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Alba Berlin vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-93
27-20 19-33 23-22 12-18
Position#2
Record32-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record19-17
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game85.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Alba Berlin v Ulm
25 Oct 2026
ABE98
ULM82
20 Dec 2025
ABE66
ULM67
19 Oct 2025
ABE90
ULM68
21 May 2025
ABE62
ULM74
09 Nov 2024
ABE96
ULM88
17 Feb 2024
ABE79
ULM87
04 Feb 2024
ABE98
ULM88
19 May 2023
ABE81
ULM93
14 May 2023
ABE64
ULM88
30 Apr 2023
ABE91
ULM79
15 Apr 2022
ABE78
ULM73
01 Jun 2021
ABE92
ULM78
30 May 2021
ABE71
ULM73
19 Dec 2020
ABE93
ULM83
03 Nov 2019
ABE109
ULM89
26 May 2019
ABE v ULM
upcoming
18 May 2019
ABE107
ULM78
02 Apr 2019
ABE92
ULM81
01 May 2018
ABE102
ULM73
03 Oct 2016
ABE94
ULM98
01 Oct 2015
ABE74
ULM54
12 Oct 2014
ABE88
ULM68
15 May 2014
ABE64
ULM71
10 May 2014
ABE86
ULM66
30 Mar 2014
ABE86
ULM80
16 Nov 2013
ABE102
ULM74
20 Oct 2012
ABE80
ULM88
23 Dec 2011
ABE89
ULM58
09 Mar 2011
ABE100
ULM90
25 Oct 2009
ABE78
ULM56
25 Mar 2009
ABE84
ULM69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 82
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 82
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
83-63
83
63
+20
81avg 82
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
85-78
85
78
+7
93avg 82
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
104-79
104
79
+25
108avg 82
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-79
91
79
+12
93avg 82
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
83-72
83
72
+11
77avg 82
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
64-88
64
88
-24
58avg 82
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 82
A17/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
27-19
23-12
6-16
20-16
18-20
27-18
23-17
20-11
20-21
28-15
15-16
27-21
18-24
16-17
24-16
22-25
29-21
28-15
25-18
12-17
26-29
15-19
24-19
20-12
28-21
22-25
21-21
20-17
27-17
22-19
14-19
17-19
27-23
10-16
10-30
21-20
18-27
29-14
23-16
160.3Avg total
84.2Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)87.777.2164.9+10.589%
Season at home (18)87.376.3163.6+11.089%
Season away (18)88.178.2166.3+9.989%
Last 10 (10)84.276.1160.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)81.280.0161.2+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.785.5163.2-7.817%
vs Similar (7)78.177.1155.3+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.874.7160.5+11.194%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
67-84
67
84
-17
53avg 79
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 79
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
86-92
86
92
-6
78avg 79
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 79
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 79
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
no box
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
109avg 79
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 79
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 79
H17/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
20-28
22-12
10-21
22-14
15-20
20-16
19-36
21-26
20-24
24-19
21-23
9-23
27-15
32-21
29-25
12-20
21-28
25-22
21-21
31-21
24-27
16-27
27-23
29-29
22-17
30-18
35-22
18-23
18-18
27-27
20-17
19-17
23-27
16-10
30-10
20-21
27-18
14-29
16-23
178.2Avg total
89.7Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)88.785.7174.4+3.153%
Season at home (18)93.688.8182.4+4.861%
Season away (18)83.882.6166.4+1.344%
Last 10 (10)89.788.5178.2+1.240%
Last 5 (5)98.489.6188.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.683.1162.7-3.614%
vs Similar (7)86.179.4165.6+6.786%
vs Weaker (16)93.584.7178.2+8.875%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.7+0.7
Alba BerlinUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chemnitz
#12
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A11/04
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#18
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H13/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#15
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A16/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H19/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H23/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A25/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H30/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A17/05
BBL
84.0Avg total
43.7Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.639.782.4+2.964%-
