PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

South Alabama vs Troy Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 65-54
0-0 33-26 0-0 32-28
Position#120
Record17-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game70.6
South Alabama 🏆
USA
vs
Troy
USA
Position#84
Record18-10
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Alabama v Troy
21 Feb 2026
SOUT65
TROY54
18 Jan 2025
SOUT64
TROY63
18 Jan 2024
SOUT74
TROY71
28 Jan 2023
SOUT77
TROY60
27 Jan 2022
SOUT82
TROY63
11 Feb 2021
SOUT73
TROY70
29 Feb 2020
SOUT78
TROY63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Alabama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South AlabamaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
W
92-88 OT
92
88
+4
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
80-84
80
84
-4
A17/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
H20/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-26
0-0
31-33
0-0
36-40
0-0
54-43
0-0
15-24
0-0
38-24
0-0
36-33
0-0
33-34
0-0
23-29
0-0
34-36
0-0
40-24
0-0
41-45
0-0
42-36
0-0
42-42
0-0
32-41
0-0
51-42
0-0
35-48
0-0
45-36
0-0
33-40
0-0
42-35
147.5Avg total
74.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.370.6144.9+3.861%
Season at home (14)74.266.7140.9+7.564%
Season away (14)74.474.4148.9+0.057%
Last 10 (10)74.473.1147.5+1.360%
Last 5 (5)83.881.8165.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)65.091.0156.0-26.00%
vs Similar ◀ (18)74.173.2147.2+0.950%
vs Weaker (9)70.664.7135.2+5.978%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
99-74
99
74
+25
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
83-77 OT
83
77
+6
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
64-73
64
73
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
44-66
44
66
-22
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
44-35
0-0
55-39
0-0
35-35
0-0
29-29
0-0
47-38
0-0
36-40
0-0
28-31
0-0
36-42
0-0
24-36
0-0
20-30
0-0
28-28
0-0
46-35
0-0
35-29
0-0
44-40
0-0
29-36
0-0
33-38
0-0
26-26
0-0
39-43
0-0
35-37
0-0
42-39
144.9Avg total
73.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.574.7156.2+6.864%
Season at home (12)82.167.5149.6+14.667%
Season away (16)81.180.1161.2+0.962%
Last 10 (10)73.071.9144.9+1.160%
Last 5 (5)71.470.2141.6+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.069.0148.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.776.5153.3+0.260%
vs Weaker (13)83.275.1158.3+8.262%
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
South AlabamaTroy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South AlabamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#320
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H17/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A23/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#127
L
15-24
15
24
-9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A04/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H07/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A13/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A17/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H20/02
NCAA
65.8Avg total
31.7Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.766.0+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.131.165.2+3.150%-
Last 30 away (14)32.434.666.9-2.236%-
Last 10 (10)31.734.165.8-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.437.874.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.036.067.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)32.233.265.4-0.933%-
vs Weaker (9)32.332.064.3+0.356%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas State
#98
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H17/01
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A22/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A24/01
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H31/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A12/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A19/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
33.1Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.732.669.3+4.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.929.968.8+9.077%-
Last 30 away (17)34.934.669.6+0.324%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.166.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.631.261.8-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.029.064.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.733.968.6+0.747%-
vs Weaker (13)37.531.869.3+5.838%-
This opponent (South Alabama) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
South Alabama wins
5
Troy wins
DateGameScore
03/01/26Troy v South Alabama59-49
25/01/25Troy v South Alabama65-55
18/01/25South Alabama v Troy64-63
27/01/24Troy v South Alabama83-79
19/01/24South Alabama v Troy74-71
10/02/23Troy v South Alabama61-57
28/01/23South Alabama v Troy77-60
30/01/22Troy v South Alabama77-68
28/01/22South Alabama v Troy82-63
13/02/21Troy v South Alabama51-58
South Alabamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26HTexas State82-90 OT
17/02/26AMarshall80-84
14/02/26AArkansas State92-88 OT
13/02/26ASouthern Miss84-78
07/02/26HBuffalo81-69
04/02/26AAppalachian State57-65
01/02/26HGeorgia State69-67
30/01/26HCoastal Carolina53-48
23/01/26AJames Madison90-83
17/01/26HLouisiana Lafayette56-59
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ALouisiana Monroe77-76
15/02/26ASouthern Miss65-69
12/02/26ATexas State62-74
07/02/26HAkron79-69
05/02/26AGeorgia State74-63
31/01/26HAppalachian State44-66
30/01/26HJames Madison64-73
24/01/26AGeorgia Southern83-78
22/01/26AOld Dominion83-77 OT
17/01/26HArkansas State99-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Alabama
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL61%
HomeLWWWL64%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %61%64%57%
Points / game74.374.274.4
Allowed / game70.666.774.4
Point differential+3.8+7.5+0.0
Avg total144.9140.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %14%14%14%
Troy
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %64%67%62%
Points / game81.582.181.1
Allowed / game74.767.580.1
Point differential+6.8+14.6+0.9
Avg total156.2149.6161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%58%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)0% (1)71% (7)
Overtime %18%8%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy28181064%81.574.7+6.8
2 Appalachian State30191163%72.565.6+6.9
3 Arkansas State29181162%83.077.6+5.5
4 Marshall29181162%80.776.8+3.8
5 South Alabama28171161%74.370.6+3.8
6 Texas State30181260%74.371.1+3.2
7 Coastal Carolina29171259%73.472.0+1.4
8 James Madison29161355%73.973.9-0.0
9 Georgia Southern29151452%80.379.7+0.6
10 Southern Miss29151452%73.873.6+0.2
11 Old Dominion29101934%75.077.0-2.0
12 Georgia State29101934%70.174.1-4.0
13 Louisiana Lafayette29101934%63.069.3-6.3
14 Louisiana Monroe2942514%73.183.8-10.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Alabama03303265
Troy02602854
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.