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Treviglio vs Agrigento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 92-72
23-21 21-11 23-19 25-21
Position#16
Record8-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.4
vs
Position#19
Record5-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game79.0
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v Agrigento
23 Dec 2023
TREV92
AGRI72
26 Feb 2023
TREV86
AGRI82
17 Feb 2019
TREV94
AGRI68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Agrigento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 79
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 79
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 79
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
100-96
100
96
+4
104avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-90
92
90
+2
81avg 79
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 79
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 79
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 79
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 79
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 79
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
23-20
22-25
37-22
18-29
25-28
19-25
24-20
24-17
23-24
23-23
17-9
24-13
22-31
21-11
23-21
13-18
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
165.0Avg total
83.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)82.882.4165.2+0.453%
Season at home (8)83.983.6167.5+0.250%
Season away (7)81.681.0162.6+0.657%
Last 10 (10)83.681.4165.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.676.8153.4-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.486.6167.0-6.240%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.477.7160.1+4.657%
vs Weaker (11)81.172.9154.0+8.264%
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AgrigentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAgrigento
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
70-62
70
62
+8
70avg 68
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
72-105
72
105
-33
67avg 68
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
96-78
96
78
+18
100avg 68
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 68
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
82-101
82
101
-19
72avg 68
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
88-77
88
77
+11
81avg 68
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
84-85
84
85
-1
72avg 68
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
63-65
63
65
-2
56avg 68
H06/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
77-88
77
88
-11
61avg 68
A10/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
83-66
83
66
+17
73avg 68
H17/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
18-13
12-20
20-16
19-28
20-29
17-24
16-24
34-21
17-24
22-19
23-14
18-18
28-20
10-22
15-25
20-33
16-17
26-17
20-34
21-26
15-8
28-21
24-22
19-16
14-26
18-16
33-27
13-14
18-12
16-22
16-17
19-20
13-16
25-22
20-30
25-18
17-15
17-20
24-13
159.8Avg total
78.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)76.179.0155.1-2.933%
Season at home (8)75.872.0147.8+3.850%
Season away (7)76.487.0163.4-10.614%
Last 10 (10)78.681.2159.8-2.640%
Last 5 (5)79.076.2155.2+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)77.184.3161.4-7.218%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.678.5159.1+2.161%
vs Weaker (1)63.076.0139.0-13.00%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
TreviglioAgrigento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H12/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A19/11
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
84.7Avg total
41.3Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.981.8+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.840.982.7+0.844%-
Last 30 away (14)41.938.880.7+3.171%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.484.7-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.842.683.4-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.240.482.6+1.857%-
vs Weaker (11)41.838.179.9+3.755%-
This opponent (Agrigento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AgrigentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H29/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A01/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H05/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A12/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A19/11
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H26/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A03/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H06/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A10/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H17/12
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
38.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.538.678.1+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.537.177.6+3.373%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.178.6-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.777.1-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)34.834.269.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.841.278.0-4.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.737.479.2+4.383%-
vs Weaker (1)28.032.060.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.3
54.6%
50.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.6
37.1%
34.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.4
78.3%
74.2%14.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Agrigentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Agrigento: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.5
50.5%
50.3%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.2
33.7%
34.1%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.516.2
75.3%
74.2%16.2
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LLLLWWWLWW
Agrigento
WLLLWLLWLW
#16
League position
#19
+3.7
Net rating
-3.2
109.0
Offensive rating
104.4
105.3
Defensive rating
107.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.2%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.1%
3-point %
33.7%
70.6%
Assist %
57.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 104.4Defence105.3 · 107.6Shooting55.1% · 50.6%3-point %37.1% · 33.7%Ball care16.5% · 19.2%Off. rebounds20.7% · 29.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Treviglio   ■ Agrigento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Treviglio wins
1
Agrigento wins
DateGameScore
22/10/23Agrigento v Treviglio69-76
26/02/23Treviglio v Agrigento86-82
04/12/22Agrigento v Treviglio67-54
17/02/19Treviglio v Agrigento94-68
11/11/18Agrigento v Treviglio83-91
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
06/12/23HCantu69-75
01/12/23AUrania Milano79-81
26/11/23HLuiss Roma87-69
19/11/23ALatina92-90
12/11/23HJuVi Cremona100-96
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
Agrigentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HMonferrato83-66
10/12/23ABasket Torino77-88
06/12/23HUrania Milano63-65
03/12/23ASebastiani Rieti84-85
26/11/23HLatina88-77
19/11/23AJuVi Cremona82-101
12/11/23AVigevano71-85
05/11/23HCantu96-78
01/11/23ATrapani72-105
29/10/23HLuiss Roma70-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL53%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWWWLL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %53%50%57%
Points / game82.883.981.6
Allowed / game82.483.681.0
Point differential+0.4+0.2+0.6
Avg total165.2167.5162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%12%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
Agrigento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWWWLW50%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game76.175.876.4
Allowed / game79.072.087.0
Point differential-2.9+3.8-10.6
Avg total155.1147.8163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani1514193%92.977.9+15.0
2 Cantu1512380%89.982.0+7.9
3 Forli1512380%80.975.4+5.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna1512380%78.673.2+5.4
5 Trieste1411379%79.673.7+5.9
6 Udine1612475%81.168.6+12.5
7 Basket Torino1612475%85.881.1+4.7
8 Verona1611569%77.273.5+3.7
9 Urania Milano1610662%83.583.5+0.0
10 Sebastiani Rieti159660%82.979.6+3.3
11 Assigeco Piacenza169756%79.875.8+4.0
12 JuVi Cremona158753%87.885.1+2.7
13 Treviglio158753%82.882.4+0.4
14 Nardo167944%77.984.1-6.1
15 Agrigento1551033%76.179.0-2.9
16 Cento1551033%73.378.8-5.5
17 Rimini1541127%76.078.9-2.9
18 Monferrato1541127%79.483.2-3.8
19 Vigevano1541127%77.584.4-6.9
20 Cividale1641225%71.976.9-5.0
21 Luiss Roma1641225%78.688.2-9.6
22 Orzinuovi1631319%71.377.8-6.4
23 Chiusi1421214%63.074.5-11.5
24 Latina1621412%77.287.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio2321232592
Agrigento2111192172
← all games of the day
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