Last 30 away (16)41.539.581.0+2.069%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.384.0+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.483.6+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.041.083.0+1.067%-
vs Similar (7)38.140.678.7-2.443%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.638.782.4+4.976%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A16/04
BBL
Turk Telekom
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A19/04
Eurocup
Chemnitz
#12
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A21/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/05
BBL
85.2Avg total
41.3Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.341.484.7+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.742.988.5+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)40.940.080.9+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.985.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.689.8+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)38.438.677.0-0.143%-
vs Similar (7)41.941.683.4+0.329%-
vs Weaker (16)46.042.688.6+3.456%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.920.4
60.2%
54.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.09.6
34.3%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.213.8
80.2%
75.8%13.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.717.4
56.7%
54.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.011.4
33.5%
35.4%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.116.1
72.9%
75.8%16.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Alba Berlin
WLWWLWWWWW
Ulm
LWLWWLWLLL
#2
League position
#4
+10.4
Net rating
+1.7
111.1
Offensive rating
113.5
100.7
Defensive rating
111.7
56.2%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.3%
3-point %
33.5%
69.0%
Assist %
58.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 113.5Defence100.7 · 111.7Shooting56.2% · 53.3%3-point %34.3% · 33.5%Ball care21.9% · 16.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 30.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Alba Berlin   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Alba Berlin wins
2
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
17/05/23Ulm v Alba Berlin77-91
14/05/23Alba Berlin v Ulm64-88
30/04/23Alba Berlin v Ulm91-79
18/12/22Ulm v Alba Berlin83-110
15/04/22Alba Berlin v Ulm78-73
21/11/21Ulm v Alba Berlin66-71 OT
05/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin75-77
03/06/21Ulm v Alba Berlin72-80
01/06/21Alba Berlin v Ulm92-78
30/05/21Alba Berlin v Ulm71-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/23AUlm91-77
14/05/23HUlm64-88
04/05/23ABayreuth83-72
30/04/23HUlm91-79
25/04/23ABonn77-84
23/04/23HRostock104-79
19/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig85-78
16/04/23AHamburg83-63
13/04/23HLyon-Villeurbanne88-71
11/04/23AChemnitz76-70
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/23HAlba Berlin77-91
14/05/23AAlba Berlin88-64
07/05/23ABonn83-85
05/05/23HRostock116-86
02/05/23HSyntainics MBC128-122 OT
30/04/23AAlba Berlin79-91
25/04/23HOldenburg97-84
21/04/23AChemnitz86-92
19/04/23ATurk Telekom76-86
16/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Alba Berlin
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW89%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWLWW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %89%89%89%
Points / game87.787.388.1
Allowed / game77.276.378.2
Point differential+10.5+11.0+9.9
Avg total164.9163.6166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL53%
HomeWWWWL61%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %53%61%44%
Points / game88.793.683.8
Allowed / game85.788.882.6
Point differential+3.1+4.8+1.3
Avg total174.4182.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3533294%89.672.6+17.0
2 Alba Berlin3632489%87.777.2+10.5
3 Bayern3627975%82.175.4+6.7
4 Oldenburg36221461%85.983.0+2.9
5 Ludwigsburg36211558%86.785.2+1.5
6 Ulm36191753%88.785.7+3.1
7 Gottingen36191753%84.886.3-1.4
8 Rostock34161847%84.088.9-4.8
9 Chemnitz35161946%83.083.1-0.0
10 Bamberg34151944%88.188.9-0.7
11 Heidelberg34151944%87.589.6-2.1
12 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig34122235%80.183.2-3.1
14 Crailsheim Merlins34122235%84.788.4-3.7
15 Hamburg34122235%80.986.0-5.1
16 Syntainics MBC34112332%84.789.4-4.7
17 Frankfurt34102429%80.286.5-6.3
18 Bayreuth3462818%82.591.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Alba Berlin2719231281
Ulm2033221893
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