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Texas State vs UALR Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 68-50
31-26 37-24
Position#40
Record18-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#311
Record8-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game73.6
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Texas State v UALR
21 Nov 2025
TEXA65
UALR56
19 Feb 2022
TEXA68
UALR50
06 Feb 2021
TEXA77
UALR67
05 Feb 2021
TEXA57
UALR47
13 Feb 2020
TEXA74
UALR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Texas State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-32
40-36
43-24
26-35
32-32
28-35
21-36
37-34
26-29
32-24
41-29
27-37
29-29
40-35
41-36
41-37
30-29
33-25
48-29
36-38
132.4Avg total
68.3Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.663.5135.2+8.175%
Season at home (12)75.057.8132.8+17.292%
Season away (12)68.269.2137.5-1.058%
Last 10 (10)68.364.1132.4+4.280%
Last 5 (5)73.264.8138.0+8.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.080.0127.0-33.00%
vs Similar (8)66.468.0134.4-1.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)73.060.0132.9+13.086%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
59-69
59
69
-10
H21/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
H22/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A28/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
51-75
51
75
-24
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
46-77
46
77
-31
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
W
66-62
66
62
+4
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-37
37-43
24-43
35-26
35-26
34-43
16-23
33-42
29-35
28-37
19-24
32-51
30-31
34-33
25-42
21-35
31-31
35-31
34-40
36-45
139.6Avg total
64.0Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.873.6141.4-5.835%
Season at home (13)72.470.3142.7+2.154%
Season away (10)61.977.9139.8-16.010%
Last 10 (10)64.075.6139.6-11.620%
Last 5 (5)61.074.8135.8-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)64.476.0140.4-11.520%
vs Similar (7)64.770.0134.7-5.329%
vs Weaker (2)103.055.5158.5+47.5100%
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -6.1-6.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: -5.4-5.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -6.1-6.1
Texas StateUALR
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H15/01
NCAA
UALR
#311
W
43-24
43
24
+19
A21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A22/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A28/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
26-29
26
29
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H03/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/02
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A12/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#101
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H18/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
34.3Scored
30.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.329.063.3+5.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.126.862.9+9.369%-
Last 30 away (14)32.231.663.8+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)34.330.564.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.830.468.2+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)22.045.067.0-23.00%-
vs Similar (8)32.028.160.1+3.962%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)35.828.664.4+7.162%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#40
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H21/01
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H22/01
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#160
L
16-23
16
23
-7
A28/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#188
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H04/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H05/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#108
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A11/02
NCAA
Troy
#99
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A12/02
NCAA
UT Arlington
#272
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A18/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
27.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.034.565.5-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)32.032.064.0+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)29.937.467.3-7.614%-
Last 10 (10)27.833.261.0-5.410%-
Last 5 (5)27.833.661.4-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)27.935.963.8-8.010%-
vs Similar (7)33.131.764.9+1.471%-
vs Weaker (2)54.033.587.5+20.5100%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Texas State wins
1
UALR wins
DateGameScore
21/01/22UALR v Texas State59-69
06/02/21Texas State v UALR77-67 OT
05/02/21Texas State v UALR57-47
16/01/21UALR v Texas State56-67
16/01/21UALR v Texas State59-63
14/02/20Texas State v UALR74-66
03/01/20UALR v Texas State72-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/22HArkansas State84-67
12/02/22ALouisiana Monroe63-54
11/02/22ALouisiana Lafayette82-73
05/02/22HCoastal Carolina69-64
03/02/22HAppalachian State68-66
29/01/22HUT Arlington58-53
28/01/22AUT Arlington58-70
22/01/22AArkansas State60-67
21/01/22AUALR69-59
15/01/22HLouisiana Lafayette72-68
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/22AUT Arlington70-85
12/02/22ATroy66-62
11/02/22ASouth Alabama46-77
05/02/22HLouisiana Monroe72-75 OT
04/02/22HLouisiana Lafayette51-75
29/01/22AAppalachian State57-72
28/01/22ACoastal Carolina49-65
22/01/22HUT Arlington98-96 OT
21/01/22HTexas State59-69
07/01/22ALouisiana Monroe72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Texas State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %75%92%58%
Points / game71.675.068.2
Allowed / game63.557.869.2
Point differential+8.1+17.2-1.0
Avg total135.2132.8137.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%58%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
UALR
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL35%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %35%54%10%
Points / game67.872.461.9
Allowed / game73.670.377.9
Point differential-5.8+2.1-16.0
Avg total141.4142.7139.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas State2418675%71.663.5+8.1
2 South Alabama2718967%72.463.4+9.0
3 Troy2718967%70.365.6+4.7
4 Arkansas State2516964%71.267.9+3.3
5 Georgia State2314961%70.664.2+6.4
6 Appalachian State29171259%66.662.3+4.2
7 James Madison26151158%76.071.8+4.3
8 Coastal Carolina26141254%73.365.3+7.9
9 Louisiana Monroe27131448%72.273.4-1.1
10 Louisiana Lafayette24111346%70.969.6+1.3
11 Georgia Southern25111444%65.964.4+1.5
12 Old Dominion26101638%66.367.4-1.1
13 Marshall26101638%74.576.4-1.9
14 Southern Miss2662023%64.374.4-10.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State2920969%70.164.0+6.1
2 Western Illinois27151256%79.376.8+2.5
3 Tennessee State28121643%71.170.1+1.0
4 Southeast Missouri State28121643%75.878.2-2.5
5 UALR2381535%67.873.6-5.8
6 Siu Edwardsville2791833%67.870.3-2.5
7 Tennessee Tech2781930%73.274.0-0.7
8 UT Martin2882029%68.772.9-4.2
9 Eastern Illinois2852318%57.071.2-14.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Texas State313768
UALR262450
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