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Troy vs Louisiana Monroe Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#325
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#343
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game87.7
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Troy v Louisiana Monroe
16 Jan 2027
TROY v LOUI
upcoming
27 Feb 2026
TROY80
LOUI65
01 Feb 2025
TROY87
LOUI50
17 Feb 2024
TROY85
LOUI57
21 Jan 2023
TROY77
LOUI53
31 Dec 2020
TROY v LOUI
upcoming
13 Feb 2020
TROY71
LOUI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Louisiana Monroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
78-59
78
59
+19
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
78-70
78
70
+8
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
60-71
60
71
-11
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#233
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#44
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-33
28-32
27-23
51-36
37-29
43-36
41-28
37-42
38-25
39-36
25-41
22-35
28-38
32-33
26-37
42-54
29-37
36-28
27-36
35-45
138.6Avg total
67.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.078.0144.0-12.025%
Season at home (2)67.070.0137.0-3.050%
Season away (2)65.086.0151.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)67.870.8138.6-3.050%
Last 5 (5)62.277.6139.8-15.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)65.076.2141.2-11.233%
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.071.3143.3+0.756%
vs Weaker (15)80.368.7148.9+11.680%
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
94-102
94
102
-8
H21/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
54-89
54
89
-35
A26/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
65-80
65
80
-15
A28/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#58
L
78-83
78
83
-5
H03/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#437
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H05/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#9
L
67-108
67
108
-41
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#22
L
92-100 OT
92
100
-8
A11/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#37
L
62-92
62
92
-30
A14/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#27
L
52-88
52
88
-36
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
49-56
45-46
14-42
40-47
29-37
36-43
35-46
45-41
43-32
35-51
57-25
42-30
27-54
40-54
32-41
51-42
22-47
40-45
26-43
26-45
162.7Avg total
74.3Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.087.7162.7-12.717%
Season at home (2)88.569.0157.5+19.550%
Season away (4)68.297.0165.2-28.80%
Last 10 (10)74.388.4162.7-14.110%
Last 5 (5)74.488.6163.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)72.487.9160.3-15.54%
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (2)89.062.0151.0+27.0100%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -8.9-8.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.4-4.4
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -8.9-8.92nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: -4.4-4.4
TroyLouisiana Monroe
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#120
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
W
27-23
27
23
+4
H25/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H28/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H08/03
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H09/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A19/03
NCAA
UMass
#168
L
28-38
28
38
-10
H03/11
NCAA
Florida State
#233
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A07/11
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#300
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H11/11
NCAA
NC State
#44
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A14/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
30.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.366.4+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.829.365.1+6.475%-
Last 30 away (14)32.335.667.9-3.414%-
Last 10 (10)30.432.763.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.037.864.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.336.364.7-8.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)33.434.768.1-1.244%-
vs Weaker (15)36.929.266.1+7.760%-
This opponent (Louisiana Monroe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Louisiana MonroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H21/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Central Michigan
#58
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/11
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#437
W
57-25
57
25
+32
H05/11
NCAA
Texas A&M
#9
L
27-54
27
54
-27
A10/11
NCAA
TCU
#22
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A11/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#37
L
22-47
22
47
-25
A14/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#27
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A15/11
NCAA
75.7Avg total
33.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.440.575.0-6.123%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.737.275.8+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)31.243.174.3-11.96%-
Last 10 (10)33.442.375.7-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.842.074.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (28)33.741.775.4-8.018%-
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (2)44.524.569.0+20.0100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Troy wins
1
Louisiana Monroe wins
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANC State62-81
11/11/26HLoyola Marymount74-69 OT
07/11/26AFlorida State68-91
03/11/26HUMass60-71
19/03/26ANebraska47-76
09/03/26HGeorgia Southern77-61
08/03/26HSouthern Miss78-70
28/02/26HLouisiana Monroe80-65
25/02/26HLouisiana Lafayette78-59
21/02/26ASouth Alabama54-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AGrand Canyon52-88
14/11/26AArizona State62-92
11/11/26ATCU92-100 OT
10/11/26ATexas A&M67-108
05/11/26HChampion Christian Tigers99-55
03/11/26HCentral Michigan78-83
04/03/26AOld Dominion80-87
28/02/26ATroy65-80
26/02/26ASouth Alabama54-89
21/02/26HArkansas State94-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game66.067.065.0
Allowed / game78.070.086.0
Point differential-12.0-3.0-21.0
Avg total144.0137.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
Louisiana Monroe
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game75.088.568.2
Allowed / game87.769.097.0
Point differential-12.7+19.5-28.8
Avg total162.7157.5165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State440100%89.862.8+27.0
2 Old Dominion550100%77.058.4+18.6
3 Appalachian State42250%69.060.2+8.8
4 Southern Miss42250%72.070.8+1.2
5 Arkansas State42250%80.279.5+0.8
6 Coastal Carolina42250%72.573.5-1.0
7 Georgia State52340%84.272.4+11.8
8 South Alabama52340%74.676.0-1.4
9 Louisiana Lafayette31233%59.060.3-1.3
10 James Madison31233%76.078.7-2.7
11 Marshall41325%78.276.0+2.2
12 Georgia Southern41325%77.882.8-5.0
13 Troy41325%66.078.0-12.0
14 Louisiana Monroe61517%75.087.7-12.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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