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Trier vs Bayern Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record6-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.3
Allowed / game69.7
GermanyBBLRound 7· Arena Trier
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trier v Bayern
04 Jan 2027
TRI v BAY
upcoming
23 May 2026
TRI62
BAY99
20 Apr 2026
TRI80
BAY104
16 Nov 2025
TRI80
BAY96
07 Dec 2014
TRI79
BAY74
22 Dec 2013
TRI69
BAY76
17 Mar 2013
TRI90
BAY84
11 Feb 2012
TRI70
BAY68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrierGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrier
Date
Competition
Jena
#15
W
98-85
98
85
+13
93avg 85
H27/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
94-80
94
80
+14
88avg 85
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#48
W
92-59
92
59
+33
90avg 85
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
98avg 85
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 85
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#21
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 85
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
97-88
97
88
+9
89avg 85
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#41
W
103-80
103
80
+23
99avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#26
W
96-59
96
59
+37
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
no box
H07/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
23-24
15-24
29-12
29-13
18-14
23-33
24-20
18-16
31-14
28-13
15-16
31-24
19-23
26-15
19-13
25-19
24-22
24-29
14-13
22-32
31-10
26-16
21-22
22-23
21-12
22-27
32-26
26-17
22-15
28-20
27-28
23-11
27-14
21-15
25-19
26-18
21-17
16-18
29-26
172.2Avg total
95.4Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.486.1184.6+12.386%
Season at home (4)97.879.8177.5+18.0100%
Season away (3)99.394.7194.0+4.767%
Last 10 (10)95.476.8172.2+18.6100%
Last 5 (5)97.677.2174.8+20.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)81.598.8180.3-17.418%
vs Similar (7)88.486.6175.0+1.957%
vs Weaker (12)97.280.3177.6+16.992%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
77avg 83
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
101-93
101
93
+8
96avg 83
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
88avg 83
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
91-107
91
107
-16
86avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
96-77
96
77
+19
102avg 83
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
L
84-88
84
88
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
73-103
73
103
-30
65avg 83
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
L
67-69
67
69
-2
no box
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
24-25
22-12
20-21
26-22
28-24
21-22
26-25
17-26
18-27
23-16
29-26
14-29
22-34
31-19
24-25
27-23
15-18
29-12
25-24
17-21
25-20
19-23
23-24
15-19
16-29
23-31
19-24
15-24
25-14
13-12
14-19
22-18
35-20
28-17
23-11
20-21
25-24
28-21
26-29
176.9Avg total
89.3Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)96.369.7166.0+26.686%
Season at home (5)104.067.2171.2+36.8100%
Season away (2)77.076.0153.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)89.387.6176.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)86.284.2170.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.294.5179.8-9.225%
vs Similar (2)93.094.5187.5-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.773.1162.8+16.680%
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +7.2+7.2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +5.2+5.2Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: +0.1+0.1
TrierBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jena
#15
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H27/09
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A04/10
BBL
Batumi
#48
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Alba Berlin
#10
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H10/10
BBL
Promitheas
#15
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#21
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Vechta
#13
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A24/10
BBL
Opava
#41
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trepca
#26
W
50-25
50
25
+25
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bamberg
#9
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H07/11
BBL
85.3Avg total
49.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.544.089.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.241.887.9+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)44.846.691.4-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)49.036.385.3+12.7100%-
Last 5 (5)48.233.882.0+14.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.649.791.4-8.127%-
vs Similar (7)43.643.787.3-0.129%-
vs Weaker (12)50.238.989.2+11.392%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#16
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A10/10
BBL
Anadolu Efes
#12
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A14/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A16/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#6
L
36-63
36
63
-27
H22/10
Euroleague
Hamburg
#18
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H25/10
BBL
Barcelona
#7
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H27/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/10
Euroleague
Rostock
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A01/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H03/11
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#16
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/11
Euroleague
89.0Avg total
42.7Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.740.385.0+4.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.138.884.9+7.382%-
Last 30 away (13)42.942.285.1+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.389.0-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.042.085.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.048.288.2-8.250%-
vs Similar (2)44.048.592.5-4.50%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.736.283.0+10.590%-
This opponent (Trier) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trier: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.424.1
61.2%
55.6%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.6
37.4%
33.3%34.8
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.4%14.4
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.2
58.1%
55.6%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.2
81.8%
73.4%16.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
Bayern
WWLLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#1
+17.6
Net rating
+2.0
106.0
Offensive rating
103.8
88.4
Defensive rating
101.8
58.9%
Effective FG%
57.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
16.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
37.8%
66.4%
Assist %
65.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 103.8Defence88.4 · 101.8Shooting58.9% · 57.5%3-point %37.4% · 37.8%Ball care15.1% · 16.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Trier   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Trier wins
9
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
23/05/26Trier v Bayern62-99
19/05/26Bayern v Trier92-65
17/05/26Bayern v Trier101-80
20/04/26Trier v Bayern80-104
28/12/25Bayern v Trier94-83
16/11/25Trier v Bayern80-96
28/02/15Bayern v Trier92-51
07/12/14Trier v Bayern79-74
09/03/14Bayern v Trier72-60
22/12/13Trier v Bayern69-76
Trierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HBamberg92-79
04/11/26HTrepca96-59
28/10/26AOpava103-80
24/10/26AVechta97-88
21/10/26HSplit100-80
14/10/26APromitheas87-83
10/10/26HAlba Berlin95-75
07/10/26HBatumi92-59
04/10/26ALudwigsburg94-80
27/09/26HJena98-85
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ALyon-Villeurbanne99-95
03/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig108-66
01/11/26ARostock67-69
29/10/26ACrvena zvezda73-103
27/10/26HBarcelona84-88
25/10/26HHamburg96-77
22/10/26HDubai91-107
16/10/26ABesiktas87-95
14/10/26AAnadolu Efes101-93
10/10/26AChemnitz87-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trier
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game98.497.899.3
Allowed / game86.179.894.7
Point differential+12.3+18.0+4.7
Avg total184.6177.5194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game96.3104.077.0
Allowed / game69.767.276.0
Point differential+26.6+36.8+1.0
Avg total166.0171.2153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern76186%96.369.7+26.6
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
5 Wurzburg64267%82.880.2+2.7
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Bonn85362%88.082.5+5.5
8 Ludwigsburg74357%87.187.7-0.6
9 Bamberg84450%86.985.8+1.1
10 Alba Berlin84450%86.287.8-1.5
11 Oldenburg73443%74.483.4-9.0
12 Ulm83538%82.586.4-3.9
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Jena72529%76.688.3-11.7
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen82625%84.091.9-7.9
18 Hamburg71614%81.192.3-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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