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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 104-102 (OT)
29-22 17-21 28-19 18-30 12-10
Position#4
Record23-17
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game85.1
Ulm 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record28-11
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game75.6
GermanyBBLBBL - Semi-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 79
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
no box
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
116-86
116
86
+30
109avg 79
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-85
83
85
-2
68avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
88-64
88
64
+24
81avg 79
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 79
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
93-81
93
81
+12
91avg 79
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
73avg 79
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 79
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
93-88
93
88
+5
83avg 79
A30/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-20
21-28
25-22
21-21
31-21
24-27
16-27
27-23
29-29
22-17
30-18
35-22
18-23
18-18
27-27
20-17
19-17
23-27
16-10
30-10
20-21
27-18
14-29
16-23
20-27
33-19
22-23
18-12
26-22
24-29
18-16
15-14
18-20
24-21
23-17
22-11
27-20
17-19
27-17
22-32
178.5Avg total
92.7Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)88.885.1173.8+3.757%
Season at home (19)93.188.4181.4+4.763%
Season away (21)84.982.1167.0+2.852%
Last 10 (10)92.785.8178.5+6.970%
Last 5 (5)86.682.0168.6+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.482.7164.1-1.233%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.679.3165.9+7.386%
vs Weaker (14)92.784.4177.1+8.471%
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
78-69
78
69
+9
72avg 72
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
108-76
108
76
+32
114avg 72
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
64avg 72
A30/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
67avg 72
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
76-88
76
88
-12
69avg 72
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-67
87
67
+20
92avg 72
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 72
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
65-54
65
54
+11
56avg 72
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
61avg 72
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 72
H30/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-12
15-19
22-24
28-14
25-13
32-16
24-28
27-19
22-24
19-20
13-15
21-24
17-21
25-23
22-22
14-23
12-22
19-21
16-25
29-20
21-14
23-22
22-14
21-17
24-23
31-20
14-23
18-19
17-14
19-23
17-7
12-10
20-18
21-24
17-23
11-22
20-27
19-17
17-27
32-22
160.2Avg total
81.1Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)81.575.6157.1+5.972%
Season at home (21)85.478.2163.6+7.171%
Season away (18)76.972.6149.5+4.472%
Last 10 (10)81.179.1160.2+2.050%
Last 5 (5)79.277.2156.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.088.8164.8-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.681.3158.9-3.636%
vs Weaker (15)82.272.7154.9+9.587%
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +2.3+2.3
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H02/05
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H05/05
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A07/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H17/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/05
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H24/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A28/05
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/05
BBL
89.6Avg total
45.3Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.084.8+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.242.889.0+3.450%-
Last 30 away (16)41.839.481.2+2.362%-
Last 10 (10)45.344.389.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)47.243.290.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.340.882.1+0.644%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)42.740.383.0+2.457%-
vs Weaker (14)46.041.587.5+4.564%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H26/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A30/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H04/05
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A07/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H16/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
55-43
55
43
+12
H18/05
BBL
Gottingen
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A21/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H30/05
BBL
80.7Avg total
41.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.279.4+1.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.238.080.2+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.578.4-2.621%-
Last 10 (10)41.439.380.7+2.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.483.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.844.883.5-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.540.478.9-1.836%-
vs Weaker (15)41.836.878.6+5.047%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 88.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.618.0
57.0%
54.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.4
34.5%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.415.4
75.5%
75.8%15.4
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.217.6
54.7%
54.4%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.7
35.1%
35.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.816.0
76.9%
75.8%16.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
WWWWLWLWWL
Bayern
LLWWWLLLWW
#4
League position
#3
+9.5
Net rating
+3.0
116.5
Offensive rating
111.2
107.0
Defensive rating
108.1
54.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
34.5%
3-point %
35.1%
62.8%
Assist %
60.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.5 · 111.2Defence107.0 · 108.1Shooting54.2% · 53.8%3-point %34.5% · 35.1%Ball care15.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds30.3% · 29.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Ulm wins
5
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
30/05/23Bayern v Ulm88-93
28/05/23Bayern v Ulm69-87
04/04/23Ulm v Bayern59-77
01/10/22Bayern v Ulm87-80
06/05/22Ulm v Bayern65-77
26/09/21Bayern v Ulm83-86 OT
15/05/21Ulm v Bayern102-104 OT
07/05/21Bayern v Ulm64-98
09/02/21Ulm v Bayern77-81
06/06/20Bayern v Ulm85-95
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/23ABayern93-88
28/05/23ABayern87-69
24/05/23HAlba Berlin83-81
19/05/23AAlba Berlin93-81
17/05/23HAlba Berlin77-91
14/05/23AAlba Berlin88-64
07/05/23ABonn83-85
05/05/23HRostock116-86
02/05/23HSyntainics MBC128-122 OT
30/04/23AAlba Berlin79-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/23HUlm88-93
28/05/23HUlm69-87
21/05/23AGottingen65-54
18/05/23HGottingen87-85
16/05/23HGottingen87-67
07/05/23AOldenburg76-88
04/05/23HHeidelberg78-89
30/04/23AGottingen75-83
26/04/23HRostock108-76
23/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW57%
HomeWWWLW63%
AwayLWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %57%63%52%
Points / game88.893.184.9
Allowed / game85.188.482.1
Point differential+3.7+4.7+2.8
Avg total173.8181.4167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %10%11%10%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeLWWLL71%
AwayWWLLW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392118
Win %72%71%72%
Points / game81.585.476.9
Allowed / game75.678.272.6
Point differential+5.9+7.1+4.4
Avg total157.1163.6149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%48%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3937295%89.672.7+16.8
2 Alba Berlin3832684%87.377.8+9.6
3 Bayern39281172%81.575.6+5.9
4 Oldenburg37221559%85.583.1+2.4
5 Ulm40231757%88.885.1+3.7
6 Ludwigsburg39221756%85.784.9+0.7
7 Gottingen37191851%84.085.7-1.7
8 Rostock34161847%84.088.9-4.8
9 Bamberg34151944%88.188.9-0.7
10 Heidelberg34151944%87.589.6-2.1
11 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
12 Chemnitz37162143%82.983.5-0.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig34122235%80.183.2-3.1
14 Crailsheim Merlins34122235%84.788.4-3.7
15 Hamburg34122235%80.986.0-5.1
16 Syntainics MBC34112332%84.789.4-4.7
17 Frankfurt34102429%80.286.5-6.3
18 Bayreuth3462818%82.591.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm2917281812104
Bayern2221193010102
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