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Trento vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 91-84
33-20 19-22 20-24 19-18
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Cremona
Italy
Position#11
Record-
FormLWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Trento v Cremona
17 Jan 2026
TRE85
CRE94
05 Jan 2025
TRE76
CRE80
30 Sep 2023
TRE91
CRE84
09 Oct 2021
TRE84
CRE68
25 Oct 2020
TRE85
CRE83
17 Nov 2019
TRE79
CRE89
06 Oct 2018
TRE99
CRE104
17 Dec 2017
TRE90
CRE79
09 Oct 2016
TRE90
CRE77
24 Jan 2016
TRE71
CRE78
23 Nov 2014
TRE116
CRE114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 66
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 66
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 66
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 66
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 66
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 66
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 66
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
71avg 66
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
79-76
79
76
+3
74avg 66
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 66
H21/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
24-22
24-16
19-18
11-23
20-26
25-28
24-19
24-23
21-12
8-21
16-14
17-18
22-14
17-18
30-23
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
17-18
17-23
24-25
23-18
10-12
18-27
22-14
29-23
27-19
12-25
20-26
22-12
160.1Avg total
79.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.580.6160.1-1.140%
Last 5 (5)77.883.0160.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.985.5160.4-10.59%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.378.6157.9+0.753%
vs Weaker (3)76.774.3151.0+2.333%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
no box
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
no box
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
87-75
87
75
+12
no box
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
no box
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
69-49
69
49
+20
no box
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
no box
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
no box
A16/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H19/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
15-21
20-7
26-25
21-25
16-13
27-14
15-11
20-23
14-15
23-21
27-25
20-23
21-19
21-15
21-17
18-16
27-20
20-23
22-16
17-17
26-19
14-26
23-18
19-14
17-12
16-8
17-15
12-24
30-20
18-11
17-17
17-12
14-23
24-12
14-17
23-9
29-18
23-23
14-24
154.7Avg total
82.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.572.2154.7+10.390%
Last 5 (5)79.270.4149.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.073.2147.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (20)80.772.2152.9+8.580%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.1+1.1
TrentoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A16/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H19/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
78.5Avg total
37.7Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.578.9-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.239.678.8-0.356%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.678.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.878.5-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.679.4-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.643.683.3-4.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.539.476.9-1.947%-
vs Weaker (3)38.735.374.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H19/06
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
39.8Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.775.1+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.778.3+5.067%-
Last 30 away (15)37.134.771.9+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.775.5+4.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.674.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.836.474.2+1.440%-
vs Weaker (20)40.235.475.6+4.970%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.1
52.2%
53.1%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.77.7
39.1%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws16.612.9
77.7%
76.3%12.9
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
53.1%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
35.7%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
76.3%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
LWLLLWWLLW
Cremona
WWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#11
-1.0
Net rating
-14.2
109.5
Offensive rating
98.5
110.5
Defensive rating
112.7
54.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
39.1%
3-point %
33.6%
54.2%
Assist %
54.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 98.5Defence110.5 · 112.7Shooting54.3% · 47.7%3-point %39.1% · 33.6%Ball care17.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds25.2% · 25.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 90%
■ Trento   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
08/05/22Cremona v Trento112-105 OT
09/10/21Trento v Cremona84-68
28/02/21Cremona v Trento95-87
25/10/20Trento v Cremona85-83 OT
17/11/19Trento v Cremona79-89
20/01/19Cremona v Trento84-89
06/10/18Trento v Cremona99-104 OT
15/04/18Cremona v Trento89-96
17/12/17Trento v Cremona90-79
29/01/17Cremona v Trento59-78
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/05/23HTortona81-82
19/05/23HTortona79-76
16/05/23ATortona81-84
14/05/23ATortona78-79
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
23/04/23ABrindisi86-73
18/04/23HVerona69-70
16/04/23AVirtus Bologna80-96
08/04/23HTrieste85-68
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/23HForli89-74
16/06/23AForli69-64
14/06/23AForli77-72
04/06/23AFortitudo Bologna69-49
02/06/23AFortitudo Bologna92-93 OT
30/05/23HFortitudo Bologna87-75
28/05/23HFortitudo Bologna83-74
19/05/23AAgrigento97-91 OT
15/05/23HAgrigento79-63
13/05/23HAgrigento83-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Cremona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento3319201991
Cremona2022241884
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