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Troy vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 69-62
37-26 32-36
Position#99
Record19-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game65.2
Troy 🏆
USA
vs
UALR
USA
Position#311
Record9-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game73.3
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Troy v UALR
05 Mar 2022
TROY69
UALR62
12 Feb 2022
TROY62
UALR66
09 Jan 2020
TROY76
UALR71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#108
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
77-68
77
68
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
79-77
79
77
+2
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H12/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
30-43
31-22
46-46
34-26
33-37
35-23
26-29
29-35
50-42
31-31
31-35
37-39
30-22
36-33
27-40
28-24
31-29
25-29
36-37
132.0Avg total
65.9Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.665.2134.8+4.466%
Season at home (13)72.860.8133.6+12.177%
Season away (16)66.968.8135.7-1.856%
Last 10 (10)65.966.1132.0-0.260%
Last 5 (5)62.463.8126.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.378.7148.0-9.333%
vs Similar (15)67.166.7133.7+0.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)71.962.9134.8+9.064%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
46-77
46
77
-31
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A18/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A19/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H26/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-35
28-37
19-24
32-51
30-31
34-33
25-42
21-35
31-31
35-31
34-40
36-45
26-31
24-37
32-40
34-38
25-33
30-35
42-36
33-35
133.9Avg total
60.8Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)66.973.3140.1-6.433%
Season at home (15)70.870.7141.5+0.147%
Season away (12)62.076.5138.5-14.517%
Last 10 (10)60.873.1133.9-12.320%
Last 5 (5)63.274.0137.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)64.075.6139.6-11.723%
vs Similar (5)64.668.8133.4-4.240%
vs Weaker (2)103.055.5158.5+47.5100%
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: -7.0-7.0
TroyUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Alabama
#108
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A28/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
31-22
31
22
+9
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#100
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A04/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#229
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A05/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H11/02
NCAA
UALR
#311
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H12/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A17/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A19/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H24/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H26/02
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.9Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.330.063.4+3.347%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.925.859.7+8.254%-
Last 30 away (17)32.933.366.2-0.441%-
Last 10 (10)31.930.162.0+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.262.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.031.361.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (15)30.531.161.7-0.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)36.829.466.2+7.545%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A18/02
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A19/02
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H24/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H26/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A03/03
NCAA
63.6Avg total
29.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.434.465.8-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.232.664.8-0.547%-
Last 30 away (13)30.536.767.2-6.215%-
Last 10 (10)29.334.363.6-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)31.836.067.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.035.864.8-6.714%-
vs Similar (5)32.829.662.4+3.280%-
vs Weaker (2)54.033.587.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Troy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Troy wins
2
UALR wins
DateGameScore
12/02/22Troy v UALR62-66
23/01/20UALR v Troy81-63
10/01/20Troy v UALR76-71
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/22HTexas State61-66
24/02/22HUT Arlington59-53
19/02/22ACoastal Carolina63-73
17/02/22AAppalachian State67-61
12/02/22HUALR62-66
11/02/22HArkansas State79-77
05/02/22AGeorgia Southern61-52
04/02/22AGeorgia State67-63
30/01/22HSouth Alabama77-68
28/01/22ASouth Alabama63-82
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/22ASouth Alabama75-71
26/02/22HCoastal Carolina55-68
24/02/22HAppalachian State66-78
19/02/22ATexas State50-68
18/02/22AUT Arlington70-85
12/02/22ATroy66-62
11/02/22ASouth Alabama46-77
05/02/22HLouisiana Monroe72-75 OT
04/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette51-75
29/01/22AAppalachian State57-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL66%
HomeWWLWL77%
AwayLWWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %66%77%56%
Points / game69.672.866.9
Allowed / game65.260.868.8
Point differential+4.4+12.1-1.8
Avg total134.8133.6135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%8%6%
UALR
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLLL47%
AwayLWLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %33%47%17%
Points / game66.970.862.0
Allowed / game73.370.776.5
Point differential-6.4+0.1-14.5
Avg total140.1141.5138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2821775%70.763.1+7.6
2 Troy29191066%69.665.2+4.4
3 Arkansas State28181064%71.268.2+3.0
4 Georgia State2516964%70.864.2+6.7
5 South Alabama30191163%71.463.2+8.2
6 Appalachian State31181358%66.762.4+4.3
7 Coastal Carolina29161355%72.865.3+7.5
8 James Madison28151354%75.572.8+2.6
9 Louisiana Lafayette29151452%71.269.4+1.8
10 Georgia Southern28131546%66.765.4+1.3
11 Old Dominion30131743%67.066.8+0.2
12 Louisiana Monroe31131842%72.574.3-1.9
13 Marshall30111937%74.476.9-2.5
14 Southern Miss3062420%64.475.0-10.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State33231070%70.163.2+6.8
2 Western Illinois30161453%79.077.0+2.0
3 Tennessee State32141844%71.370.2+1.1
4 Southeast Missouri State32141844%75.677.3-1.7
5 Tennessee Tech32112134%72.873.7-0.9
6 Siu Edwardsville32112134%67.569.9-2.4
7 UALR2791833%66.973.3-6.4
8 UT Martin3082227%68.973.5-4.6
9 Eastern Illinois3152616%56.371.1-14.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy373269
UALR263662
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