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Treviglio vs Latina Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-76 (OT)
22-19 15-19 18-25 17-9 12-4
Position#16
Record10-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#23
Record3-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game88.8
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaFacchetti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Treviglio v Latina
28 Jan 2024
TREV84
LATI76
16 Oct 2022
TREV72
LATI68
16 Dec 2018
TREV102
LATI84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviglio winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TreviglioItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviglio
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
W
87-69
87
69
+18
92avg 78
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 78
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 78
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
76-85
76
85
-9
66avg 78
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
62avg 78
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
92-72
92
72
+20
98avg 78
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
86-67
86
67
+19
84avg 78
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
68-90
68
90
-22
58avg 78
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
69-93
69
93
-24
62avg 78
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
77avg 78
A20/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
23-23
17-9
24-13
22-31
21-11
23-21
13-18
12-25
21-18
18-16
18-16
17-23
20-12
15-30
24-20
17-19
20-23
18-12
17-20
23-21
21-11
23-19
25-21
27-11
26-22
21-20
12-14
13-26
15-21
24-18
16-25
17-18
16-24
21-26
15-25
32-20
11-18
21-32
16-17
157.1Avg total
77.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.882.2164.1-0.450%
Season at home (10)83.183.1166.2+0.050%
Season away (10)80.681.4162.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)77.879.3157.1-1.530%
Last 5 (5)79.081.8160.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.587.7166.2-9.233%
vs Similar (14)82.378.9161.1+3.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.775.4156.1+5.360%
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatina
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
77-88
77
88
-11
59avg 70
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
H02/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
76-90
76
90
-14
66avg 70
A06/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
65avg 70
A10/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
71-84
71
84
-13
56avg 70
H16/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
69-80
69
80
-11
66avg 70
H23/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
68-99
68
99
-31
58avg 70
A30/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
88-94
88
94
-6
85avg 70
H06/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
95-87
95
87
+8
95avg 70
A14/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
94-103
94
103
-9
87avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
8-15
21-28
22-24
29-18
11-20
16-18
14-14
20-18
19-29
13-19
24-24
16-18
21-29
18-25
17-18
15-27
28-20
16-18
12-19
22-10
13-24
13-23
21-23
21-27
10-18
18-29
19-25
26-28
18-17
18-24
26-25
28-26
23-24
22-18
22-19
19-24
19-29
26-22
30-28
168.7Avg total
78.9Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.088.8167.8-9.815%
Season at home (10)79.790.3170.0-10.60%
Season away (10)78.387.4165.7-9.130%
Last 10 (10)78.989.8168.7-10.910%
Last 5 (5)82.892.6175.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.889.6164.5-14.80%
vs Similar (17)79.981.1161.1-1.241%
vs Weaker (2)71.569.5141.0+2.050%
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -5.5-5.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -4.3-4.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
TreviglioLatina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TreviglioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luiss Roma
#22
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H26/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A01/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H17/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/12
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A30/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H06/01
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/01
Serie A2
79.8Avg total
39.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.682.3+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.141.782.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)42.339.581.7+2.867%-
Last 10 (10)39.740.179.8-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.542.582.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (14)42.840.983.7+1.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.538.980.4+2.650%-
This opponent (Latina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H02/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A06/12
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H16/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H23/12
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A30/12
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H06/01
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A14/01
Serie A2
Monferrato
#24
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H21/01
Serie A2
83.4Avg total
39.2Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.142.782.8-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.742.582.2-2.947%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.883.3-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.283.4-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.746.085.7-6.327%-
vs Similar (17)40.341.982.2-1.641%-
vs Weaker (2)40.530.571.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Treviglio) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevigliotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviglio: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.0
53.5%
50.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.2
34.6%
34.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.215.2
79.2%
74.2%15.2
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latinatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latina: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.2
48.9%
50.3%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.6
33.3%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.715.1
76.6%
74.2%15.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviglio
LLLWWLLLLW
Latina
LWLLLLLLLL
#16
League position
#23
-1.8
Net rating
-14.0
104.4
Offensive rating
104.9
106.1
Defensive rating
119.0
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.3%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
15.3%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
33.3%
71.4%
Assist %
58.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 104.9Defence106.1 · 119.0Shooting52.7% · 49.3%3-point %34.6% · 33.3%Ball care16.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds15.3% · 30.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Treviglio   ■ Latina
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviglio wins
0
Latina wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Latina v Treviglio90-92
08/01/23Latina v Treviglio70-80
16/10/22Treviglio v Latina72-68
31/03/19Latina v Treviglio88-90
16/12/18Treviglio v Latina102-84
Trevigliolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24AJuVi Cremona80-87
13/01/24ATrapani69-93
06/01/24HVigevano68-90
30/12/23AMonferrato86-67
23/12/23HAgrigento92-72
17/12/23HBasket Torino72-74
10/12/23ASebastiani Rieti76-85
06/12/23HCantu69-75
01/12/23AUrania Milano79-81
26/11/23HLuiss Roma87-69
Latinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24HMonferrato94-103
14/01/24AVigevano95-87
06/01/24HLuiss Roma88-94
30/12/23ATrapani68-99
23/12/23HUrania Milano69-80
16/12/23HSebastiani Rieti71-84
10/12/23ACantu72-90
06/12/23AJuVi Cremona76-90
02/12/23HBasket Torino79-83 OT
26/11/23AAgrigento77-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviglio
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWLLWL50%
AwayLLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.883.180.6
Allowed / game82.283.181.4
Point differential-0.4+0.0-0.8
Avg total164.1166.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Latina
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL15%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %15%0%30%
Points / game79.079.778.3
Allowed / game88.890.387.4
Point differential-9.8-10.6-9.1
Avg total167.8170.0165.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna2016480%76.170.6+5.5
3 Forli2016480%79.574.2+5.3
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2015575%79.969.3+10.6
6 Trieste2014670%80.576.7+3.9
7 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
8 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%81.779.8+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Urania Milano2011955%83.383.8-0.6
12 Treviglio20101050%81.882.2-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza2091145%76.374.8+1.6
14 Vigevano2081240%79.382.0-2.6
15 Cento2081240%72.877.5-4.8
16 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
17 Rimini2071335%76.477.0-0.7
18 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
19 Luiss Roma2071335%79.587.0-7.5
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
22 Orzinuovi2041620%71.576.1-4.7
23 Latina2031715%79.088.8-9.8
24 Chiusi2031715%64.675.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Treviglio221518171284
Latina1919259476
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