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Trento vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-87
20-27 16-25 30-29 23-6
Position#9
Record5-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game82.8
Trento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record6-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game88.9
ItalyLega ARound 14· BLM Group Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trento v Trieste
07 Mar 2027
TRE v TRI
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
TRE89
TRI87
15 Feb 2025
TRE82
TRI79
09 Nov 2024
TRE76
TRI68
08 Apr 2023
TRE85
TRI68
27 Mar 2022
TRE75
TRI74
04 Sep 2021
TRE83
TRI94
14 Apr 2021
TRE81
TRI69
11 Sep 2020
TRE79
TRI61
26 Dec 2019
TRE80
TRI53
17 Mar 2019
TRE82
TRI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrento
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
94-105
94
105
-11
81avg 75
H18/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
no box
H22/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
W
100-87
100
87
+13
89avg 75
A04/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
90-94
90
94
-4
84avg 75
A07/12
Lega A
JL Bourg
#1
W
91-73
91
73
+18
86avg 75
A09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#5
W
96-90
96
90
+6
87avg 75
H13/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
76avg 75
H16/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
53avg 75
A21/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 75
H27/12
Lega A
London Lions
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
72avg 75
H30/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
17-34
26-23
31-29
20-24
19-10
20-18
22-16
24-22
21-24
28-18
27-23
23-26
25-26
25-16
17-26
19-23
27-12
15-22
30-16
20-17
17-33
33-17
26-23
16-17
26-19
12-21
26-23
16-19
19-23
15-19
18-16
15-21
16-24
20-13
24-24
13-18
24-20
26-18
22-17
171.0Avg total
87.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.482.8167.2+1.538%
Season at home (7)88.682.7171.3+5.957%
Season away (6)79.583.0162.5-3.517%
Last 10 (10)87.183.9171.0+3.260%
Last 5 (5)83.082.4165.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.688.9170.5-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.184.3164.4-4.231%
vs Weaker (8)87.979.2167.1+8.675%
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
75-98
75
98
-23
60avg 79
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 79
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
94-113
94
113
-19
85avg 79
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
72avg 79
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
86-82
86
82
+4
81avg 79
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
80-85
80
85
-5
72avg 79
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
92-82 OT
92
82
+10
86avg 79
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
77-90
77
90
-13
61avg 79
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
65avg 79
A21/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 79
H29/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
18-21
16-18
15-27
15-29
26-14
23-18
27-20
22-27
24-23
23-35
25-28
18-18
21-21
18-22
23-18
30-21
14-20
26-24
16-17
17-30
20-14
21-25
22-16
16-24
21-19
20-19
18-13
16-24
21-17
12-27
28-22
11-13
26-19
11-28
21-24
22-25
17-19
13-11
14-19
167.8Avg total
81.0Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.888.9172.7-5.246%
Season at home (6)85.782.5168.2+3.267%
Season away (7)82.194.4176.6-12.329%
Last 10 (10)81.086.8167.8-5.840%
Last 5 (5)76.883.0159.8-6.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.486.2165.5-6.836%
vs Similar ◀ (12)85.291.3176.6-6.133%
vs Weaker (7)94.682.0176.6+12.671%
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -5.0-5.0Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
TrentoTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H18/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H22/11
Lega A
Ulm
#15
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A04/12
Eurocup
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A07/12
Lega A
JL Bourg
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A09/12
Eurocup
Venezia
#5
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H13/12
Lega A
Buducnost
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/12
Eurocup
Reggiana
#7
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A21/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H27/12
Lega A
London Lions
#17
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H30/12
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
39.7Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.283.5-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.840.479.2-1.644%-
Last 30 away (14)41.946.488.4-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.182.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.442.278.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)42.945.288.1-2.438%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.644.583.1-5.823%-
vs Weaker (8)39.840.680.4-0.950%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A09/11
Lega A
Tortona
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H12/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A15/11
Lega A
Galatasaray
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A18/11
Champions League
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H23/11
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H13/12
Lega A
Wurzburg
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H17/12
Champions League
Varese
#8
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H29/12
Lega A
83.1Avg total
40.1Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.943.386.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.442.585.9+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)42.444.086.4-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.083.1-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.878.2-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.543.983.5-4.49%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.545.188.6-1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)47.039.386.3+7.771%-
This opponent (Trento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trentotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trento: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.6
53.3%
54.1%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.1
30.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.521.0
82.4%
76.1%21.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.2
51.6%
54.1%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.7
33.7%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.014.7
77.4%
76.1%14.7
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trento
WLLWWWLWWL
Trieste
LLLWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#10
+3.3
Net rating
-7.5
114.3
Offensive rating
103.6
111.0
Defensive rating
111.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.1%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.7%
Turnover %
19.8%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.8%
3-point %
33.7%
46.0%
Assist %
55.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 103.6Defence111.0 · 111.1Shooting50.2% · 51.1%3-point %30.8% · 33.7%Ball care15.7% · 19.8%Off. rebounds33.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Trento   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Trento wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
19/04/25Trieste v Trento88-94
15/02/25Trento v Trieste82-79
09/11/24Trento v Trieste76-68
08/04/23Trento v Trieste85-68
26/12/22Trieste v Trento74-68
27/03/22Trento v Trieste75-74
05/12/21Trieste v Trento70-69
10/09/21Trieste v Trento83-82
04/09/21Trento v Trieste83-94
14/04/21Trento v Trieste81-69
Trentolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/25HLondon Lions85-73
27/12/25HUdine75-82
21/12/25AReggiana68-77
16/12/25HBuducnost91-90 OT
13/12/25HVenezia96-90
09/12/25AJL Bourg91-73
07/12/25AOlimpia Milano90-94
04/12/25AUlm100-87
22/11/25HTreviso81-68
18/11/25HChemnitz94-105
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/25HVirtus Bologna66-74
21/12/25AVarese69-84
17/12/25HWurzburg77-90
13/12/25HReggiana92-82 OT
06/12/25ASassari80-85
23/11/25HOlimpia Milano86-82
18/11/25AGalatasaray80-79
15/11/25ACremona94-113
12/11/25HTortona91-81
09/11/25ABrescia75-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trento
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLWWL57%
AwayWLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %38%57%17%
Points / game84.488.679.5
Allowed / game82.882.783.0
Point differential+1.5+5.9-3.5
Avg total167.2171.3162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL46%
HomeWWWWL67%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%67%29%
Points / game83.885.782.1
Allowed / game88.982.594.4
Point differential-5.2+3.2-12.3
Avg total172.7168.2176.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1311285%85.877.8+8.0
2 Brescia1411379%89.983.6+6.4
3 Trapani1310377%90.186.3+3.8
4 Olimpia Milano139469%86.877.3+9.5
5 Venezia139469%93.888.4+5.5
6 Tortona139469%89.187.7+1.4
7 Trieste136746%83.888.9-5.2
8 Basket Napoli146843%86.686.9-0.3
9 Sassari146843%86.888.3-1.5
10 Varese146843%82.386.4-4.1
11 Trento135838%84.482.8+1.5
12 Udine135838%80.281.1-0.8
13 Cremona135838%83.585.2-1.7
14 Reggiana1331023%79.884.7-4.8
15 Cantu1331023%83.492.2-8.8
16 Treviso1321115%83.792.5-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trento2016302389
Trieste272529687
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