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Tortona vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-78
19-18 24-27 19-12 17-21
Position#3
Record18-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game77.9
Tortona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record15-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game77.8
ItalyLega ALega A - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Tortona v Trento
14 Feb 2027
TOR v TRE
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
TOR103
TRE84
29 Dec 2024
TOR91
TRE77
26 Nov 2023
TOR83
TRE80
16 May 2023
TOR84
TRE81
14 May 2023
TOR79
TRE78
16 Feb 2023
TOR74
TRE70
02 Oct 2022
TOR76
TRE70
12 Feb 2022
TOR76
TRE50
08 Sep 2021
TOR81
TRE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tortona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
73-69
73
69
+4
67avg 72
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
75-73
75
73
+2
66avg 72
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
72-84
72
84
-12
66avg 72
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
81-77
81
77
+4
75avg 72
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
70avg 72
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
no box
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
67avg 72
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
69-82
69
82
-13
60avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 72
H30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
no box
A07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
21-18
18-13
10-21
18-22
16-20
27-23
14-8
20-19
20-20
16-27
16-18
22-17
17-22
25-13
17-25
25-25
22-24
16-21
17-19
20-24
19-20
17-14
15-13
21-12
22-19
21-19
10-18
24-16
9-19
20-27
16-20
24-25
22-17
11-17
18-18
14-20
21-30
24-13
19-19
154.5Avg total
75.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.277.9158.1+2.360%
Season at home (15)80.576.7157.2+3.973%
Season away (15)79.979.1159.1+0.847%
Last 10 (10)75.479.1154.5-3.740%
Last 5 (5)74.679.8154.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.483.6160.0-7.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.679.9160.5+0.857%
vs Weaker (10)82.276.2158.4+6.070%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
L
87-89
87
89
-2
82avg 66
A21/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
72-61
72
61
+11
64avg 66
H29/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
84-70
84
70
+14
75avg 66
A02/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
85-68
85
68
+17
79avg 66
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
80-96
80
96
-16
74avg 66
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
65avg 66
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
79avg 66
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 66
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
70-94
70
94
-24
54avg 66
A07/05
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
19-22
19-28
23-17
19-20
18-24
22-17
20-26
19-9
10-18
20-17
23-17
20-16
24-17
20-19
20-18
18-12
24-22
24-16
19-18
11-23
20-26
25-28
24-19
24-23
21-12
8-21
16-14
17-18
22-14
17-18
30-23
12-22
29-18
20-22
25-22
19-29
14-22
16-30
21-13
159.0Avg total
79.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.377.8154.1-1.650%
Season at home (15)75.976.2152.1-0.353%
Season away (15)76.679.5156.1-2.947%
Last 10 (10)79.879.2159.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)78.283.4161.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.985.5160.4-10.59%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.677.8154.4-1.157%
vs Weaker (4)74.574.2148.8+0.225%
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
TortonaTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/03
Lega A
Trento
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A26/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A08/04
Lega A
Brescia
#8
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H16/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H19/04
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A23/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H30/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A07/05
Lega A
80.7Avg total
40.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.281.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.637.980.5+4.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.342.581.9-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.680.7-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.842.081.8-2.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.041.183.1+0.936%-
vs Weaker (10)40.438.679.0+1.850%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#16
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A21/03
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#12
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H26/03
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H29/03
Eurocup
Pesaro
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A02/04
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H08/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A16/04
Lega A
Verona
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H18/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#9
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H30/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A07/05
Lega A
77.5Avg total
38.6Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.340.278.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.178.3+0.260%-
Last 30 away (15)37.441.478.8-4.027%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.977.5-0.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.841.479.2-3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.643.683.3-4.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.438.575.9-1.150%-
vs Weaker (4)38.837.576.2+1.250%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.0
54.3%
51.3%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.2
29.6%
36.4%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
76.1%11.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.9
51.2%
51.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.8
43.3%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws14.210.3
72.5%
76.1%10.3
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tortona
LLLWLLWLWW
Trento
LWWLLWWWLL
#3
League position
#7
-3.1
Net rating
+2.1
103.7
Offensive rating
111.2
106.8
Defensive rating
109.1
50.1%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.7%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.6%
3-point %
43.3%
55.3%
Assist %
54.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 111.2Defence106.8 · 109.1Shooting50.1% · 55.8%3-point %29.6% · 43.3%Ball care15.7% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 26.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Tortona   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Tortona wins
1
Trento wins
DateGameScore
18/03/23Trento v Tortona73-75
16/02/23Tortona v Trento74-70
02/10/22Tortona v Trento76-70
12/02/22Tortona v Trento76-50
12/12/21Trento v Tortona85-80 OT
14/09/21Trento v Tortona64-75
08/09/21Tortona v Trento81-72
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23APesaro78-82
30/04/23HOlimpia Milano75-77
23/04/23ABasket Napoli69-82
19/04/23HReggiana74-68
16/04/23HBrescia77-90 OT
08/04/23AVenezia80-89
02/04/23HBrindisi81-77
26/03/23ASassari72-84
18/03/23ATrento75-73
12/03/23HVerona73-69
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23AReggiana70-94
30/04/23HVenezia86-84
23/04/23ABrindisi86-73
18/04/23HVerona69-70
16/04/23AVirtus Bologna80-96
08/04/23HTrieste85-68
02/04/23APesaro84-70
29/03/23HSlask Wroclaw72-61
26/03/23HBasket Napoli79-87
21/03/23AHamburg87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tortona
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL60%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%73%47%
Points / game80.280.579.9
Allowed / game77.976.779.1
Point differential+2.3+3.9+0.8
Avg total158.1157.2159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)57% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Trento
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeLLWLW53%
AwayLWLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game76.375.976.6
Allowed / game77.876.279.5
Point differential-1.6-0.3-2.9
Avg total154.1152.1156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%13%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)60% (5)80% (5)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano3124777%83.172.9+10.2
2 Virtus Bologna3124777%85.477.5+7.9
3 Tortona30181260%80.277.9+2.3
4 Venezia31181358%83.680.0+3.6
5 Varese30171357%90.990.7+0.1
6 Sassari31171455%84.280.5+3.7
7 Trento30151550%76.377.8-1.6
8 Brindisi31151648%82.682.3+0.4
9 Brescia30141647%82.580.9+1.6
10 Pesaro31141745%83.887.3-3.5
11 Scafati30121840%79.380.5-1.2
12 Basket Napoli30121840%79.383.8-4.5
13 Treviso30121840%81.187.0-5.9
14 Reggiana30111937%76.277.1-0.8
15 Trieste30111937%78.284.0-5.8
16 Verona3092130%78.485.7-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tortona1924191779
Trento1827122178
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