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Troy vs Akron Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 79-69
35-29 44-40
Position#84
Record16-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game75.2
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#14
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Akron winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-23
29-26
32-45
42-41
53-35
37-35
42-26
49-39
44-35
55-39
35-35
29-29
47-38
36-40
28-31
36-42
24-36
20-30
28-28
46-35
146.2Avg total
76.1Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.375.2158.5+8.167%
Season at home (11)82.467.4149.7+15.064%
Season away (13)84.181.8165.8+2.369%
Last 10 (10)76.170.1146.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)69.671.4141.0-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)77.876.7154.5+1.164%
vs Weaker (15)82.571.8154.3+10.773%
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
104-89
104
89
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
86-65
86
65
+21
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
37-43
43-30
39-39
43-27
34-40
43-34
44-43
52-51
52-38
43-27
39-36
48-26
38-39
41-49
50-32
38-29
31-23
31-27
35-37
152.0Avg total
81.7Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.474.0164.4+16.483%
Season at home (15)95.476.0171.4+19.487%
Season away (8)81.070.2151.2+10.875%
Last 10 (10)81.770.3152.0+11.490%
Last 5 (5)78.865.0143.8+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)77.384.8162.2-7.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.273.1164.3+18.196%
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.9+2.9
-11-5+0+5+111st half1st half: +3.1+3.11st half: +8.5+8.52nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: +2.9+2.9
TroyAkron
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A08/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
53-35
53
35
+18
A10/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H15/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A05/02
NCAA
69.5Avg total
36.3Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.869.1+5.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.029.168.1+9.977%-
Last 30 away (17)36.033.969.9+2.135%-
Last 10 (10)36.333.269.5+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.666.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (14)35.133.868.9+1.350%-
vs Weaker (15)38.130.368.3+7.853%-
This opponent (Akron) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AkronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A03/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A10/01
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H14/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#325
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A20/01
NCAA
Ohio
#241
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A24/01
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H28/01
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A03/02
NCAA
75.1Avg total
41.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.535.077.5+7.573%-
Last 30 at home (20)43.636.179.8+7.570%-
Last 30 away (10)40.232.772.9+7.580%-
Last 10 (10)41.833.375.1+8.590%-
Last 5 (5)40.231.671.8+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.842.877.7-8.017%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.333.377.7+11.087%-
This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
0
Akron wins
No previous meetings.
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/26AGeorgia State74-63
31/01/26HAppalachian State44-66
30/01/26HJames Madison64-73
24/01/26AGeorgia Southern83-78
22/01/26AOld Dominion83-77 OT
17/01/26HArkansas State99-74
15/01/26HSouthern Miss91-65
10/01/26ALouisiana Lafayette90-70
08/01/26AArkansas State74-86
03/01/26HSouth Alabama59-49
Akronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26AEastern Michigan66-64
30/01/26HKent State69-52
28/01/26HToledo91-81
24/01/26AOhio86-65
20/01/26ABuffalo82-63
17/01/26HWestern Michigan104-89
14/01/26HBall State87-77
10/01/26ABowling Green77-67
07/01/26HCentral Michigan82-69
03/01/26AMiami (Ohio)73-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWWWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %67%64%69%
Points / game83.382.484.1
Allowed / game75.267.481.8
Point differential+8.1+15.0+2.3
Avg total158.5149.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%55%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)0% (1)80% (5)
Overtime %21%9%31%
Akron
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %83%87%75%
Points / game90.495.481.0
Allowed / game74.076.070.2
Point differential+16.4+19.4+10.8
Avg total164.4171.4151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%87%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy2416867%83.375.2+8.1
2 Appalachian State2617965%71.364.1+7.2
3 Marshall2415962%79.974.8+5.1
4 South Alabama2415962%72.668.2+4.5
5 Arkansas State25151060%81.477.2+4.2
6 Texas State26151158%73.770.7+3.0
7 Coastal Carolina26151158%73.772.3+1.3
8 Georgia Southern25141156%81.079.6+1.4
9 Southern Miss26131350%73.373.2+0.2
10 James Madison25121348%73.875.1-1.2
11 Georgia State2591636%70.873.9-3.1
12 Louisiana Lafayette2591636%62.569.0-6.6
13 Old Dominion2471729%74.077.8-3.8
14 Louisiana Monroe2542116%71.882.1-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)24240100%92.774.3+18.4
2 Akron2319483%90.474.0+16.4
3 Kent State2416867%85.880.3+5.4
4 UMass25151060%80.675.8+4.8
5 Bowling Green24141058%83.071.0+12.1
6 Buffalo24141058%79.375.8+3.5
7 Ohio24131154%78.077.3+0.7
8 Toledo24121250%80.977.5+3.5
9 Eastern Michigan2491538%70.772.4-1.7
10 Northern Illinois2281436%73.076.4-3.3
11 Ball State2381535%66.970.1-3.3
12 Western Michigan2381535%74.679.6-5.0
13 Central Michigan2471729%73.478.6-5.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy354479
Akron294069
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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