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Bayern vs Ulm Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-93
20-27 19-17 17-27 32-22
Position#3
Record28-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game75.2
vs
Ulm 🏆
Germany
Position#4
Record22-17
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game85.0
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayern v Ulm
02 Jan 2027
BAY v ULM
upcoming
01 Feb 2026
BAY62
ULM79
26 Jun 2025
BAY81
ULM77
21 Jun 2025
BAY79
ULM81
15 Jun 2025
BAY82
ULM66
17 Mar 2025
BAY70
ULM62
18 Feb 2024
BAY81
ULM65
17 Dec 2023
BAY95
ULM80
30 May 2023
BAY88
ULM93
28 May 2023
BAY69
ULM87
01 Oct 2022
BAY87
ULM80
26 Sep 2021
BAY83
ULM86
07 May 2021
BAY64
ULM98
06 Jun 2020
BAY85
ULM95
26 Nov 2019
BAY83
ULM69
10 May 2019
BAY95
ULM72
04 Apr 2018
BAY100
ULM95
01 Feb 2017
BAY101
ULM98
26 Dec 2016
BAY79
ULM87
13 Jan 2016
BAY83
ULM69
03 Jan 2016
BAY101
ULM85
30 Dec 2014
BAY100
ULM93
29 Mar 2014
BAY72
ULM90
26 Dec 2013
BAY87
ULM70
05 Jan 2013
BAY80
ULM78
15 Feb 2012
BAY87
ULM83
04 Nov 2008
BAY89
ULM92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 72
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 72
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
108-76
108
76
+32
114avg 72
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 72
A30/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 72
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
69avg 72
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
92avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 72
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 72
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 72
H28/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
26-14
26-24
22-30
13-12
15-19
22-24
28-14
25-13
32-16
24-28
27-19
22-24
19-20
13-15
21-24
17-21
25-23
22-22
14-23
12-22
19-21
16-25
29-20
21-14
23-22
22-14
21-17
24-23
31-20
14-23
18-19
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
160.5Avg total
81.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)81.375.2156.5+6.274%
Season at home (20)85.277.5162.8+7.875%
Season away (18)76.972.6149.5+4.472%
Last 10 (10)81.878.7160.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)76.876.2153.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.088.8164.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.680.1156.7-3.540%
vs Weaker (16)82.273.0155.2+9.288%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
W
97-84
97
84
+13
90avg 79
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 79
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
no box
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
109avg 79
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 79
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 79
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 79
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 79
A28/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
27-15
32-21
29-25
12-20
21-28
25-22
21-21
31-21
24-27
16-27
27-23
29-29
22-17
30-18
35-22
18-23
18-18
27-27
20-17
19-17
23-27
16-10
30-10
20-21
27-18
14-29
16-23
20-27
33-19
22-23
18-12
26-22
24-29
18-16
15-14
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
178.5Avg total
93.1Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)88.685.0173.6+3.656%
Season at home (19)93.188.4181.4+4.763%
Season away (20)84.581.8166.2+2.750%
Last 10 (10)93.185.4178.5+7.770%
Last 5 (5)85.677.2162.8+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.482.7164.1-1.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.479.0165.4+7.486%
vs Weaker (14)92.784.4177.1+8.471%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +5.5+5.5
BayernUlm
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankfurt
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
80.6Avg total
42.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.079.2+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.337.679.9+4.762%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.578.4-2.621%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.480.6+3.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.281.6+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.844.883.5-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
vs Weaker (16)41.736.978.6+4.850%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oldenburg
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H25/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
88.7Avg total
44.5Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.485.2+2.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.143.389.3+2.847%-
Last 30 away (15)41.639.581.1+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.288.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.291.0+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.340.882.1+0.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.741.984.6+0.943%-
vs Weaker (14)46.041.587.5+4.564%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.518.4
54.9%
54.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.9
36.4%
35.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.514.5
74.4%
75.8%14.5
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.0
56.1%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.312.1
34.3%
35.4%36.3
🏀 Free throws20.615.4
74.8%
75.8%15.4
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLLWWW
Ulm
WWWLWLWWLW
#3
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
+7.8
113.4
Offensive rating
116.3
108.5
Defensive rating
108.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
17.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
34.3%
59.7%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 116.3Defence108.5 · 108.5Shooting54.8% · 53.6%3-point %36.4% · 34.3%Ball care17.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds30.6% · 30.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Bayern   ■ Ulm
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Ulm wins
DateGameScore
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
15/05/21Ulm v Bayern102-104 OT
07/05/21Bayern v Ulm64-98
09/02/21Ulm v Bayern77-81
06/06/20Bayern v Ulm85-95
26/11/19Bayern v Ulm83-69
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54
18/05/23HGottingen87-85
16/05/23HGottingen87-67
07/05/23AOldenburg76-88
04/05/23HHeidelberg78-89
30/04/23AGottingen75-83
26/04/23HRostock108-76
23/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins78-69
19/04/23HFrankfurt95-89
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/05/23ABayern87-69
24/05/23HAlba Berlin83-81
19/05/23AAlba Berlin93-81
17/05/23HAlba Berlin77-91
14/05/23AAlba Berlin88-64
07/05/23ABonn83-85
05/05/23HRostock116-86
02/05/23HSyntainics MBC128-122 OT
30/04/23AAlba Berlin79-91
25/04/23HOldenburg97-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL74%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayWWLLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %74%75%72%
Points / game81.385.276.9
Allowed / game75.277.572.6
Point differential+6.2+7.8+4.4
Avg total156.5162.8149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%50%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)60% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWWWLW63%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %56%63%50%
Points / game88.693.184.5
Allowed / game85.088.481.8
Point differential+3.6+4.7+2.6
Avg total173.6181.4166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%42%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %10%11%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3836295%89.572.9+16.5
2 Alba Berlin3832684%87.377.8+9.6
3 Bayern38281074%81.375.2+6.2
4 Oldenburg37221559%85.583.1+2.4
5 Ludwigsburg38221658%86.284.7+1.5
6 Ulm39221756%88.685.0+3.6
7 Gottingen37191851%84.085.7-1.7
8 Rostock34161847%84.088.9-4.8
9 Bamberg34151944%88.188.9-0.7
10 Heidelberg34151944%87.589.6-2.1
11 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
12 Chemnitz37162143%82.983.5-0.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig34122235%80.183.2-3.1
14 Crailsheim Merlins34122235%84.788.4-3.7
15 Hamburg34122235%80.986.0-5.1
16 Syntainics MBC34112332%84.789.4-4.7
17 Frankfurt34102429%80.286.5-6.3
18 Bayreuth3462818%82.591.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2019173288
Ulm2717272293
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