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Truenos De Talca vs Liceo Curico Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 93-72
22-16 23-20 27-15 21-21
Position#2
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game66.2
Truenos De Talca 🏆
Chile
vs
Liceo Curico
Chile
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game61.8
Allowed / game49.2
ChileLNB 2· Cendyr Sur
Other2025-26
Meetings · Truenos De Talca v Liceo Curico
04 May 2025
TRUE93
LICE72
13 May 2023
TRUE73
LICE63
04 Jun 2022
TRUE74
LICE69
25 Sep 2021
TRUE69
LICE60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Truenos De Talca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liceo Curico winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Truenos De TalcaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTalca
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 62
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
66-58
66
58
+8
58avg 62
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
66-73
66
73
-7
48avg 62
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
48-62
48
62
-14
32avg 62
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
61-51
61
51
+10
51avg 62
A04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
64-70
64
70
-6
48avg 62
H11/08
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
W
65-53
65
53
+12
49avg 62
A29/03
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
75-69
75
69
+6
58avg 62
A05/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
77-59
77
59
+18
67avg 62
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
64avg 62
A26/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
20-15
26-16
25-18
18-12
14-18
17-20
17-8
17-36
23-20
13-6
13-11
6-8
15-16
15-19
12-19
14-18
13-10
17-10
17-13
14-12
19-16
13-22
18-20
17-15
13-15
16-13
19-10
15-28
16-17
26-10
18-14
24-14
12-14
22-10
19-21
18-23
25-14
27-23
17-24
135.3Avg total
69.5Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.066.2142.2+9.8100%
Season at home (1)77.059.0136.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)75.768.7144.3+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.565.8135.3+3.770%
Last 5 (5)73.667.0140.6+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.579.5148.0-11.00%
vs Similar (4)69.564.8134.2+4.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)73.865.2139.0+8.675%
This opponent (Liceo Curico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo CuricoChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCurico
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#11
L
66-67
66
67
-1
no box
A17/06
LNB 2
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#1
L
80-103
80
103
-23
no box
A01/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
61-71
61
71
-10
no box
H08/07
LNB 2
Tomas Lawrence
#12
W
85-77 OT
85
77
+8
no box
H09/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
A15/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#14
W
108-66
108
66
+42
no box
H22/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
L
53-65
53
65
-12
8avg 51
H29/03
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
78-76
78
76
+2
62avg 51
A05/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
20-0
20
0
+20
40avg 51
A26/04
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
96-56
96
56
+40
95avg 51
H27/04
LNB 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
13-20
17-16
20-15
–
–
–
–
7-19
7-11
17-12
30-29
14-10
13-22
35-14
13-29
9-27
12-24
23-21
29-21
36-21
27-18
30-12
15-15
15-17
15-13
13-16
10-19
26-14
16-22
17-21
19-19
–
–
–
–
23-11
29-14
30-18
14-13
139.4Avg total
72.0Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.849.2111.0+12.575%
Season at home (2)74.560.5135.0+14.050%
Season away (2)49.038.087.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.067.4139.4+4.650%
Last 5 (5)71.052.6123.6+18.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)59.480.3139.7-20.96%
vs Similar (2)62.072.0134.0-10.00%
vs Weaker (10)76.362.3138.6+14.080%
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: +6.5+6.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
Truenos De TalcaLiceo Curico
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Truenos De TalcaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luis Matte Larrain
#9
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A21/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H27/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H28/07
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
A03/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A04/08
LNB 2
Stadio Italiano
#4
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H11/08
LNB 2
Liceo Curico
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A29/03
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/04
LNB 2
Municipal Chillan
#11
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H19/04
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/04
LNB 2
67.9Avg total
32.8Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.233.169.3+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.130.868.9+7.371%-
Last 30 away (16)34.535.169.6-0.631%-
Last 10 (10)32.835.167.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.037.073.0-1.050%-
