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Trento vs Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-94
23-29 26-19 23-19 13-27
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Cremona 🏆
Italy
Position#12
Record6-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game83.8
ItalyLega ARound 16
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trento v Cremona
17 Jan 2026
TRE85
CRE94
05 Jan 2025
TRE76
CRE80
30 Sep 2023
TRE91
CRE84
09 Oct 2021
TRE84
CRE68
25 Oct 2020
TRE85
CRE83
17 Nov 2019
TRE79
CRE89
06 Oct 2018
TRE99
CRE104
17 Dec 2017
TRE90
CRE79
09 Oct 2016
TRE90
CRE77
24 Jan 2016
TRE71
CRE78
23 Nov 2014
TRE116
CRE114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 74
A09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
87avg 74
H13/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
76avg 74
H16/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 74
A21/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
H27/12
Lega A
London Lions
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 74
H30/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
W
89-87
89
87
+2
82avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#4
L
86-92
86
92
-6
80avg 74
A07/01
Eurocup
Trapani
#3
W
26-11
26
11
+15
30avg 74
A10/01
Lega A
Panionios
#19
W
88-87
88
87
+1
81avg 74
H13/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
27-12
15-22
30-16
20-17
17-33
33-17
26-23
16-17
26-19
12-21
26-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
18-16
15-21
16-24
20-13
24-24
13-18
24-20
26-18
22-17
20-27
16-25
30-29
23-6
24-27
19-20
16-22
27-23
26-11
–
–
–
25-15
26-22
13-32
24-18
155.7Avg total
79.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.878.3159.1+2.547%
Season at home (8)88.683.2171.9+5.462%
Season away (7)71.972.7144.6-0.929%
Last 10 (10)79.576.2155.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)74.870.0144.8+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.189.2171.3-7.133%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.778.0155.7-0.345%
vs Weaker (9)87.980.1168.0+7.878%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 74
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
83avg 74
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
113-94
113
94
+19
110avg 74
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
79-87
79
87
-8
68avg 74
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
76-102
76
102
-26
70avg 74
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
71-76
71
76
-5
64avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
57avg 74
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
71-67
71
67
+4
59avg 74
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
28-20
24-22
23-17
28-22
20-28
23-26
19-20
27-22
23-24
35-23
28-25
21-23
19-14
14-22
18-24
17-22
22-17
24-18
16-30
17-20
18-34
22-21
19-27
20-22
16-23
14-19
21-12
12-27
19-16
19-29
24-19
18-22
19-14
15-11
19-20
19-17
18-22
19-16
19-27
167.4Avg total
81.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.183.8165.9-1.740%
Season at home (7)85.980.1166.0+5.771%
Season away (8)78.987.0165.9-8.112%
Last 10 (10)81.386.1167.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)73.483.6157.0-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)77.487.2164.7-9.819%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.186.0174.1+2.162%
vs Weaker (1)89.065.0154.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +6.0+6.0Q4: -1.5-1.5
TrentoCremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H13/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/12
Lega A
London Lions
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/12
Eurocup
Trieste
#10
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H04/01
Lega A
Turk Telekom
#4
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A07/01
Eurocup
Panionios
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H13/01
Eurocup
82.2Avg total
39.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.643.083.7-2.438%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.440.980.3-1.644%-
Last 30 away (13)42.245.687.8-3.531%-
Last 10 (9)39.842.482.2-2.733%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.883.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.945.488.3-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.844.582.3-6.720%-
vs Weaker (9)41.040.281.2+0.856%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/11
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A09/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H15/11
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/11
Lega A
Varese
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A14/12
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A29/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/01
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A11/01
Lega A
83.1Avg total
39.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.682.3-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.478.1-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)39.843.383.1-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.243.478.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)39.241.981.1-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)42.041.883.8+0.246%-
vs Weaker (1)48.034.082.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.7
54.0%
54.1%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.3
32.0%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.119.3
83.5%
76.1%19.3
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.2
52.5%
54.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.29.4
29.2%
34.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws19.815.1
76.3%
76.1%15.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WWLWWLLWWW
Cremona
LWLLLLLWLW
#9
League position
#12
+4.1
Net rating
-5.4
109.5
Offensive rating
104.7
105.4
Defensive rating
110.1
51.4%
Effective FG%
48.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.0%
3-point %
29.2%
48.8%
Assist %
57.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 104.7Defence105.4 · 110.1Shooting51.4% · 48.4%3-point %32.0% · 29.2%Ball care16.6% · 15.6%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Trento   ■ Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trento wins
6
Cremona wins
DateGameScore
06/11/25Cremona v Trento92-83
13/04/25Cremona v Trento86-89
05/01/25Trento v Cremona76-80
13/01/24Cremona v Trento99-80
30/09/23Trento v Cremona91-84
08/05/22Cremona v Trento112-105 OT
09/10/21Trento v Cremona84-68
28/02/21Cremona v Trento95-87
25/10/20Trento v Cremona85-83 OT
17/11/19Trento v Cremona79-89
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/26HPanionios88-87
10/01/26ATrapani26-11
07/01/26ATurk Telekom86-92
04/01/26HTrieste89-87
30/12/25HLondon Lions85-73
27/12/25HUdine75-82
21/12/25AReggiana68-77
16/12/25HBuducnost91-90 OT
13/12/25HVenezia96-90
09/12/25AJL Bourg91-73
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AUdine75-82
04/01/26HReggiana71-67
29/12/25AOlimpia Milano74-91
21/12/25HTortona71-76
14/12/25ABasket Napoli76-102
08/12/25HVarese79-87
21/11/25ABrescia72-83
15/11/25HTrieste113-94
09/11/25ATrapani90-96
06/11/25HTrento92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW47%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game80.888.671.9
Allowed / game78.383.272.7
Point differential+2.5+5.4-0.9
Avg total159.1171.9144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cremona
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL40%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game82.185.978.9
Allowed / game83.880.187.0
Point differential-1.7+5.7-8.1
Avg total165.9166.0165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1513287%81.172.5+8.7
2 Brescia1512380%90.183.7+6.3
3 Olimpia Milano1612475%86.177.4+8.8
4 Venezia1510567%92.186.4+5.7
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona1610662%87.987.4+0.6
7 Trento157847%80.878.3+2.5
8 Trieste157847%84.088.3-4.3
9 Udine156940%80.680.9-0.3
10 Basket Napoli156940%85.586.2-0.7
11 Cremona156940%82.183.8-1.7
12 Sassari156940%85.588.4-2.9
13 Varese156940%82.386.3-4.0
14 Reggiana1541127%79.782.7-3.0
15 Cantu1531220%82.891.2-8.4
16 Treviso1531220%82.791.5-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2326231385
Cremona2919192794
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