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Trieste vs Trento Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 84-78
24-21 21-18 18-20 21-19
Position#10
Record10-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game87.8
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record10-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.2
ItalyLega ARound 22· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Trento
27 Dec 2026
TRI v TRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
TRI84
TRE78
19 Apr 2025
TRI88
TRE94
26 Dec 2022
TRI74
TRE68
05 Dec 2021
TRI70
TRE69
10 Sep 2021
TRI83
TRE82
20 Dec 2020
TRI92
TRE82
30 Aug 2020
TRI86
TRE83
17 Apr 2020
TRI v TRE
upcoming
17 Nov 2018
TRI85
TRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 78
A20/01
Champions League
Sassari
#16
W
76-70
76
70
+6
73avg 78
H24/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
L
82-84
82
84
-2
74avg 78
A28/01
Champions League
Treviso
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
73avg 78
H01/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 78
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
L
99-104
99
104
-5
93avg 78
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 78
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
110-84
110
84
+26
112avg 78
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
49avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 78
A11/03
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
12-18
15-13
24-19
20-16
6-13
18-20
32-21
20-23
31-15
19-22
12-24
15-16
23-19
20-19
26-22
25-23
21-25
21-23
18-20
23-19
32-22
24-39
20-24
19-21
18-28
13-22
20-23
38-23
32-22
20-22
20-17
21-24
7-24
12-31
21-18
19-18
23-19
10-27
24-18
167.3Avg total
82.0Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.587.8172.2-3.250%
Season at home (10)86.880.4167.2+6.480%
Season away (10)82.295.1177.3-12.920%
Last 10 (10)82.085.3167.3-3.340%
Last 5 (5)83.292.2175.4-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.687.5166.2-8.938%
vs Similar ◀ (15)86.285.0171.2+1.253%
vs Weaker (2)95.590.5186.0+5.050%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#16
W
94-93
94
93
+1
90avg 75
A21/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
88-67
88
67
+21
80avg 75
A25/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
81avg 75
H27/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
87-85
87
85
+2
78avg 75
A01/02
Lega A
Chemnitz
#12
L
67-81
67
81
-14
57avg 75
A04/02
Eurocup
Varese
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 75
H08/02
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
76-68
76
68
+8
74avg 75
H10/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
L
91-108
91
108
-17
78avg 75
A15/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
96-99 OT
96
99
-3
89avg 75
H07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
90avg 75
A11/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
23-34
17-25
25-19
16-17
25-17
27-18
20-15
17-24
25-9
24-16
21-25
20-23
22-21
21-28
24-13
17-18
19-21
21-21
10-21
23-18
15-17
24-18
22-25
19-21
23-15
13-16
21-16
24-19
22-39
22-28
23-22
20-31
19-21
28-14
23-24
26-21
21-24
18-19
16-17
170.7Avg total
86.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.081.2164.2+1.848%
Season at home (11)88.585.2173.7+3.455%
Season away (10)76.976.9153.8+0.040%
Last 10 (10)86.484.3170.7+2.170%
Last 5 (5)88.288.6176.8-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)87.986.4174.3+1.457%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.081.7160.7-2.742%
vs Weaker (11)87.783.0170.7+4.773%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -6.6-6.6Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +0.8+0.8
TriesteTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A20/01
Champions League
Sassari
#16
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H24/01
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A28/01
Champions League
Treviso
#14
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H01/02
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/03
Champions League
84.0Avg total
43.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.842.885.5+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.742.685.3+0.136%-
Last 30 away (16)42.842.985.8-0.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.984.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)46.444.090.4+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.643.584.1-2.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.041.385.3+2.760%-
vs Weaker (2)47.549.597.0-2.050%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#16
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A21/01
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A25/01
Lega A
Besiktas
#2
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H27/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A01/02
Lega A
Chemnitz
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/02
Eurocup
Varese
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H08/02
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/02
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A15/02
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H07/03
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A11/03
Eurocup
85.0Avg total
42.5Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.343.185.4-0.948%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.141.481.5-1.353%-
Last 30 away (14)44.645.089.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)42.542.585.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)42.445.287.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.741.786.4+3.057%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.045.084.0-6.027%-
vs Weaker (11)44.042.286.2+1.864%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.919.0
57.8%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.1
30.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.013.7
80.6%
76.1%13.7
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.0
56.5%
54.1%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.9
35.2%
34.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.816.0
80.8%
76.1%16.0
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWLLLWLWW
Trento
WLLWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#9
-3.8
Net rating
+4.2
94.1
Offensive rating
93.3
97.9
Defensive rating
89.0
52.1%
Effective FG%
54.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
35.2%
58.8%
Assist %
56.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 93.3Defence97.9 · 89.0Shooting52.1% · 54.9%3-point %30.9% · 35.2%Ball care15.1% · 15.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Trieste   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
6
Trento wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Trento v Trieste89-87
19/04/25Trieste v Trento88-94
15/02/25Trento v Trieste82-79
09/11/24Trento v Trieste76-68
08/04/23Trento v Trieste85-68
26/12/22Trieste v Trento74-68
27/03/22Trento v Trieste75-74
05/12/21Trieste v Trento70-69
10/09/21Trieste v Trento83-82
04/09/21Trento v Trieste83-94
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26ANymburk76-82
07/03/26AReggiana61-97
14/02/26HBasket Napoli110-84
11/02/26HGran Canaria70-94
08/02/26ATortona99-104
04/02/26HNymburk85-91
01/02/26HTreviso84-76
28/01/26ATenerife82-84
24/01/26HSassari76-70
20/01/26AGran Canaria77-71
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26AVenezia94-90 OT
07/03/26HSassari96-99 OT
15/02/26ACantu91-108
10/02/26HUlm76-68
08/02/26HVarese84-78
04/02/26AChemnitz67-81
01/02/26AVirtus Bologna87-85
27/01/26HBesiktas87-74
25/01/26ATreviso88-67
21/01/26ALietkabelis94-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game84.586.882.2
Allowed / game87.880.495.1
Point differential-3.2+6.4-12.9
Avg total172.2167.2177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL48%
HomeLWLWL55%
AwayLWWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %48%55%40%
Points / game83.088.576.9
Allowed / game81.285.276.9
Point differential+1.8+3.4+0.0
Avg total164.2173.7153.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%84.977.9+7.0
4 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste20101050%84.587.8-3.2
8 Trento21101148%83.081.2+1.8
9 Varese2191243%83.086.3-3.3
10 Reggiana2081240%80.880.2+0.6
11 Sassari2181338%85.588.0-2.6
12 Cremona2181338%81.985.1-3.2
13 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
14 Basket Napoli2071335%83.186.6-3.5
15 Cantu2151624%83.589.3-5.8
16 Treviso2031715%81.090.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2421182184
Trento2118201978
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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