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Treviglio vs JuVi Cremona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-96
23-20 22-25 37-22 18-29
Position#16
Record5-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#17
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game80.9
ItalySerie A2Round 9· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v JuVi Cremona
12 Nov 2023
TREV100
JUVI96
12 Feb 2023
TREV81
JUVI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
JuVi Cremona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
no box
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
no box
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
90-89
90
89
+1
90avg 80
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
89-88
89
88
+1
90avg 80
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
63-84
63
84
-21
48avg 80
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
76-69
76
69
+7
70avg 80
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
88-79
88
79
+9
96avg 80
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-69
95
69
+26
89avg 80
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
76avg 80
H05/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
20-18
20-19
21-16
21-20
23-17
19-24
24-27
20-29
23-25
19-16
22-14
23-23
25-17
22-24
20-25
30-20
17-20
26-29
16-19
20-28
20-20
13-14
10-22
18-18
19-18
13-14
26-19
16-15
24-22
17-20
31-22
21-11
28-24
18-16
28-18
23-28
16-27
26-19
13-22
167.9Avg total
83.9Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.483.2166.6+0.162%
Season at home (4)85.888.8174.5-3.050%
Season away (4)81.077.8158.8+3.275%
Last 10 (10)83.984.0167.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)80.079.4159.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)85.791.0176.7-5.367%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.677.0159.6+5.667%
vs Weaker (15)79.574.1153.6+5.560%
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCremona
Date
Competition
Mantova
#17
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
H14/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A21/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
87-90
87
90
-3
88avg 83
H30/09
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-89
91
89
+2
84avg 83
A07/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
101-77
101
77
+24
102avg 83
H11/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
66avg 83
A15/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
99-76
99
76
+23
95avg 83
H23/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
67avg 83
A29/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
74-66
74
66
+8
68avg 83
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 83
H06/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
21-7
14-13
18-21
17-31
14-26
21-20
15-15
27-25
19-21
25-23
16-21
28-24
17-17
19-27
27-21
24-21
29-24
22-16
26-16
19-22
20-23
20-20
16-17
32-10
26-28
23-20
18-18
27-20
15-27
13-17
21-21
16-17
20-15
9-14
29-20
20-27
25-18
18-21
32-16
163.4Avg total
83.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.280.9168.1+6.462%
Season at home (4)95.581.2176.8+14.275%
Season away (4)79.080.5159.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)83.579.9163.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)83.878.2162.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.686.0159.6-12.40%
vs Similar ◀ (19)80.875.9156.8+4.968%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
TreviglioJuVi Cremona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/06
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H01/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A15/10
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A22/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H29/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
49-35
49
35
+14
A01/11
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H05/11
Serie A2
85.1Avg total
42.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.280.8+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.740.583.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.537.978.4+2.560%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.685.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.745.089.7-0.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.239.882.0+2.567%-
vs Weaker (15)40.537.678.1+2.953%-
This opponent (JuVi Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JuVi CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mantova
#17
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H14/05
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A21/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/09
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A07/10
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H11/10
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A15/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H23/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A29/10
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H06/11
Serie A2
85.5Avg total
43.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.080.0-2.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.139.179.1+1.050%-
Last 30 away (16)37.942.880.7-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.285.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.485.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.545.281.6-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.438.679.0+1.758%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviglio) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.1 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.6
49.5%
50.3%39.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.3
37.5%
34.1%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.2%
74.2%11.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
JuVi Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

JuVi Cremona: 86.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.520.9
55.7%
50.3%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.4%
34.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.917.5
83.8%
74.2%17.5
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LWWWLWWLLL
JuVi Cremona
WWLWLWWLLW
#16
League position
#17
+0.9
Net rating
+8.4
105.1
Offensive rating
113.5
104.2
Defensive rating
105.1
52.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
19.2%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.5%
3-point %
36.4%
68.4%
Assist %
55.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 113.5Defence104.2 · 105.1Shooting52.2% · 55.2%3-point %37.5% · 36.4%Ball care16.0% · 19.2%Off. rebounds22.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Treviglio   ■ JuVi Cremona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Treviglio wins
0
JuVi Cremona wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23Treviglio v JuVi Cremona81-78
20/11/22JuVi Cremona v Treviglio66-78
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HTrapani78-96
01/11/23AVigevano95-69
29/10/23HMonferrato88-79
22/10/23AAgrigento76-69
15/10/23ABasket Torino63-84
11/10/23HSebastiani Rieti89-88
07/10/23ACantu90-89
01/10/23HUrania Milano88-92 OT
03/06/23ABasket Torino87-88
01/06/23ABasket Torino85-86 OT
JuVi Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23HUrania Milano95-82
01/11/23AMonferrato74-66
29/10/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
23/10/23HVigevano99-76
15/10/23ATrapani75-82
11/10/23HLuiss Roma101-77
07/10/23ALatina91-89
30/09/23HCantu87-90
21/05/23ASan Severo67-92
14/05/23HMantova70-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game83.485.881.0
Allowed / game83.288.877.8
Point differential+0.1-3.0+3.2
Avg total166.6174.5158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
JuVi Cremona
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game87.295.579.0
Allowed / game80.981.280.5
Point differential+6.4+14.2-1.5
Avg total168.1176.8159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna770100%84.471.6+12.9
2 Trapani98189%91.980.9+11.0
3 Cantu86275%91.883.1+8.6
4 Udine86275%80.172.0+8.1
5 Forli86275%81.074.0+7.0
6 Verona86275%76.471.2+5.1
7 Basket Torino96367%86.282.0+4.2
8 Sebastiani Rieti85362%86.178.8+7.4
9 JuVi Cremona85362%87.280.9+6.4
10 Treviglio85362%83.483.2+0.1
11 Trieste85362%77.477.4+0.0
12 Urania Milano95456%87.686.2+1.3
13 Nardo84450%81.487.8-6.4
14 Assigeco Piacenza83538%83.081.8+1.2
15 Cividale83538%76.076.9-0.9
16 Agrigento83538%74.177.2-3.1
17 Cento83538%77.181.4-4.2
18 Rimini82625%74.477.1-2.8
19 Monferrato82625%82.086.0-4.0
20 Vigevano82625%79.587.1-7.6
21 Orzinuovi92722%73.379.3-6.0
22 Luiss Roma92722%75.087.2-12.2
23 Chiusi81712%60.672.4-11.8
24 Latina81712%76.989.5-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Treviglio23223718100
JuVi Cremona2025222996
← all games of the day
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