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Trieste vs Trento Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Position#6
Record3-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game81.8
ItalyLega ARound 13· PalaTrieste
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Trieste v Trento
27 Dec 2026
TRI v TRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
TRI84
TRE78
19 Apr 2025
TRI88
TRE94
26 Dec 2022
TRI74
TRE68
05 Dec 2021
TRI70
TRE69
10 Sep 2021
TRI83
TRE82
20 Dec 2020
TRI92
TRE82
30 Aug 2020
TRI86
TRE83
17 Apr 2020
TRI v TRE
upcoming
17 Nov 2018
TRI85
TRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Trento win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
92-90
92
90
+2
85avg 76
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 76
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
73avg 76
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
83-77
83
77
+6
79avg 76
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
75-90
75
90
-15
67avg 76
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
79-83
79
83
-4
64avg 76
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
L
82-87
82
87
-5
57avg 76
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
84-85
84
85
-1
75avg 76
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
92-72
92
72
+20
88avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
W
108-99
108
99
+9
101avg 76
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
31-27
13-24
20-15
19-21
23-28
21-19
19-22
18-22
21-22
15-17
26-23
17-16
18-22
28-18
20-21
16-27
23-20
12-20
24-23
19-17
22-21
23-19
15-26
15-21
27-18
20-20
20-28
15-19
23-21
20-21
26-24
20-18
24-20
23-15
25-19
23-27
28-26
28-24
29-22
171.4Avg total
85.7Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Season at home (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
Season away (2)81.584.0165.5-2.50%
Last 10 (10)85.785.7171.4+0.040%
Last 5 (5)89.085.2174.2+3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)80.186.9167.0-6.925%
vs Similar ◀ (11)85.783.3169.0+2.555%
vs Weaker (3)94.086.0180.0+8.067%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
78avg 76
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
W
76-73
76
73
+3
63avg 76
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
90-93
90
93
-3
80avg 76
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
81-94
81
94
-13
80avg 76
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#11
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 76
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
80-88
80
88
-8
75avg 76
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 76
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
79-90
79
90
-11
70avg 76
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
L
81-87
81
87
-6
69avg 76
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
88avg 76
H27/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
20-25
16-18
21-17
21-15
15-21
23-15
17-22
16-22
20-28
28-20
26-23
22-28
13-22
26-19
20-25
23-21
15-12
16-17
20-16
17-19
17-18
24-18
22-33
23-17
26-24
23-21
15-23
24-19
21-34
15-22
19-15
26-22
19-16
19-24
17-25
23-16
24-34
20-17
27-25
167.1Avg total
82.5Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.081.8164.8+1.260%
Season at home (2)88.589.0177.5-0.550%
Season away (3)79.377.0156.3+2.367%
Last 10 (10)82.584.6167.1-2.150%
Last 5 (5)84.288.4172.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.688.7174.2-3.144%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.983.5165.4-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)85.091.2176.2-6.220%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
TriesteTrento
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A16/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H21/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H23/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A25/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A27/09
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A10/10
Lega A
Cantu
#16
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H18/10
Lega A
Verona
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H25/10
Lega A
86.7Avg total
43.0Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.743.886.5-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.643.385.9-0.838%-
Last 30 away (14)42.944.487.3-1.643%-
Last 10 (10)43.043.786.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.344.485.8-3.131%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.943.187.0+0.845%-
vs Weaker (3)45.743.389.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A26/09
Lega A
Neptunas
#28
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A29/09
Eurocup
Treviso
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H03/10
Lega A
Slask Wroclaw
#29
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H06/10
Eurocup
Udine
#11
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/10
Lega A
Chemnitz
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Varese
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H18/10
Lega A
JL Bourg
#25
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A21/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#15
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/10
Lega A
Buducnost
#18
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
84.2Avg total
41.1Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.285.4-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.044.184.1-4.138%-
Last 30 away (17)42.044.486.4-2.435%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.184.2-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)44.043.887.8+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.345.988.2-3.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.442.582.9-2.144%-
vs Weaker (5)41.446.888.2-5.440%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.3
54.8%
54.3%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.816.4
75.2%
74.4%16.4
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.4 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.0
48.9%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.310.8
34.5%
34.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.0
75.5%
74.4%16.0
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWLLLLWLLW
Trento
WLLWLWLLWW
#10
League position
#6
+0.2
Net rating
-2.0
100.8
Offensive rating
89.9
100.6
Defensive rating
91.9
53.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
12.9%
Turnover %
17.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.9%
3-point %
34.5%
56.5%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 89.9Defence100.6 · 91.9Shooting53.6% · 50.2%3-point %34.9% · 34.5%Ball care12.9% · 17.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Trento
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
6
Trento wins
DateGameScore
14/03/26Trieste v Trento84-78
04/01/26Trento v Trieste89-87
19/04/25Trieste v Trento88-94
15/02/25Trento v Trieste82-79
09/11/24Trento v Trieste76-68
08/04/23Trento v Trieste85-68
26/12/22Trieste v Trento74-68
27/03/22Trento v Trieste75-74
05/12/21Trieste v Trento70-69
10/09/21Trieste v Trento83-82
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVerona108-99
18/10/26HCantu92-72
10/10/26AVarese84-85
04/10/26HVenezia82-87
27/09/26AOlimpia Milano79-83
25/05/26ABrescia75-90
23/05/26HBrescia83-77
21/05/26HBrescia80-84
18/05/26ABrescia82-90
16/05/26ABrescia92-90
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/26HBuducnost94-92
24/10/26AScafati81-87
21/10/26AJL Bourg79-90
18/10/26HVarese87-85
13/10/26HChemnitz80-88
10/10/26AUdine74-66
06/10/26HSlask Wroclaw81-94
03/10/26HTreviso90-93
29/09/26ANeptunas76-73
26/09/26AReggiana83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.094.081.5
Allowed / game85.286.084.0
Point differential+3.8+8.0-2.5
Avg total174.2180.0165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trento
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeLW50%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game83.088.579.3
Allowed / game81.889.077.0
Point differential+1.2-0.5+2.3
Avg total164.8177.5156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%97.484.2+13.2
2 Basket Napoli65183%94.286.2+8.0
3 Treviso65183%93.288.8+4.3
4 Varese64267%88.888.2+0.7
5 Olimpia Milano53260%90.682.2+8.4
6 Trento53260%83.081.8+1.2
7 Maxima Roma53260%86.087.4-1.4
8 Verona63350%89.790.5-0.8
9 Venezia63350%88.790.3-1.7
10 Trieste52340%89.085.2+3.8
11 Udine52340%79.880.8-1.0
12 BC Roma62433%100.296.5+3.7
13 Reggiana62433%82.383.8-1.5
14 Tortona51420%84.495.0-10.6
15 Scafati61517%80.392.2-11.8
16 Cantu5050%73.888.4-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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