
2 Fryshuset Basket119282%90.377.8+12.5
3 Alvik97278%93.375.1+18.2
4 IK Eos85362%88.174.8+13.4
5 Wetterbygden Stars106460%82.879.7+3.1
6 Norrort74357%87.080.3+6.7
7 Huddinge95456%77.280.9-3.7
8 Sollentuna116555%84.380.3+4.0
9 Eskilstuna116555%83.484.2-0.8
10 Trelleborg84450%79.980.0-0.1
11 Djurgarden104640%78.886.0-7.2
12 Ockelbo103730%70.883.3-12.5
13 Malbas111109%71.485.2-13.8
14 Cross Over100100%69.393.7-24.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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