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Tortona vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 16 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-81
18-17 23-17 25-24 18-23
Position#3
Record19-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.9
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record15-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.9
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Trento
14 Feb 2027
TOR v TRE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
TOR103
TRE84
29 Dec 2024
TOR91
TRE77
26 Nov 2023
TOR83
TRE80
16 May 2023
TOR84
TRE81
14 May 2023
TOR79
TRE78
16 Feb 2023
TOR74
TRE70
02 Oct 2022
TOR76
TRE70
12 Feb 2022
TOR76
TRE50
08 Sep 2021
TOR81
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 72
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 72
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 72
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 72
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
60avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 72
H30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A07/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 72
H14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
16-20
27-23
14-8
20-19
20-20
16-27
16-18
22-17
17-22
25-13
17-25
25-25
22-24
16-21
17-19
20-24
19-20
17-14
15-13
21-12
22-19
21-19
10-18
24-16
9-19
20-27
16-20
24-25
22-17
11-17
18-18
14-20
21-30
24-13
19-19
19-18
24-27
19-12
17-21
156.0Avg total
76.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)80.277.9158.1+2.361%
Season at home (16)80.476.8157.2+3.775%
Season away (15)79.979.1159.1+0.847%
Last 10 (10)76.080.0156.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)75.077.4152.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.483.6160.0-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.579.7160.3+0.860%
vs Weaker (9)82.376.6158.9+5.867%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
72-61
72
61
+11
64avg 66
H29/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
75avg 66
A02/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 66
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 66
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 66
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 66
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 66
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 66
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
74avg 66
A14/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
18-24
22-17
20-26
19-9
10-18
20-17
23-17
20-16
24-17
20-19
20-18
18-12
24-22
24-16
19-18
11-23
20-26
25-28
24-19
24-23
21-12
8-21
16-14
17-18
22-14
17-18
30-23
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
18-19
27-24
12-19
21-17
157.1Avg total
78.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.377.9154.2-1.548%
Season at home (15)75.976.2152.1-0.353%
Season away (16)76.779.4156.1-2.844%
Last 10 (10)78.978.2157.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)77.880.0157.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.985.5160.4-10.59%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.177.7155.9+0.457%
vs Weaker (4)74.574.2148.8+0.225%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: +3.2+3.2
TortonaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H14/05
Lega A
81.5Avg total
39.9Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.840.881.6+0.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.081.3+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.581.9-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.681.5-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.680.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.141.383.4+0.733%-
vs Weaker (9)39.739.779.3+0.044%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H29/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
Tortona
#3
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/05
Lega A
77.4Avg total
38.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.179.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.178.3+0.260%-
Last 30 away (15)38.541.179.7-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.877.4-0.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.280.8+0.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.643.683.3-4.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.638.276.8+0.457%-
vs Weaker (4)38.837.576.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.9
53.6%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.57.9
28.7%
36.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
76.1%12.1
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.8
50.0%
51.3%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.5
41.9%
36.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
76.1%10.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
WLLLWLLWLW
Trento
LLWWLLWWWL
#3
League position
#7
-2.3
Net rating
+2.3
102.6
Offensive rating
109.6
104.9
Defensive rating
107.3
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
28.7%
3-point %
41.9%
54.0%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.6 · 109.6Defence104.9 · 107.3Shooting49.1% · 54.2%3-point %28.7% · 41.9%Ball care15.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.6% · 27.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Tortona wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Tortona v Trento79-78
18/03/23Trento v Tortona73-75
16/02/23Tortona v Trento74-70
02/10/22Tortona v Trento76-70
12/02/22Tortona v Trento76-50
12/12/21Trento v Tortona85-80 OT
14/09/21Trento v Tortona64-75
08/09/21Tortona v Trento81-72
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HTrento79-78
07/05/23APesaro78-82
30/04/23HOlimpia Milano75-77
23/04/23ABasket Napoli69-82
19/04/23HReggiana74-68
16/04/23HBrescia77-90 OT
08/04/23AVenezia80-89
02/04/23HBrindisi81-77
26/03/23ASassari72-84
18/03/23ATrento75-73
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23ATortona78-79
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
23/04/23ABrindisi86-73
18/04/23HVerona69-70
16/04/23AVirtus Bologna80-96
08/04/23HTrieste85-68
02/04/23APesaro84-70
29/03/23HSlask Wroclaw72-61
26/03/23HBasket Napoli79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW61%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game80.280.479.9
Allowed / game77.976.879.1
Point differential+2.3+3.7+0.8
Avg total158.1157.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)62% (8)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayWLWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game76.375.976.7
Allowed / game77.976.279.4
Point differential-1.5-0.3-2.8
Avg total154.2152.1156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)60% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3225778%83.272.4+10.8
2 Virtus Bologna3225778%86.178.0+8.1
3 Tortona31191261%80.277.9+2.3
4 Varese30171357%90.990.7+0.1
5 Sassari32181456%84.179.7+4.4
6 Venezia32181456%82.780.1+2.7
7 Trento31151648%76.377.9-1.5
8 Brindisi32151747%83.083.1-0.1
9 Brescia30141647%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro32141844%83.087.3-4.3
11 Scafati30121840%79.380.5-1.2
12 Basket Napoli30121840%79.383.8-4.5
13 Treviso30121840%81.187.0-5.9
14 Reggiana30111937%76.277.1-0.8
15 Trieste30111937%78.284.0-5.8
16 Verona3092130%78.485.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1823251884
Trento1717242381
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