vs Similar (4)35.533.869.2+1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)36.332.769.0+3.654%-
This opponent (Liceo Curico) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Liceo CuricoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Chillan
#11
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A17/06
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#5
L
14-30
14
30
-16
H08/07
LNB 2
Tomas Lawrence
#12
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H09/07
LNB 2
Colo Colo
#3
L
21-51
21
51
-30
A15/07
LNB 2
Aleman
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H22/07
LNB 2
Truenos De Talca
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H29/03
LNB 2
CDSB Constitucion
#16
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/04
LNB 2
Tinguiririca
#20
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H27/04
LNB 2
69.6Avg total
34.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)31.836.468.2-4.638%-
Last 30 at home (12)33.633.767.2-0.142%-
Last 30 away (14)30.238.768.9-8.536%-
Last 10 (8)34.834.969.6-0.138%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)27.738.466.1-10.727%-
vs Similar (2)22.534.056.5-11.50%-
vs Weaker (9)40.633.674.1+7.067%-
This opponent (Truenos De Talca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Truenos De Talcatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Truenos De Talca: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.218.1
43.9%
46.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.1
26.1%
27.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.611.0
56.1%
64.0%11.0
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Liceo Curicotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Liceo Curico: 69.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 71.5 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.016.0
42.1%
46.4%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.2
31.7%
27.9%24.8
🏀 Free throws21.812.2
56.3%
64.0%12.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 04 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Truenos De Talca
WWWWLWLLWW
Liceo Curico
WWWLWLWLLL
#2
League position
#8
+3.9
Net rating
+15.2
92.5
Offensive rating
93.1
88.6
Defensive rating
77.9
42.0%
Effective FG%
44.3%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
38.1%
14.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
26.1%
3-point %
31.7%
51.6%
Assist %
44.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 93.1Defence88.6 · 77.9Shooting42.0% · 44.3%3-point %26.1% · 31.7%Ball care14.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.8% · 26.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Truenos De Talca   ■ Liceo Curico
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Truenos De Talca wins
0
Liceo Curico wins
DateGameScore
29/03/25Liceo Curico v Truenos De Talca53-65
08/07/23Liceo Curico v Truenos De Talca61-71
14/05/23Truenos De Talca v Liceo Curico73-63
23/07/22Liceo Curico v Truenos De Talca69-73
04/06/22Truenos De Talca v Liceo Curico74-69
30/10/21Liceo Curico v Truenos De Talca60-69
25/09/21Truenos De Talca v Liceo Curico69-60
Truenos De Talcalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/25ACDSB Constitucion87-84
19/04/25HMunicipal Chillan77-59
05/04/25ATinguiririca75-69
29/03/25ALiceo Curico65-53
11/08/24HStadio Italiano64-70
04/08/24AStadio Italiano61-51
03/08/24AStadio Italiano48-62
28/07/24HStadio Italiano66-73
27/07/24HStadio Italiano66-58
21/07/24ALuis Matte Larrain86-79
Liceo Curicolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/25HTinguiririca96-56
26/04/25AMunicipal Chillan20-0
05/04/25ACDSB Constitucion78-76
29/03/25HTruenos De Talca53-65
22/07/23HAleman108-66
15/07/23AColo Colo73-93
09/07/23HTomas Lawrence85-77 OT
08/07/23HTruenos De Talca61-71
01/07/23ALiceo Pablo Neruda80-103
17/06/23AMunicipal Chillan66-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Truenos De Talca
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game76.077.075.7
Allowed / game66.259.068.7
Point differential+9.8+18.0+7.0
Avg total142.2136.0144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liceo Curico
LNB 2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game61.874.549.0
Allowed / game49.260.538.0
Point differential+12.5+14.0+11.0
Avg total111.0135.087.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Puerto Montt550100%89.865.2+24.6
2 Truenos De Talca440100%76.066.2+9.8
3 Boston C. C.54180%76.864.8+12.0
4 Liceo Curico43175%61.849.2+12.5
5 Aleman43175%68.258.2+10.0
6 Illapel43175%73.570.0+3.5
7 Quilpue Basquetbol53260%75.868.8+7.0
8 Arabe Valparaiso53260%71.465.4+6.0
9 Stadio Italiano53260%74.269.4+4.8
10 Luis Matte Larrain53260%75.071.4+3.6
11 Omega53260%52.255.0-2.8
12 CDSB Constitucion42250%78.272.5+5.8
13 The Sharks42250%78.278.0+0.2
14 Municipal Chillan41325%49.861.0-11.2
15 Brisas41325%61.273.5-12.2
16 Sergio Ceppi51420%66.877.4-10.6
17 Regional Temuco51420%71.284.4-13.2
18 CD Huachipato5050%59.676.2-16.6
19 Tinguiririca4040%61.578.2-16.8
20 Arturo Prat San Felipe4040%69.889.8-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Truenos De Talca2223272193
Liceo Curico1620152172
← all games of the day
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